ARCHIVED: AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION NOVEMBER 24, 2007



The Australia John Howard, and His Ministers, bequeathed the nation




Poor human resource policies, and practices, bites Howard and his business supporters



Today is Saturday 24 November 2007. This web site is now being archived as the voters of the nation got to the polls tomorrow. The owner ofb this site, Kevin R Beck, has, as indicated below, continually predicted that the outcome will be close, a hung parliament perhaps or a few seats. Consistently this web site has gone against the general concensus and wisdom and the polls. Taking the opposite view the owner Kevin R Beck predicted that there never was going to be a labor landslide of the proportion being touted. This view was clouded and in the latter ten days of the campiagn feedback showed that labor was liekly to win.

On Friday 23, November 2007 at 5pm many coalition members believe Kevin Rudd will not be Prime Minister of Australia on Sunday 25 November 2007. Speaking with a coalition Minister late in the day on Friday he is assured that the government will stay in power by one to four seats. I agree with him for the only reason that I have known him all of his parliamentary life. He wants to believe it cannot occur. The mood of the electorate has firmed. The polls that claim it wil be close are not supported by our latest set of data. The feedback is confusijng when logic is applied. What to do and what to predict? This will be close, a few percent maybe only 1%, a margin of a few thousand votes, 3,500 to say 10,000, not a land slide. The government of the future lies in the hands of a few, not the majority. Masked intentions everywhere. I declare an
interest in the outcome and the future of the activism to reform politics and government. Today it is clear that Rudd can win. The liberal party will not be decimated as the extremists wish and the exagerrated media distorts. Perhaps a win by as few as four seats or a maximum of ten? It has been a different, and exhausting, campaign. I have had a ticket to the dance. A dance that will not end today, but a set of dances that go on like a marathon.

Below in this web site is a chronological critique on the various Ministers of the government. It is not a flattering one.

Regardless of who wins there is one rock solid proposition. A majority of the people of Australia do not accept the leadership, and senior teams of the major parties - labor or liberal. They beleive that neither deserves to be in government. A former Minister of the Howard government, Ms Jackie Kelly, retiring member for seat of Lindsay, in NSW, clearly demonstrates that people of quesionable ability can rise to high political office and there is no judgement by those who appoint them, as to merit, and ability, in the choice of Ministers. Similarly Kevin Andrews demonstrates that the best are not attracted to parliamentary service and people dangerous to individual human rights, and freedoms, can occupy critical roles.

Kevin Rudd demonstrates the hallmark characteristics of a bureaucrat. Dissembling, waffling, posing and answering his own questions, the ones he wants to talk about and the slippery tendency to avoid scrutiny, a reticence to actually being open and honest, not to mention autocratic. Examining the world from the view of a technocrat, he is effectively a departmental secretary turned politician - "Yes Minister".

Then there is the love for an enquiry. He plans to have about 120 enquiries and committes of reviews. Those who have to do business with government, that is not sycophantic business, but real business dread the possibiliyties as to what may lay ahead. The Deputy leader of the labor party, Ms Julia Gillard, has had a make over yet the underlying ideology shows through. There are others who are as less inspiring, for example Peter Garrett and Anthony Albanese, and others in labor who worry those people in business, and community, who have to deal with government, namely Kim Carr and Tanya Plibersek. This is a motley opposition crew who have already trumpeted sometimes, ignorantly, about what they intend to jettison if they win government without any real knowledge of the justifications - for example the social security, and services, Access Card. For them everything is black and white. Except tommorrow night as they wait on tenterhooks. The result is not going to be black or white

The parliament will be changed and some will not be there tomorrow. The Prime Minister must wait his fate but he too is probably going to be packing his bags. My friend, the Minister, is safe for another term. He is a good genuine elected representative.

Good night and
good luck


A WEB SITE WITHIN THE KEVIN R BECK
WHAT IS THE MOSAIC PORTAL?

The Personal Web Site of KEVINRBECK
Privacy Statement, Uses and Motivation



BACKGROUND, REFERENCES, COMMENTARY AND HISTORICAL PREDICTIONS AND ANALYSIS

The content on this site, particularly the survey output, news and articles sections, updated, and changed, automatically and often. Make sure your browser is allowing all of the content including the update news sections that use scripting.


At November 5, 2007 there is no change from the October 30, 2007, prediction. On November 24, 2007, the outcome is predicted be close within four seats, possibly a hung House of Representatives. Going further I predict the Howard government will be returned by a mere handful of votes (the gap, a few thousand and less than 2% of the electorate). The Senate may be finely balanced though the government seems likely to retain control.




To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


CHALLENGING THE STATUS QUO OF THE FUTURE
PARTICIPATING IN AUSTRALIA'S DEMOCRACY
WITH, OR WITHOUT, APPROVAL


The lack of awareness regarding the existence of covert campaign, and other activity in electorates and generally across the political spectrum, is extraordinary. The political parties are acting as if they are managing the agenda and the process. There are hundreds of interest groups engaged in activism. Many are following traditional mechanisms and have little chance of impacting the outcome and the future. However some of them are actively able to affect the outcome.

There are
interests Within Interests.






Labor Relies On Non Core Promise Lesson
When Democracy Hits Rock Bottom
Be Careful Who You Vote For


Several years ago John Howard set a trend called "non core" promises. Are we to assume that Labor's candidates around the nation have not read and absorbed the feeral labor party policies, that they are stupid? Perhaps, more insidiously, it is not worth their effort of committing them to memory because of some unstated strategy? Could it be that Kevin Rudd will, at some date in the future say: "that was a non core promise"?

Mark Kelly forgets the education policy in Eden Monaro, another candidate in South Australia has no idea about the IR policy, Peter Garrett says it "will all change". The deputy Julia Gilllard presents a shady and unreliable persona. When we ask our research groups, across the nation, they tell us that the rumour on the streets is that it is all up for grabs if labor wins. They tell us that the local labor party branches, and the labor candidates, have a common view that election to office is a mandate. They believe that John Howard lies and thus if he can get away with it for eleven years and win elections then it is open to whatever interpretation they like. They can use the same tactic. This is the state of the nation's federal democracy where the candidates may believe the parliament is their own domain under the fiefdom of the party machine. I do not think Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard are trustworthy. Feedback suggest that there is a commnality of negative opinion towards both Peter Costello, and Julia Gillard, in almost equal proportions. The coalition is not trusted. This is a sad state of affairs for Australia. Why vote for either of the two major party candidates? What would happen if you voted Greens, Democrats and Independent, in vast numbers. This wil have the effect of triggering the preferential system after the primary flow. This would have the same effect that has elected Peter Andren in Calare and Bob Katter in Kennedy.



PRATT AND JONES MAY WELL DELIVER GOVERNMENT TO WHOM?
BOTH SIDES OF POLITICS (CONSERVATIVE AND LABOR) APPEAR TO LACK A MORAL AND ETHICAL COMPASS


Over the horizon interests are moving to force change in a political world, and a party system, that looks to its own interests first, ignoring corruption on a massive scale in Australia.

Australian consumers, rich and poor alike, men, women and children, were ripped off financially and substantially, some think maybe $A700,000,000 or more. The Prime Minister, and Leader of the Opposition, are silent on this. The Treasurer simiarly reticent. Richrad Pratt is an awarded Australian citizen for his contribution to society and philanthropy. The funds he used for these worthwhile causes may have well have come from his share of Visy's business activities. Perhaps not. The silence by politician's is an indictment of the possible lack of moral, and ethical, leadership credentials. Former Prime Minister's Malcom Fraser and Gough Whitlam are warning that the decline in political accounbtability, and responsibility is a threat to our democracy.

"Malcolm Fraser, Gough Whitlam attack political integrity: Gerard McManus, November 12, 2007, Herald Sun Melbourne,

FORMER Liberal prime minister Malcolm Fraser warned last night that Australians citizens were at risk because no one in government took responsibility any longer for mistakes. Mr Fraser joined one-time political foe Gough Whitlam to write to major metropolitan newspapers today, including the Herald Sun, to urge an inquiry into ministerial responsibility after the election. "No matter how grave their failings may be, ministers no longer resign," the letter says. "We believe it is critical that this issue is addressed in the forthcoming national election, and then acted upon by whichever party forms the new government." (Source as stated)

There is no evidence that either John Howard, or Kevin Rudd, have any real commitment to the principles of a properly functioning parliament and public service or the inclination to alter the status quo. To do so would challenge the modern iron grip control of the parties, the politicians and the parliaments of the nation by a handful of self interested people.

Kevin Rudd tells us that he intends to reform the process and free the public service from politicisation. This would be a major departure from his modus operandi of the days when he was head of Premier and Cabinet in the Goss Labor Government in Queensland. We will not hold our breath but will continue to work with those who seek to reform our parliaments and politics bringing real accountability and democracy back into the public interest sphere.

Correspondence received on this and other issues from the offices of senior leaders and politicians of the nation demonstrate a mode of patronising response. The responses interpret and twist the content to their agenda and spin as if our communications are an extention of the managed arenas. Thus we can largely ignore the pulp fiction that passes as a considered response to issues raised. Ignorance is bliss but in the world of politics it can be devastating to both political aspirations and agendas. The labor party may well have a set of plans it will seek to implement when, and if, it comes to government. The question will be whether they can actually implement it. Being in government may for some of them be an enlightening experience as to the difference between perceived, and real, power.


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The Breast Cancer site is having trouble getting enough people to click on the iamge below to go to their site daily to meet their quota of donating at least one free mammogram a day to an underprivileged woman. It takes less than a minute to go to their site and click on "donating a mammogram" for free (pink window in the middle). This doesn't cost you a thing. Their corporate sponsors/advertisers use the number of daily visits to donate mammogram in exchange for advertising.




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We have $A300,000 of client's funds to spend on electorate campaigns, where will we spend it?


Research of voter attitudes and the monitoring of communications in electorates indicates that neither prospect is highly regarded by the electorate to the point of being a popular Prime Ministerial choice or statesmanlike


OPINION: JOHN HOWARD AND PETER COSTELLO FACILITATED THE THEFT OF MILLIONS FROM EVERY MAN, WOMAN AND CHILD



In 2005 the Treasurer Peter Costello said the government would enact criminal penalties for cartel and price rigging. Costello did not enact the legislation and the government has allowed a A rip off, perhaps as high as $A700,000,00 (by Australian companies Visy and Amcor) has been perpetrated on the rich and the poor alike in Australia. They (John Howard and Peter Costello) are culpable in their ommission, in government and as economic managers, and as such due the enormity of the theft are deemed unfit for public office. Why? Because they effectively allowed the criminals to avoid prosecution through their failure to guard the nation's consumers. More hyprocritically, they claim to have the economy as their strength and focus. Bullshit! The record shows something quite the opposite. The criminals who rig the market are ably assisted by those in public office who do not ensure that there are adequate deterrents. Boot them all out of public office. Do not discriminate against the federal politicians who support criminal activuty, they are in state, federal and territory parliaments, and local government and in the labor and liberal political parties, as well. The public record demonstrates this regularly. Start with the federal election and work your way through.


There is something seriously amiss with Rudd and Gillard along with Garrett.
Four seats either way on November 24, 2007


Infantile, Puerile and Stupid, The Degraders of Democracy


October 30, 2007 and it is now clearer. Kevin Rudd is an immature sneaky type who likes to turn up in the utmost secrecy. In Tasmania a conspirational caller rings a senior citizen's club to aks if a person who cannot be named can attend. This is puerile infantile rubbish that denotes the stupidity with which the major party strategists approach the most important function in the nation - a choice of government. It is about their game of self importance and not about the voter.

"OPPOSITION Leader Kevin Rudd was called a "bastard" today during a visit to a Tasmanian senior citizens' club - as Labor labels John Howard a recession master.

What should have been a pretty mundane affair for Mr Rudd, campaigning in Devonport in the marginal seat of Braddon with Labor candidate Sid Sidebottom, turned unexpectedly fiery today. There to help the club celebrate its 43rd birthday and watch a choral performance, Mr Rudd was confronted by choir member David Vowles who walked over to him in his seat and called him a bastard. "You spoiled the party. You ignorant bastards," Mr Vowles said. Later Mr Vowles said the Labor leader's appearance had politicised the event. "That's all he's doing here - publicity," he said. (Source: The Advertiser, Sunday mail Adelaide, October 25, 2007 04:00pm)

What can we expect fo such people in government Ministries? Imagine the quality of the advisers if this is what they come up with?


No Interest rate Rise on November 3, 2007


October 26 2007: Economists, and market traders, in Australia watched the screens on October 25, 2007 and noted the headline inflation rate. They then watched the underlying inflation rate which was just above 2%. Hysteria for a second or two. These are the gambling jockeys of the world. The people who rape and pillage the money market and currencies without adding any value to production. These geniuses of the virtual financial world immediately surmised that the Reserve Bank would raise the cash rate in Australia at its next meeting on November 3, 2007. The media commentators and political watchers, sheep all, pontificated that this would spell doom for the Howard coalition government on November 24, 2007. The Howard government promised at the 2004 election to keep rates low. A fool perhaps might have taken them seriously or a person with little education. Politicians love to spin. According to the critics, the Howard haters and the political pundits and of course the Labor Party (Wayne Swan et al), the government has lied. Never mind that a thinking person would know that governments may influence rates not control them. Now the money is on a rate rise that according to the exeprts will kill the government's relection prospects. People are hurting financially and labor sheers the blame home, opportunistically, to the government. What will be Wayne Sean's story for labor when rates go up every review period?

People are going broke because Australia has had 5x0.25% rate rises. The reason people may be going broke is that they were stupid, greedy or both and borrowed beyond their means. They wanted to own a house. Most developed countries in Europe, where prices are exorbitant, actually rent houses rather than have people buy them. The price of houses in Australia is a direct result of the labor state government's creaming billions off the back of taxes and land development charges. It is the result of developers growing land banks. It is the result of most everyone else except the federal government. They give a first home buyers grant.

Who will be red faced when interest rates do not rise? What will be the effect of a fall in petrol prices and the consumer price index movements on key factors, between now and November 3, 2007, that will influence the deliberations of the Reserve Bank?

Now as for the Rudd and Gillard federal labor leadership there is something there that focus group respondents cannot put their finger on. The voters, according to surveys, mistrust Julia Gillard since they think she has been less than forthcoming about socialism and communism type stuff in her background, evasive. But there is something more amiss. They are not a team that engenders trust but why not? The odd couple that does not click with the voter as a homogenous package. So what it is? It will out in the next few weeks. The voting result looks like four seats either way.


What Does the Nurses' Dispute in Victoria Tell Us About Our Governments and Systems?
The Farce that Passes for Good Administration


Well firstly it tells us that the manner of determining public policy in Australia is very low grade. The pool of ministers, particularly in the states, seem to offer little in the way of talent and capability. The human resource management attitudes of the Minister Daniel Andrews are archaic, humiliating promoting subservience by demanding compliance.

The Minister for Health in Victoria, Daniel Andrews, demonstrates this proposition as the Victorian nurses' dispute grinds on, in every hospital, in Victoria.

" THE state public nursing union has accused hospital managers of unprecedented intimidation and harassment of nurses involved in industrial action. Armed with more than 2,000 complaints faxed to her, Australian Nursing Federation Victoria branch secretary Lisa Fitzpatrick today said some nurses had been threatened with the sack. "They have been threatened with fines and dismissal for speaking out to the media and having their pay docked," she said. "Managers have been sitting outside toilet doors waiting for nurses to come out to ask them about their participation" (Source: Herald Sun newspaper,Kamahl Cogdon and agencies, October 22, 2007 10:47am)

What can we say about managers who sit outside toilets? The Minister and Premier are shocked. Then why did the managers think that they had the imprimatur to do this? They take their lead from ....?

The federation, representing the nurses, is fighting a one sided battle. In this regard Joe Hockey's proposition set out below, that the unions days are really past, may be prescient. The nurses seek so little against what they give the community yet the politician's rate their own objectives, and interests, above them. They take their pay rises which are all very nice from an independent tribunal. They thus shield themselves against criticism. Do they use an indepnednet tribunal for nurses? They live in a fantasy of spin replicating reality that they are there for the public good and are guardians. Federal Minister Tony Abbott, the statistical wonder whiz of the federal government, says that he can offer $6,000 for retraining to bring them back. Statistical whiz? Look at his history, black and white, a fugures man.

Kevin Rudd, ever the shallow throw away ventroloqist, says that he can put over 9,000 nurses back into the system over five years, if elected. This is drivel. He calls the Victorian situation the "argy bargy" of negotiation. This man dismisses their lives, and problems, as so much argy bargy. This is flaky politics at its most decrepit. What system? Why would any one go back to a health system of under funded, under resourced, drudgery, poor administration, political manipulation and trickery. The political players in the Victorian episode, which repeats with tedious regularity across all our public sector institutions, are tarred with the same brush. Why should the average person bother with democracy and elections? Our system is fractured and in many places broken, corrupted and corroded by the politicians, and machine men and woemn, of the Australian labor and liberal parties. The nurses? They are just an example of who is political fodder to the system. As the federal election itself grinds on we see the two leaders and the state bit players, warts and all. They are not very attractive to the voters. The nurses of Victoria are. Let's vote them into office.


THE ROLE OF UNIONS AS WE HAVE KNOWN THEM IS ESSENTIALLY OVER


Shock horror and the gasps of Australia's media when Joe Hockey had the nerve to say that the role of unions is essentially over.

"Workplace Relations Minister Joe Hockey says the role of unions in Australia is essentially over. He has taken the Government's attack on the trade union movement to a new level. Mr Hockey says falling union membership proves the independent Workplace Authority has replaced the role of unions. "Gradually they've been falling and most dramatically even under Keating and now they're just down to 20 per cent," he said. "One in five workers are choosing to join the unions. "Now unions have an important safety role in some industries but overall Australians are choosing not join the unions because they see them as irrelevant to their lives." (Source extract: Unions irrelevant, Hockey says, Posted Thu Oct 18, 2007 8:12am AEST, ABC News, http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/10/18/2062558.htm)

An intelligent person listening would discern the logic. Union coverage has fallen to 20% and is only 15% of the private sector workforce. People are not electing to join unions. This is fact. Further changes to legislation and the structure of industrial relations has altered the system. Thus collectovely the role as we have known it is esentially over. But no. The journalists have to put their own spin and the semi aware respondents have to blather about the James Hardie representations and the asbestos cases. This was not the crux of the statement and there is still a role in advocacy for those who want to utilise it. The greater number of workers do not.

I was a union member for decades and also employed by a union for four years. Up until 1998 I remained a union member. Over the years I noted that they took my thre or so hundred dollars a year and rarely responded to my correspondence and defintely gave me no service. Fundamentally I entered management ranks and the trade unions (not including the professional associations unions - engineers, medical) do not service managers. They are archaic in their perspectives. Thus they became irrelevant due to theirown ignorance and failure to service. The Prime Minister was not forced to defend Hockey or the unions. He stated as Hockey did that they have a role. Albeit it is now a minor one and they are given far too much credence by a sycophantic and admiring media, particularly in the ABC. As for the labor parliamentary party having a surfeit of trade unionsts, that too is fact.



THE BREATHLESS DRIBBLE EXTOLLING YOU TUBE, FACE BOOK ET AL


Some media commentators, mainly those in the immature bracket of youth, extoll the impact feckless blogs and mass ego sites. Some zealous adviser convinced the Prime Minister that appearing on You Tube was agood idea. Others simply follow the sheep. This is quite simply poppy cock. The youth vote is marginal in the outcome. The proposition that Rudd has the youth vote and this spells the end of the Howard government is yet another fantasy in the mind of the fevered "pack member" journalist. Journalists who, like the masses, mindlessly embrace the next best thing and whose world is contained in an 80GB drive on an IPOD. Unless something has drastically altered, the greater number of Australians are in their latter years, not their youth. The youth demographic is not homogenous in its politicall inclination. So dream on if you think that Kevin Rudd and labor will win on feckless, politically unaware and semi literate minds as well as over excited single platform activists. The universities of today are nothing like the hot beds of activism and revolution of days gone by. The people who put their videos and stuff onto You Tube and Face Book are into a different scene. They have embraced fully, liberal individualism, but do not realise or know what that is. It is self centred ego and the underlying sociology of capitalism and the proposition that the world is truly their oyster. In the Melbourne Age, of Tuesday 16 October, 2007 an 18 year old female said that she did not get much from Howard's GST and Work Choices and so she would try Rudd and see what he's got. Sadly she was oblivious to the fact that the GST is going nowhere and labor is keeping Australian Workplace Agreements and a large part of Work Choices for many years to come. Kevin Rudd has to win the vote of a wide and varied group. This is a formidable task made harder every day.



UNDERCURRENTS WELL BEYOND THE 2007 - 2008 FEDERAL ELECTION OUTCOME


If Australia's democratic system of parliamentary representation, at the federal level, was not under the iron clad manipulation of the two party preferred perferential voting system, with compulsory voting, then both liberal, and labor, would struggle to convince people of their worth in this election. Every day members of Australia's political elite do damage to the profession. Yet they seem to remain largely oblivious or do they just not care? The nation's disdain for both political parties and their senior leadership is masked by a poll survey methodology that has only two choices in response. Questions sframed as - "who would be better at ...?" give little room for true reflection and response.

The delusion that people can wreak revenge for the Tasmanian pulp mill decision, on the two political parties is astonishing. Their rage falls into an abyss of irrelevance, It is a neutral situation. In Bass and Lyons, in Tasmania, either labor or liberal will win unless an independent candidate can do what Peter Andren has been doing in Calare for years, that is get a clear majority in primary votes. No amount of ranting will alter that truth.

The reason that labor is leading in the polls is not that they are stellar candidates, with exceptional policies, it is that the Howard government has a large number of candidates who are genuinely disliked. A number are Ministers. The antipathy felt towards the government is greater than that felt towards labor. Thus the polls indicate a disaster for John Howard.

Of greater, long term, significance for politicians in labor and liberal ranks, and what the party strategists, the media and the political watchers are not seeing are the new forces being deployed to target individual candidates of any hue. This activism is not about pulp mills and single issues it is about the fabric of our democracy and the operation of our parliaments. There is a demand for parliamentary and representational reform. This growing disenchantment with the current system, and the action agenda being mounted challenges the Presidential style of politics. It is arrogant. It is unacceptable that control, and power, is vested in one man - the leader of a political party - who becomes Prime Minister by default rather than in the mational parliament. If the two parties continue to presume that they are not accountable to the parliament as a whole then they will, in the years to come, pay a price. There is no indication that the incumbents, and the party power brokers, realise or know this. If they do then they are dismissing it as a threat. When either party is in government they will continue to presume to own the peoples' parliament and to manipulate it for their ow agendas and interests.
Get Up or the Women For Change Alliance and the other links below, in this page, are the personification of this underlying current for change. While labor and liberal strategists may think they have their measure, it is not these "out in the open" people with whom they should be concerned. It is the back room operators they cannot see and do not know.

The party machine men, the advisers and political office staff are not alert. They are not trained to identify sophisticated strategies and join the dots. The unsophisticated, and disjointed, approach to record matching, intelligence gathering and assessment, in Ministry offices and public service agencies, and in party headquarters, is extraordinary in this modern age. There is little interest shown in looking at who is where, when and for what purpose. It may be that people are busy and resources are limited. This makes it very easy to mask activity and go undetected. One can be in front of them, talking to them or presenting and they remain oblivious. There is very little homework, and preparation, undertaken. Within this web site, and the networked sites of the Mosaic Portal, are articles, strategies and agendas described around the above theme. There are clues, and events, that demonstrate the points above. This is not limited to politics but crosses borders into corporate and social environments. This is the hidden Mosaic. Can you unravel the complexities, the design, elements, strategies and agendas and match them to outcomes and events?


The Mosaic Portal's Global Media
See the world today through the Kevin R Beck Mosaic Portal



To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


THE INCUMBENT - THE DADDY GOVERNMENT
Be alert but not alarmed
It's only the economy stupid!



Liberal Party

John 07


THE ASPIRANT - THE MUMMY PARTY
Labor Party

Kevin 07

Let me pose and answer my own questions and have a summit! Let's have an enquiry better still a meeeting! The stand by Australian labor Party response to major, significant and complex issues.






To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


KEVIN RUDD IS AS ANNOYING AS OTHERS IN POLITICS

Kevin Rudd displayed particular traits when he was a bureaucrat in the Goss labor government in Queensland. These traits were not well regarded. Of particular note, in this current timeframe (October 10, 2007) are the traits of blame and ruthless self interest and ego. Robert McLelland, unlike Kevin Rudd, is a seasoned and competent federal member of extensive experience. He is held in high regard by the political constituency, by those who inetarct with parliamentary members and by the general public particularly in his electorate. Mr. Rudd cannot, at this stage, claim the same level of respect. In fact he is fast burning it. Robert McLelland inadvertently exposed the less - nice side of the aspirant Prime Minister. Robert, some say exhibited bad timing in talking about Labor policy regarding capital punishment. Australia is becoming a little precious and the media is immature in its coverage. One only has to look at their overblown response to the death of a soldier in Afghanistan.

What Robert McLelland did not do, was deviate from the party policy and nor did he demonstrate the propensity to act to suit the moment. Acting to suit the occasion, for expedient short term gain, is, according to my observation, Kevin Rudd's style. He humiliated his senior colleague with his ill considered, poor leadership. Kevin Rudd actually has no history of credible leadership. Quite the opposite is on the public record but too few people who vote actually read anything other than a tabloid and television. Mr. Rudd's current situation arises from a populism based on shallow perception, and awareness, on the part of an unthinking electorate seemingly bored with incumbency or having some other set of nebulous gripes and specifics outlined below in this site.

The greater number of voters will never have to come into contact, or deal, with Mr, Rudd and Ms. Gillard or any of the other front bench members of the labor party. While a number of the parliamentary party, such as Simon Crean, have respect, experience and personal capabilities, and are comfortable in all types of relationships, there is no such feeling being generated about Mr Rudd and Ms Gillard. Many who may have to interact with them are not feeling all that good about the possibility. Some even dread the proposition. It is indeed chilling that the witless, and unaware, who never do business with government on any matter, and who even shy away from contact, will have the majority say in deciding who we have to deal with in government in 2008.

Apart from the dread of wasting time and being treated with mistrust and even hostility, dealing with an incoming labor government will be like dealing with "decision makers on L plates". We will have the added complexity, and cost, of dealing with a bureaucracy trying to come to grips with the thinking, style and foibles of the new leadership team and Ministers. They wil be concentrating on new letterhrads, minute formats, new departmental structures and the antics of prima donnas and people basking in self congratulation and hubris.

Imagine how Rudd's tantrums, mean and ruthless style, particularly the penchant for retribution, and humiliation, exhibited against Robert McLelland a colleague, might translate into real power in this man's hands. A power that can be used against people with whom he has no relationship?



VOTERS REFLECT THAT AUSTRALIA MAY WELL BE BETTER OFF WITHOUT THE HOWARD GOVERNMENT
BUT WHAT ABOUT THE INDIVIDUAL MINISTERS?


Kevin Andrews, Minister for Immigration Is Damaging the Profession of Government
He has mismanaged his most contentious issues in every portfolio
This reflects poorly on the government and is a negative vote influence


It is too late for John Howard to mitigate the damage of having Kevin Andrews in his ministry.

The Minister for Immigration has accelerated the annoyance factor in many parts of the electorate with his assertions regarding African refugees and more particularly Sudanese. He took a matter of policy decided months ago by his predecessor, and largely forgotten, and turned into a fire storm of political reaction. There was absolutely no need to identify any group. The labor party was acquiescent in its support for the policy, implemented by Amanda Vanstone, to reduce African intake The presentation style of this Minister borders on sanctimonious. The Minister's propensity to make statements, which when examined for foundation are found wanting, is causing a deterioration in government support across all sectors of communities and party lines. When questioned, by the media, as to the basis of his claims he references a nebulous inter-departmental committee and personal anecdotal evidence from his travels, and discussions, with namless people. Having found to be wanting in his foundation argument, the Minister resorts to "cabinet confidentiality" as a defence for failure to put up or shut up. There is no foundation to his assertion that any specific African (refugee) demographic group has a higher propensity for crime or other antisocial activity. There is no interdepartmental committee engaged in looking at the specific characteristics of groups of refugees particularly Sudanese. The topic arose generally within the discussion frameworks of the group and the Sudanese reference was seized upon by political advisers listening in. Or is it that something else triggered the Minister's actions? Something not recent but a powerful catalyst.

"That does not help Hakeem's victims. But it is reassuring that after barely 24 hours in the job, Kevin Andrews has had several briefings on problems in the Sudanese community and is already willing to describe them as "unique." How he reacts is crucial. For the right reasons, this Government welcomed these people to Australia, but it must now recognise it has imported with them an unexpected degree of dislocation, violence, and danger. Obviously, the rapists, drunk drivers and street thugs must face punishment. But government policy has caused this danger. It must find answers. nmitchell@3aw.com.au (Source: Neil Mitchell, February 01, 2007 12:00am, Herald Sun Newspaper, Melbourne Australia).

Neil Mi9tchell is an influential radio broadcsater and journalist working in Melbourne. The combined readership and listening audience of the Herald Sun and radio 3AW is substantial and politically influential.

Could it be that there is no substantial research on the Minister's pet topic of the moment as there is little substance in most of his activity, and musings, in this portfolio, clearly evidenced by the Dr. Haneef fiasco? To refer to the education levels of people as a justification for action against them is a poor justification. The education level of alarge element of the Australian population leaves a lot to be desired. Many people, not mesmerised by fear of the unknown, hold the Immigration Department, and the government's particular bent, in contempt. But on the other side of the coin a large number of well educated, and well travelled Australians, belive that the government should be strong. They characterise that we are in a culture war and a crusade. Radical elements here and internationally pose a grave threat. If a refugee commits a crime of substance such as rape, muder, violence, assuslt and robbery they should be deported. The problem for the government is that they do not know the extent of the opinion for either group of voters. The Minister has a history of beginnning a debate and then failing to control it or not anticipating where it might go. In this regard he seems to be lacking a political antennae and good advice and electoral intelligence. Some claim that the Minister is
"dog whistling".

"Dog-Whistle Politics, Josh Fear and Clive Hamilton, 2nd October 2007,

Australia Institute researcher Josh Fear has examined politicians’ use of seemingly innocuous words to convey sinister purposes. Institute director Clive Hamilton says “Dog-whistling allows politicians to subliminally send multiple and ambiguous messages to voters, whilst denying they are doing so. It is becoming a refined art in Australia.” Commonly used dog-whistling phrases include “Australian values”, “the thought police”, “the black armband view of history”, “practical reconciliation”, “border protection” and “be alert, but not alarmed”. All expressions favoured by Prime Minister John Howard. Josh Fear says dog whistling exploits community fears about overseas conflict and the threat of terrorism and is used by politicians who “sought to create and inflame paranoia about minority groups and outsiders, and to taint the politics of immigration and Aboriginal affairs with parochialism and suspicion." (Source: Australians All, http://www.australiansall.com.au/).

When people, around Australia, are asked about the current coalition election campaign, and comparisons to the past, they often refer to the absence of a "tampa" incident to facilitate the government's resorting to fear as a tactic for massage the population into voting for the government. If it is the tactic of the government, to use refugees and immigration, as a trigger, with the bullets being loaded, and fired, by Kevin Andrews, then it is indeed misguided. During the past two years a substantial effort has gone into discrediting the government's policies and the poor performance of its instrument, the Department of Immigration. A huge, cross newtork of interests, has been cretaed well beyond the horizon of the Howard government's coalition strategists. It is now in place and has been activated by Kevin Andrews. There will be a rise in Labor's primary poll count (up 3%+), and a marked deterioration for the government, in the period 5 October 2007 - 12 October 2007.


Three Government Ministers Give Rudd 4.5% Swing And More

It does not take long for some politicians to sour the attitudes and cause disdain and regret in voters. Politics is all too often an immature arena peopled by questionable characters. They remind us why the polls are as they are and why there is antipathy to the government. The Prime Minister, John Howard and Health Minister, Tony Abbott managed to build on their colleagues ratty efforts, of the day before (see below, October 2, 2007) with the innovative idea of "community run" hospitals. According to these two a a parochial management model is the way to go. The Prime Minister says that local boards, where the membership is designated by the states, can run their health facilities. A raucous response from outrage to derision pummels the communications networks.

DUMB AND DUMBER - LIBERAL AND LABOR HOSPITAL POLICIES


One leading expert described the Prime Minister and Minister's ideas as "dumb" and said that the second most dumb idea was Kevin Rudd's idea for hospitals.

SABRA LANE: The retired professor of public health argues Australia's health system is ailing, because there's not enough money, not enough trained staff and too many patients. He says the entire system needs a new direction - a shift from treating the chronically ill, to preventing patients from becoming so sick in the first place.

JOHN DWYER: This health care system of ours is now extremely hospital-centric, and it's really out of kilter with new directions that are going on around the world, where many countries have successfully managed to have a dialogue with their community and then swing the health system around more towards prevention, earlier diagnosis and care in the community rather than sending so many people to hospital.

SABRA LANE: Health economist Paul Gross is the Director of the Institute of Health Economics and Technology Assessment. He says the idea of hospital boards won't work, and he speaks from first-hand experience. He used to be on the board of Mt Druitt Hospital in Sydney's West. Mr Gross says the Health Minister's idea is one of the dumbest he's heard.

PAUL GROSS: Among the ideas that this Health Minister has had in recent months, this is right up there with the least defensible of them. And I'm beginning to wonder if in fact the Minister actually understands what is wrong with the health system. It's going to first of all add another level of government to an already overloaded system, and that is right up there with really dumb solutions.

SABRA LANE: And he says the second dumbest health idea is Mr Rudd's hospital take-over plan.

PAUL GROSS: I think he will learn very quickly, if he becomes the Prime Minister, that it's not that easy to take over and run public hospitals, even if you get a referendum after two years. If he builds on the whole health system, and starts creating the services that we need outside the hospital walls, he may go down as a very, very good prime minister who did the right thing, and he won't need to go threaten the States and take over public hospitals, which is the second dumbest solution that we've heard in this election campaign. (Source of extract quote: ABC Radio, Mixed response to Govt's hospital plan PM - Tuesday, 2 October , 2007 18:22:00, Reporter: Sabra Lane, Presenter Mark Colvin)

These unilluminating, off the cuff, ideas beg the questions of wider global issues such as specialisation, focused development, availability of qualified personnel, synergy, efficiencies of scale, local talent capacity and much more. The real problem in the health issue is the role, and abilities, of the Federal and State Health Ministers, the parliamentary Opposition Shadows and the Bureaucrats. There will never be an admission of this or an idea to deal with the vexing issue. Doctors and nurses know how to run hospitals and work together but they are relegated to support and "do as you are told" roles by people who fail year after year without any accoutability and responsibility being applied. Tony Abbott has, during his years as a Minister, demonstrated a capacity for blinkered and biased public administration peppered with aggressive confrontation.

(October 2, 2007: Feedback runs hot regarding several Ministers' gaffs, ethics and suitability for public office.

In a climate where Kevin Rudd needs a national swing of 5% to unseat the government it beggars belief that the government would hand him the percentage on a plate. Kevin Andrews, in his inimitable style, beavered ever onward with his ill fated citizenship test. The assumption in the government may be that the "red neck" response of the bygone era of Pauline Hanson and One Nation and the Tampa, "we will decide who comes here and under what circumsatnces", would again resonate.

The government should have been reading the tea leaves in the National Party cup. Which group embraced refugees and came to their defence? Not the left wing bleeding hearts and academics that the government always denigrates - it was their own constituency in the regions. The national party members, the farmers and the rural people. This seems to have totally escaped Kevin Andrews' notice and the strategy team at Liberal Headquarters. Mr. Andrews is giving Kevin Rudd anywhere between a 1.2% and 1.5% swing. Best of all is the reaction in his own seat, of late, where the locals seem to have been turned off by his, and his wife, acting as "counsellors for marriage guidance". Perhaps preaching, like politics, is not his forte. His role as Minister for Immigration and Citizenship is not stellar. Wide opinion is that he should find a new career and may well be forced to do so at this election. Respect for him is in decline.

Meantime Malcom Turnbull, turning somersaults on the environment, looks a bit creepy via his about face on releasing the Tasmanian pulp mill report. His office released a clarification of his promise to release the report at the same time to everyone. No matter how they spin, many government members and spokespeople, are perceived, in the electorate, as "liars" and not to be trusted. Again an "own goal" gives Kevin Rudd between 1.3% and 2%+, which he, according to my calculations, not have yesterday.
Australia's talent refuses to debate anyone about a Sydney University study that shows the government's Work Choices reduces peoples' wages, in the low skills arena. Instead some "spineless" spokesperson for the Minister, spineless because they are never named as the source, insults one of Australia's premier institutons by saying they are not interested in looking at research from "old union academics". The Minister, takes up theme opening the Minitsry up to defamation. His remarks are not intemperate, they are ignorant and raises questions as to fitness for public office. This stupidity triggered the alumni, and the friends of the University, to react. Graduates occupying corporate and other roles are less inclined to make donations to the liberal party. Some are planning to move support to alternatives in Mr Hockey, and other other liberal, electorates. The Sydney alumni has triggered reciprocal alumnis across Australia.

This is not the Minister's finest performance. People questioned as to their views have responses negatively with a number saying that it is standard practice for the Australian government to denigrate academics and institutions.

They are oblivious to the
ongoing research of powerful institutions? There is direct, and very quick, link between universities and their powerful alumni members. Then we can add the rest of the broader community to demonstrate just how blinkered is the gladiatorial approach of the challenged who think that it is simply "labor versus liberal", "Howard haters versus Rudd lovers", "trade unionists versus non trade unionists." This afternoon (October 2, 2007), Joe Hockey, and the spokesperson, has plundred an additional, and very significant 2%, or more, off the liberal score card.

There is a mindless simplicity in today's events.

The spokesperson (nameless) issuing their pontifications, along with some Ministers, are damaging the governments prospects. Every time they utter something of this nature the statements are used, within hours, to test voter response. This is an activity that is not published and the content is never reported. The outcomes are used privately. Advisers in all govermments of the nation (regaradless of party) are collectively, on the nose, and will be reigned in. They should keep quiet, very quiet, in the federal campaign least they be targeted by unseen interests. If the horses are unable to sprint in the campaign then put them out to pasture now.



Kevin Rudd today got the swing he needs and now the coalition are deep in shit. The question is whether he can maintain it. The way the government is going he does not have to do much work.


Kevin Rudd and Labor Front Bench Begin to Show Cracks

The voters of the nation, who can read, write, listen to the radio and watch television (all at the same time), have a reasonable idea of the style, foibles and mendacity, of the Coalition senior politicians and their advisers. The "general" polls give an indication of what ordinary (that is non reading, writing and listening) voters may think of the government. Of interest is the delusional aspects of the incumbents in parliament, who are perplexed at the apparent illogical responses. Their perceptions are that (a) they, collectively, are doing a good government and they are doing a good job and. (b) they, individually, are popular or have a right to their hard won roles. The federal labor party parliamentarians, and for that matter, most politicians across Australia, are no different. They come up through a cocooned and closeted process, managed by a handful of power brokers. The voters do not get to nominate candidates to a list and then vote for them. The parliamentary membership is not representative of the community and its interests.

Kevin Rudd has presented a sanitised, and carefully crafted image. What is hidden is the elements that have ensured his rise through the party and more particularly those characteristics that put him squarely in the mould of his state labor party colleagues. He has worked diligently to separate these aspects of his political characteristics from the ones he wants to portray. When he says that Tony Abbott should respect the grief of a woman and man who have lost their child it is not so much that he is portraying a caring image but that he does not want to be associated with the atrophy and incompetence of his labor counterparts. The proposition that he is exactly the same as they, incompetent and of narrow vision inter alia, offends him and pricks his ego. It is notable that every time he loses his cool or stumbles is when he is blindsided or his personal, crafted image, is questioned. The strategists of the coalition, and the more seasoned and aware politicians, in the government have noted this. Where are the bright lights of the whole backbench and the rest of the shadow ministers in this campaign? Is it simply the Elmer Fudd and coterie show?



AT ODDS WITH POPULAR OPINION


For many months now, I have been at odds with the popular opinion of the polls. I have highlighted the "negative" perceptions of voters towards individuals. There is an antipathy to Julia Gillard and it is not business centric. It is personality, and presentation, based. The voice irritates but how can the coalition exploit this? The style is drab, dull suited and borders on "androgynous" on occasions. The liberal snipe practitioners distribute unflattering material and commentary. We decline to use it. It will not be posted on these sites and will have to appear through the feeds that are scripted from the political party outputs. Not surprisingly this material does not run on official liberal party web sites or distributed materials. The labor party provides better feeds and scripting for infomration posting on sites as can be seen in this web site. The coalition is behind in technology use. Malcolm Turnbulll distributes an email newsletter. It takes extra effeort for web site onwers to load the content. It would be better if he used scripted feeds. The rest of the candidates hardly bother and when they do the material is poorly presented and technically unusable in its provided form.

This type of attack on Gillard riles the feminists and the purists. The focus group members, and the discussion forum members and contacts do not like the tactic. General perception is that if the coalition (boys) go hard on a woman, such as Julia Gillard, this will turn voters off. That is questionable. There are a wide demographic out there . Add to the style and image, the propensity for aggressive language and threats and the "political package" is highly flawed.

Concentration on Julia Gillard is not a reasonable methodology for assessing the likely outcome. Wayne Swan's capabilities and performance are a product of the media, not reality in voter land. The parliamentary press gallery and the political writers of the nation stay in their comfort zones and their own delusional worlds, similar to politicians. They feed off each other in a closed system. One wonders how many press gallery and senior political journalists in the big media theatres ring the regional journalists and broadcasters to get a view of what is happening out there. According to my visits around many rural areas, few, if any. Perhaps the ABC leads in this regard. It is unlikely that Andrew Bolt, Miranda Devine, Piers Akerman et al, seek out the opinions of rural nobodies of the media world. Do they ring and ask how it is going in voter land in the back of Bourke? To see the relationship between the press gallery and the leading opinion writers one only has to read Piers:

By Piers Akerman,

September 09, 2007 12:00am, News Limited, Daily Telegraph

"WHEN the ABC favourably quotes conservative columnists, alarm bells should begin to ring. But the flagship evening radio current affairs program PM began its end-of-the-week wrap-up on Friday by noting that The Australian's Janet Albrechtsen and The Herald Sun's Andrew Bolt had questioned whether Prime Minister John Howard should abdicate. It's not the first time Melbourne-based Bolt has pushed for a change of leadership but it was a first for Sydney-dweller Albrechtsen - though, disappointingly, their arguments boiled down to not very much at all. While it is patently obvious that the polls are looking very bleak for the Coalition, cooler heads examining all the data are not convinced that all is lost and that it is time to jettison Howard as leader in a final throw of the dice. Anyone who has really put in the yards observing Australian politics would be well aware of the very poor record members of the Canberra press pack, and many others who count themselves as members of the commentariat, have with their prognostications. For the most part, they might be more accurately informed if they studied tea leaves, or perhaps the lees in their wine glasses." (Source: http://www.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/story/0,22049,22386045-5001031,00.html)

The ABC insiders Programme demonstrates the proposition of a closeted information network. Barry Cassidy presents the same group of jouranlists rotating the perosnalities. The programme leads with the prognostications of Paul Kelly, who in melodious, and authoritative (deadly serious) tones tells us what the politicians are thinking, how they are performing and what :tea leaves" are the catalyst of their future. Much of what he pronounces is personal poppy cock. The system feeds off itself and the players place their "fantasies on others' realities". Pontification about Wayne Swan's capabilities or any other member of parliament by the closed fraternity sits at odds with the wider world.

" As the world economy start to show signs of falling apart over the next 6 weeks, you can be sure as shit that the punters won't be risking it on Rudd and more importantly, won't be putting any faith in Swan to keep them from losing everything. Howard to win with a 7 seat majority. Get your money on him now while the odds are still good. cheers, please no! please no! Thu 20 Sep 07 (02:31pm) (Source: Tim Dunlop's blog: http://blogs.news.com.au/news/blogocracy/index.php/news/comments/update_key_reasons_not_to_vote_rudd/P60/")

Bogs of course cannot be relied upon since we do not know if the writer is biased or a member of some opposing political - interest group. The extent of the antipathy to Gillard and Swan is known as much by my research as it is by the Coalition and thus they attack hard. Labor's response in the past two weeks (September 17 September - 28 September 2007) is to whine and talk of "dirt" throwing. The immaturity of the front bench and their lack of experience under hard going is showing extensively. Julia Gillard's "negative impact" for the labor party, across the nation, is not diminishing. The media's frenzy that Rudd stumbled when he did not name his front bench and was then backed into a corner where he had to tell all is to use the Australian vernacular "crap" dressed up as relevance. The voter could not give a hoot to know the obvious except to the point that they do not like the offer. This is the reality, many do not like the Rudd- Gillard - Swan team. There is strong liking for Lindsay Tanner as a competent individual. We do not see much of him. He is seasoned and knows when to shut up. Gillard and Swan do not.

Back to the proposition of "right". Rudd, Gillard and Swan have clawed their way up the labor ladder of ascendancy. In their closeted world of factional endorsement and favouritism they have earned the coveted roles. The people of Australia are irrelevant in the process. They are sharing the benefits of the system independent of the voters. They now sell their wares to get more benefits. The proposition that they may be not the best the nation has to offer is irrelevant and not in their self belief system. The hide is thickened and they hear and believe what they want."


September 28, 2007, Kevin Rudd and Labor will not win the federal election of 2007



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THE PARTY LOOKS AT JOHN HOWARD INSTEAD OF AT EACH OF THEMSELVES


As John Howard defends himself from those who think he is the focus of the party's disenhantment in the electorate, the members of cabinet and the back benchers seem oblivious to their own contributions. Many if not all are suspect in the charade. Feedback from far and wide indicates that the mantra "we are a good government" does not actually sync with reality and perception.

The government's detachment from reality, and ability to create negativity, was evident during APEC. Was it delusion or misrepresentation, by the Prime Minister, and others, that lead them to wax lyrical regarding the Sydney declaration on climate change? To overstate and embellish. To imply substance that is not there? Andrew Bolt mocked the declaration on the ABC Insider's programme, Sunday 9th, 2007. The Prime Minister, ably assisted by a bunch of fear mongering fantasy driven NSW politicians and bureaucrats, went for over the top security that demonstrates how these people view themselves in the world. The mean spirited, petulant, Alexander Downer who continually denigrates others whilst pushing his own credentials and performance. Alexander says that he learnt French i two months and that Rudd took two years to learn Mandarin. What is Downer's logic? Alexander speaks a number of other languages - "vitriole", "parseltongue" and "punce". The latter two vie for his number one language skills.

Where was the Minister for Trade, Warren Truss at APEC? He had no public role. Is he a liability. The Deputy Prime Minister filled the role and John Howard was the defacto Trade Minister. John Howard's grandiose signing of the Woodside Gas deal with China. It was already agreed. Why were the other major (billion dollar) gas deals also not signed and trumpeted? John Howard, and his Ministers, have had little if anything to do with the expansion of the resource industry. The performance of Nick Minchin, and Ian MacFarlane, in the portfolio during the tenure of the government shows no glowing triumphs. Quite the opposite if we examine magnesium, and metals, benefication policy and investment. The government has stifled research and development. Overall APEC, as apolitical bounce, for an ailing and afflicted government did not go well. The public opinion was not swayed in favour of John Howard. The poll of Tuesday 11, September 2007, will show that the labor party has received increased support.



RULES CHANGE STATE AND TERRITORY GOVERNMENTS' PERFORMANCE INFLUENCE VOTERS

It was once the common wisdom that there was a separation between state and federal issues come election time. That is now not the case. The perception of the quality, and performance of governments in Australia provides the federal government with the ammunition to enter into state and territory politics. Examples, the intervention into education, water, the Northern Territory aboriginal communities, the local government amalgamations in Queensland, health in Tasmania. This is not limited to the coalition. Kevin Rudd has implied that his government would also intervene in the state health system. The Australian Constitution clearly delineates responsibilities hwoever the entity that has the money often calls the tune. It is the federal government. In addition the Australian government has exercised its constitutional powers under the corporations and external powers to test state resolve and alter the balance e.g industrial relations and employment law.

A measure the public perception of performance would give a basis for this intervention and the question arises as to whether the antipathy for state and territory will translate into a federal election voting impact. Is the alternative to an underperforming state government now the federal government? If a measure was applied, how flattering or unflattering to the states and territories would it be? If a measure is attempted using techniques such as analysis, research methodologies and survey instruments should it also not include the Australian government and its own institutions?
Quality Policy Public Service Integrity
Queensland 5/10 5/10 3/10 4/10
New South Wales 3/10 3/10 3/10 3/10
Victoria 3/10 5/10 4/10 1/10
South Australia 7/10 7/10 6/10 8/10
Western Australia 4/10 5/10 4/10 0/10
Tasmania 0/10 1/10 3/10 0/10
Northern Territory 1/10 1/10 2/10 0/10


COALITION CAN CLOSE POLL GAP IF IT CHANGES MESSAGES


September 5, 2003, and the media is gleefully reporting the widening gap (published polls), in voter intentions, between labor, lead by Kevin Rudd, and the coalition (government) lead by John Howard. Commentators state that members of the government benches are perplexed as to why their economic record and the good times are not reflecrted in the polls? According to my research and analysis there are a number of reasons.

The Costello Effect


There is a plethora of research, and polling, over the past four years, focused on the voter attitude to the possibility of Peter Costello becoming Prime Minister. The simple proposition is that the electorate does not want him in this role. This is such a compelling attitude that a liberal party member, who organised a friendly support demonstration for George Bush at APEC told the ABC (radio) that he had a banner in his lounge - "John Howard forever Peter Costello never". The liberal party hierarchy have studiously ignored this truth and continue to talk of Peter's ascension to the Prime Ministership of Australia.
If Peter Costello were to state that he did not intend to become Prime Minister, should the government be returned then the poll bounce would occur. This is unfortunate for Peter Costello is misunderstood and he is categorised as something he is not. He would actually make a very good and caring Prime Minister for he is far more socially aware and cognisant to the haves and have not. If one examines Peter Costello's university days and his history and speeches and his tendency to ameliorate the harshness of his colleagues one may very well get a different view. Pity is that no one really bothered to do this and the media never had an inkling. There is much that is unknown to the voters of the nation about the real capacity and nature of the Treasurer. Obviously the strategy he and his supporters adopted to move into the Prime Ministerial role has failed and he it seems will never be Prime Minister. However to have Peter say that he will not ascend, has a sting the tail. Who can the Prime Minister nominate as the next liberal leader? The electorate is unlikely to support Alexander Downer, Philip Ruddock, Brendan Nelson or Tony Abbott or any of the ministers who carry
negative baggage. Malcolm Turnbull may have been a contender but one wonders what the effect of the Gunns, Tasmanian pulp mill is having? There is also a lack of support perceived in the liberal party for his rise. Julie Bishop or Helen Coonan perhaps, is the party ready for a woman? It seems hardly govern that they have not put a creche in parliament and have not addressed inequity in benefits and salaries for women. There is a subliminal message inherent in government human resource policies and legislation.

The antipathy to Peter Costello far outweighs the value people place on the economy and government performance and also they want Peter Costello to remain as Treasurer.

The next proposition is that the liberal party has a closed mind and perception regarding trade unionists. It is its own worst enemy because it focuses on themes and messages that talk only to the converted. Joe Hockey, in a recent debate on ABC Television with Julia Gillard, continually referred to the fact that 70% of the labor party front bench had trade union backgrounds. So what? Does he not realise the mythical status some enjoy? The government that is firmly believed, by commentators and many voters, to have been one of the best opening up the nation to the good times and the world was lead by a trade unionist and had similar numbers of trade unions in its front bench ranks - the labor government of Bob Hawke. The successor Paul Keating had qualities that annoyed the voters. Kevin Rudd appears to have no such qualities. John Howard has many. Peter Costello has significant. The spectre of Peter Costello successding John Howard haunts the electorate and reinforces their antiptahy to the government.


Abysmal human resources and role model leadership


The greater number of the public see trade unionists generally doing good things - looking after people who have difficulty looking after themselves, who are in aposition of dimished power. They also do good things in their communities. The people who worked to get the benefits many receive today in the workforce are believed to have been trade unionists. They won this gr9ound just like Ned Kelly is a folk hero. people, generally, do not see these benefits as deriving from the goodness of heart of the employers, who generally oppose everything, nor things provided out of the godness and heart of governments, particularly a lberal government. The benefits they have today are the product of a labor movement. They see trade unions in a different light, as social value and good not as vandals. Julia Gillard also made the valid point about the disparity between men and women in the workforce and their salaries and benefits, which falls on deaf ears of Joe Hockey and the government and the employers. If they continue with the trade union composition line, the government is going to get a response it does not expect eveytime they run this argument. They definitely would not want a comparison on performance for each individual on the front bench, of either side because the government ahs but one csore card - economic. The rest can be framed in the negative. Add to this that the government's Human Resources Management Policy - Work Choices catalyst continues to burn brightly and it is no good saying that "we made it fair". Human resource managementb in Australia is appallingly poor and the government presents no leadership role model along with the major business and industry associations. The Australian government actively encouraged poor bosses to be even worse, under the protection of law, providing an endless fuel supply for the anti-government camapaigns. They are oblivious to being linked. The Australian government has corroded the Australian Public Service and as such is a poor employer iteslf demonstrating its ignorance of human capital. The public service is infested with ashort term directive mentality fostered by government and embedded in a myriad of contract employees and experts, with little knowledge of the history, contribution and place of the public service. In dealing with the public service one has to deal with the revolving door - employees coming and going and the varying levels of motivation and morale. The government has never expected to win the Australian Capital Territory House of Representative seats anyway. The Ministers, and their unelected advisers, have chosen the Secretaries and set out the ground rules for their employees - do as you are told and what the Minister wants regardless of the merit. The public service is government service. The most senior people in the nation present an uninspiring and corrosive role model for others to follow. Treat people as expendible and limit their capacity whilst others enjoy the fruits of economic growth and profit wealth. The liberal members of parliament wonder why there is a reaction in the negative on wide scale across the nation? If it were just for the failure to provide a framework to harness, and develop, Australia's human talent alone, the government should lose office.

The government is seen as only making the Work Choice policy appear fair, because unions intervened with biting television advertisements and the government re-election prospects were endangered. According to the coalition mantra everyone is either wrong or being deliberately misleading, all of them, except of course, the coalition.

APEC is not viewed as valuable overall, by the citizens of the nation and it is generally believed, by the greater number of voters, that it is unlikely that a talk fest of politicians will deliver anything. The sycophantic, and back slapping, ritual of John Howard and George Bush at the Apec Conference (September 5, 2007) will widen the poll gap. Given all of the above the government has no messages that cut through to the unconverted. If it continues the gap will widen to the extent that it will cover the necessary percentage to deliver sixteen or a larger number of seats to labor. The coalition has until November 10, 2007 to come up with a new dance card and set of messages because fear and denigration will not work this time round.


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Declining Respect


The leaders of the two major political parties that control the Australian federal parliament are pictured. Many people believe that they mutually, and cooperatively, offer the nation nothing more than tried, and tested, mediocrity, with underlying corrosion, and corruption, of our democracy and public service.

It is an uninspiring parliament. Given this the question is posed why would anyone who cared about the nation's quality, and integrity, of government vote for these people and the candidates who support them? Put another way why do people allow the development of a presidential style of government controlled by two parties? The answers they give are simple. Some can be bought, some do not care, some respond one or both. Alternatively some despair being able to do anything about it. Thus most are forced to be pragmatic and accept reality. Forced to participate, to do business and all of the other things that make life for those who must deal in the world of politics and public service, (according to their descriptions) shitty, like it or not. The voices of those who want something better are lost in the noise. An extensive array of research, surveys and commentary indicates that these are not respected men of leadership which inspires. Surveys indicate that respect for the Prime Minister, and several Ministers, is at an all time low. Respect for the Kevin Rudd and the labor party may be marginally better. They are considered to be expert manipulators, and incumbents, of a squalid system of privilege and exclusion. General impressions are that these are beige men not worth remembering after they are gone.

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Unless otherwise attributed the content below is authored by Kevin R Beck, Melbourne, Australia
Don't shoot the messenger.
Sources, Methodologies and Research Methods



As at August 31, 2007 I (Kevin R Beck) predict a change of twelve seats to Labor, with no gains for the liberals, but Kevin Rudd needs sixteen. There will be an increase in the number of independents in the parliament in the NSW electorates. Generally a large, but highly uninformed or ignorant, public opinion swings to labor.

However as at August 31, 2007 I say
the parliament will be hung.


The extent of dislocation, by the two main political parties, from the general voting public can be seen in the manner of choosing leaders and senior parliamentary portfolio members. Candidates arte selected and foisted upon the electorates. From this pool of favoured elite the Prime Minister is named, not by tyhe people but by the labor or liberal parliamentary party members. The Prime Minister then picks the Ministry after factional negotiations and jockeying takes place. This elitist process is particularly noticeable, now (August 28, 2007) in the detached reality with which liberal party parliamentary members openly discuss transition options once John Howard retires, or is removed by voters, from the parliament. Regardless of public perception most talk of Peter Cotsello as the next leader and potential Prime Minister. Some point to Tony Abbott, Brendan Nelson or Malcolm Campbell. Then there is talk of Alexander Downer taking a more senior role. The people of Australia clearly have indicated they do not consider Peter Costello as a Prime Minister of popular choice. The people of the nation have no real say in who will govern them and run their democracy.




It is very difficult to measure perception and attitude. The larger number of people are illiterate as to democracy and the value of their governments. They simply have no clue, are not inclined to inform themselves and are happy to act on perceptions and something they have heard. They are the typical people, represented by the narrow thinking lot, who contacted the ABC to complain about the extent of coverage of the EI infection stating that they did not see why it was relevant because such a "small number of people are affected". There is another group that does try to inform themselves but they have little, or no, interaction with government and public servants. There are people who do have interaction or who are affected by policy and action but have no idea how politics, parliaments and public service and agencies operate. A minority have a well informed perspective, are knowledgeable and experienced.

The commentary below, in the boxes, describing senior members of government and opposition, is assembled from sources who are impacted by, and interact regularly with, public service, government, business and community. They have to work with any incoming government or run businesses, employ people, create outcomes or can influence outcomes and politics.


August 27, 2007
SUMMARY OF GARNERED PERCEPTIONS REGARDING
THE FOURTH HOWARD MINISTRY
Drawn from the research, and analysis, methodologies and sources described at the base of this site, period January 2005 - August 2007.
Federal Minister Assessed public perception Comment
The Hon John Howard MP Postal Votes may save him He is expected to suffer a vote loss, >5%, along with a large Sydney based voting contingent upset with what they describe as "over the top" security for the APEC conference held in Sydney (September 3, 2007 for a week). There is some feeling that the PM, and the state Premier Morris Iemma and Minister for Police David Campbell, actively foster or invite confrontation. When people are asked what they think of Howard and Iemma, at this time, they are described as less than statesman like terms. French philosopher Michel Foccault theorised that politics is war.

There is a certain mediocrity in the political response, and action, using security as the justification for panic and fear creation in the populace. The focus of Prime Minister Howard, and his government, has been on security. The debate rages on human and civil rights and the proposition is that citizens must give up aspects of freedom in order to live free and safe. It is one thing to ring fence Australia from invading refugees on boats. It is quite another to ring fence the Sydney CBD from its citizens. Howard is spiralling towards an election defeat of extensive proportions and handing Rudd what he needs, greater than a sixteen seat victory.
The Hon Tony Smith MP
Senator the Hon Nick Minchin
The Hon Mark Vaile MP Neutral for government
The Hon Jim Lloyd MP No profile particularly in NT situation, lose seat Negative for government
The Hon De-Anne Kelly MP Quirky and not a great advertisement for government National Party will hold
Senator the Hon David Johnston Lose Alienated professionals in big way, not astute to noise and audience
The Hon Peter Costello MP Should consider retiring at this stage and entering a lucrative career where his skills and talents will be rewarded, instead of suffering the games that senior liberals play. Estiamted swing against him of >5%, he has limited voter support to be PM
The Hon Peter Dutton MP Lose seat Negative for government and indications are he is not respected
The Hon Chris Pearce MP
Senator the Hon Nick Minchin
Senator the Hon Helen Coonan
The Hon Alexander Downer MP Lose seat Appears to have low leves of respect in a number of professional sectors, some respondents view Mr Downer as prone to being silly and petulant.
The Hon Greg Hunt MP Poor performer Low levels of respect from professionals in Victoria. Some say does not listen others say listens but does not hear.
The Hon Warren Truss MP No stars are being awarded for perfomance
The Hon Gary Nairn MP Hold seat Well liked former surveyor, works hard and has support where he least knows
Senator the Hon Richard Colbeck No profile People surveyed said "who?"
The Hon Tony Abbott MP Hold seat Negative for government, not liked as possible PM, large swing against is predict5ed in his seat
The Hon Christopher Pyne MP Up and comer well liked and seen as good performer Positive influence in South Australia
Senator the Hon Brett Mason Not liked by NZ interests No impact on government chances
Senator the Hon Chris Ellison Poor in every portfolio, lacks vision and awareness, does not apply rigour, poor departmental support and has inherited massive qwaste iof public monies exceeding $A50,000,000 since 2006. Department should be closed and contractors sacked. Major negative impact on government chances
The Hon Philip Ruddock MP Not liked by a large number of people surveyed, particularly professional legal, academics and some business, severe swing against Major negative
Senator the Hon George Brandis SC Described in political circles as a "poser" in Senate, rude and insulting. Negative influence on goverment chances
The Hon Peter McGauran MP Quite well liked but some described him as loud and as bombastic, some said he was a pawn of AWB and corporate interests. Many think AWB should have been exiled from any role in wheat. Residual affect of corruption tinges Minister's relatively unblemished public record including the travel rorts scandal of several years back. He repaid hisd travel funds, and took the heat, rather than whine, bluster and avoid accountability, like others. He is viewed as informed, knowledgeable, strong, and decisive, on the equine influenza disaster, and is building accolades there, unlike Kevin Rudd and his low profile agricultural spokesperson. As usual Kevin Rudd wants a public enquiry. Peter McGauran will hold his seat in Gippsland. Positive influence for government
The Hon Dr Brendan Nelson MP Variable reactions, deemed to be aloof, lacking in knowldege and credibility, does not have good public image, negative views are held about this Minister, in powerful sectors of defence fraternity Negative image
The Hon Bruce Billson MP Not considered a star performer Slight negative influence, has alienated manufacturing and other business interests, in his electorate
The Hon Peter Lindsay MP Strong Howard supporter, swing against him pending but may be ameliorated by Beattie's amalgamation confrontation. Though te departure of Beattie has made this die down. Anna Bligh's push for council amalgamations will be an important influence in voter responses.
Minor negativity
The Hon Ian Macfarlane MP Will suffer swing Broad unhappiness in small to medium manufacturing sector.
The Hon Fran Bailey MP Damaging impact in her tourism portfolio Lacks busines support and is major negative influence on government chances
The Hon Bob Baldwin MP Profile is predominantly local.
The Hon Kevin Andrews MP Severe swing expected against him. Viewed as plodding in every portfolio. The written citizenship test smacks of a kindergarten - school master approaches and is inane. Andrews in a media interview, says that the applicant has to know the date of federation and they can sit as many times as they like. Nothing like a bit of rote to make it all worthwhile. Kevin Andrews comes across as lacking in political nous and awareness of the larger picture. Major negative for the government
The Hon Teresa Gambaro MP Tarred in the immigration bottomless pit Should know better than to be associated with the citizenship test.
Senator the Hon Eric Abetz Respondents describe him as rude, and overbearing, in the Senate, prone to insulting people he questions. Some described qualities as ignorant. He is a senator, in a corrupt labor state. He is biased and not likely to put the public interest above party political interest. Severe negative for the government image
The Hon Sussan Ley MP
The Hon Mal Brough MP Viewed as principled and decisive, hold seat Major positive for government image
Senator the Hon Nigel Scullion
The Hon Julie Bishop MP Variable impressions, stalled in pursuit of reform and shackled by a lumbering lack lustre department fighting its own internal reform agenda. She will hold seat Overall a positive for government image
The Hon Andrew Robb AO MP Some say did not translate well from the party machine to government, misjudged public, and interest, reactions and not a diplomat in a multicultural role such as citizenship. Created what is considered by many to be a ridiculous and arduous 200 question citizenship test now being implemented by Kevin Andrews and Teresa Gambaro. Negative for government
The Hon Pat Farmer MP Large swing, will probably lose seat Casualty of "change" perception
The Hon Joe Hockey MP Squandered talent through change of portfolio. He handed Human Services to lesser performer and thus the government has created two failures - Access Card and IR Policy. However Joe Hockey is nothing if not committed. Will hold seat. Strated on a high positive for government image but at October 2, 2007, managed in a few hours to demonstrate poor judgement turning into a negative. May well have damaged the government irreparably when the backlash, against intemperate, insulting and defamatory comments, regarding Sydney University research academics come hom to rooss. Growing opinion that government is arrogant, parliament may be better off without him.
The Hon Dr Sharman Stone MP Swing against her but will hold seat Neither positive nor negative image
The Hon Malcolm Turnbull MP Rise has attracted many enemies, including within the liberal party, poorly advised and now caught up in Tasmanian pulp mill. He is drawn into the corrupt web of Tasmanian politics and business. Being lent on by aosme liberals to approve the Gunn's pulp mill. Some (Geoff Cousins for example) think that he needs to come down on side of democracy and take a ethical stand against Eric Abetz and the corrupt Tasmanian political class or he will be damaged. A positive image for government going negative.
The Hon John Cobb MP All but gone Casualty of own failures and of voter perception


To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


August 27, 2007
SUMMARY OF GARNERED PERCEPTIONS REGARDING
THE RUDD SHADOW MINISTRY
Drawn from the research, and analysis, methodologies and sources described at the base of this site, period January 2005 - August 2007.
Federal Shadow Minister Assessed public perception Comment
The Hon Kevin Rudd MP Flying high in opinion polls The corrosive and corrupt practices of state labor governments and party apparatchiks is a negative for federal labor. Kein Rudd is starting to show extensive flaws. He is fundamentally seen, by knowledgeable thinkers, as a bureaucrat whose first response is to have an enquiry (the tool of the bureaucrat) as eviodenced by his laxcking respo0nse to the horse flu epidemic. Viewed by a number as a control freak. Some respondents think he lacks depth on policy and asks, and answers, own questions. One respondent said tat we should never assume that Kevin Rudd was "anything more than a central controller" and this is "Rudd's show". These attitudes may arise from iron control exercised when working in Queensland politics and the current gagging by his senior staff, working across every area of the shadow ministry. Rudd's staff are a threat to good democracy as are the Prime Minister and Minsiter's staff. The labor lead expected to diminish as campaign enters the formal period. Liked by the group who ahve little knowledge of how government operates and who have little interaction with government. Fundamentally these are the "politically dumb" who ahve little value for democracy and government. Some respondents used the term "smart arse". "A bureaucrat turned politician." The cautious approach is a costly and time consuming one. It enables "wriggle room" and many ways to avoid decisions and acountability. The justification for this is that labor ahs been on the sidelines for eleven years. This raises the question how does the parliament function when the flow of information is limited, withheld and sanitised? It does not function effectively. The political duoply, labor and liberal, are equally culpable as is the public service management. There is no public interest.
The Hon Julia Gillard MP Public opinion split My (Kevin R Beck) personal opinion is that she is an annoying person, much like her boss. A number of respondents said that she demonstrates an unlikeable tendency to threaten, uses the he Employment and IR umbrella as a mallet, has "Social Inclusion" in her portfolio but fails to demonstrate full inclusive tendency, lacking in real communication ability, aggressive tone and style polarises and divides, she is a poor political choice as running mate for an aspirant Prime Minister, consistent unwillingness of Ms Gillard to give ground is a strong negative for labor and poses questions as to her style as a Minister.
The Hon Stephen Conroy Seems to be occupied with factional politics, no clear definition of telecommunications and information policy strategy Neutral to Positive Impact, needs to define broaband and other policies more deeply, good image and photogenic is liked by respondents
The Hon Robert McLelland MP High positive impact for Labor. Respected for intelligenta anlysis and measured responses. Respondents say that he demoonstrates an extensive understanding and demonstration of the Foreign Affairs portfolio. Seen to have superior ability to Alexander Downer in communication and distillation of issues. Does not exhibit petulance and irritation when confronted as does the Minister.
The Hon Senator Chris Evans No blue print relesaed for infrastructure, eregy and resources of any substance or vision Neutral impact for Labor
The Hon Anthony Albanese MP Annoying preaching style on environment, not scientifically based in arguments and debates, viewed as ideological Neutral to Negative Impact for labor
The Hon Arch Bevis MP Highly respected in defence circles for government Positive for labor
The Hon Chris Bowen MP Low profile in treasury and competitive policy role Neutral impact
The Hon Tony Burke MP Strong performance in immigration and citizenship shadow role against government's Kevin Andrews and Andrew Robb Positive for labor
The Hon Senator Kim Carr Viewed as interventionist by industry Negative for labor
The Hon Simon Crean MP Liked by most if not all who are aware of his past Strong positive for labor
The Hon Craig Emerson MP Considered to be highky intelligent and aware, good grasp of portfolio Positive for labor
The Hon Laurie Ferguson MP Not considered strong in area of responsibility Neutral to slight negative impact
The Hon Martin Ferguson MP Well liked by those who are aware of his past Positive impact for labor.
The Hon Joel Fitzgibbon MP Respected and liked in his portfolio of shadowing defence, able to debate Minister Nelson and raise valid questions Positive for labor.
The Hon Peter Garrett MP Garrett wanted to play a role in mainstream environmental politics and knew that he could not do it with the Grens and the activist groups and bodies like the Australian Conservation Foundation. Losing support, celebrity status wearing off, among these blinkered ideologs who do not get that compromise and negotiation is the key to success. They see Peter Garrett as a poor performer in environment. The Australian media try to wedge him on his past and present views and stands. Labor is not well served in environmental credentails, with Peter Garrett and left wing environemnatl trogolodyte, Anthony Albanese, who demonstrates a capacity for stupidity in his debates. Most particularly regarding uranium mining and processing. Any his comments on energy and the environment in general. Resonmdents found labor weak on logic and analysis bordering on bias. They are sceptical about forest policy due to domination by the CFMEU.

Kevin Rudd's propensity is to wait to see what Howard does, in relation to Gunn's mill proposal in Tasmania, leaving Peter Garrett dangling. Kevin Rudd may well have to hire John Howard if he wins to tell him what to do when he becomes Prime Minister and to put a thought into his head? In a recent interview with the ABC (Sunday, 2 September 2007) Peter Garrett stated that Kevin needs to .... "make a decision based on all of the information", reinforcing Rudd's iron control of thought, comment and action in the party. If Rudd wins, Ministers are not likely to be their own men, and women, able to act without fear of intervention in the petty, and manipulated, liitle "Rudd world". Peter Garrett repeatedly uses the phrase "world's best practice" in relation to the Gunn's pulp mill. He is oblivious to how inane this is, since it cannot be defined and is the common catch all cry of people, sucha s politicians and capitalists, who want to snow the masses with hi-faluting, meaningless terms to justify questionable actions. He is quite annoying and in the same class as Kevin Rudd, a bureaucratic airhead. Federal labor refuses, naturally, to acknowledge that Tasmania's government has corruped the assessment and approval process.
Neutral for labor.
The Hon Allan Griifin MP In charge of negotiating preference deals Positive impact for labor
Senator Joseph Ludwig Shadow Attorney General better liked and more inclusive than Ruddock. Better communication skills and knolwdge of law and relationships. Making good impression. High positive (in professions) for labor
Senator Kate Lundy Well liked by those who know her work in Senate, particularly during Estiamtes, good grasp of technology and past history as rower holds her in good stead for this portfolio of Sports and Recreation, maye be wasted and talent not fully utilised High positive for labor
The Hon Jenny Macklin MP Viwed as compassionate, but not well received in previous role and may be perceived more talented in a back room detail and planning role, accepted as capable in family services and community portfolio Neutral impact
Senator the Hon Jan McLucas No match for Christopher Pyne, seems labor has relegated this role to lower status Neutral impact for labor
The Hon Bob McMullan Viewed as institutional and competent with a good corporate memory. High positive for labor
The Hon Senator Kerry O'Brien Not much of a response about his ability or how he is perceived, low profile and performance in shadow role Neutral to slight negative impact perhaps
The Hon Tanya Plibersek Variable reaction, considered intelligent but ideological, some say prone to making decisions and judgements without careful analysis and study. Can appear dismissive and may listen but not hear. Likely to hold own opinions and not be overly influenced by those oustide traditional circoes of involvement, ideologically based to the left. Negative to positive depending in which state, and suburbs, people are being asked
The Hon Nicola Roxon MP Quite well liked by those aware of her background in manufacturing enquiries and in detail policy development, accepted as being open to communication and debate. High positive impact for labor
The Hon Senator Nick Sherry
The Hon Stephen Smith MP Viewed as lacking experience and grounding in education, has not develope debate around literacy or challenging state curriculum, factionally occupied Negative to neutral impact depending upon who is asked
The Hon Wayne Swan MP Workmanlike, grasps at linking everything to some failure by government, "he says '' here is another example of ..." when it isn't an example of anything. Some said runs on rote and plays same tape over and over. Some question ethics after having been factional political enemy of Rudd when Beazley was leader.
Slight positive to slight negative impact, questions about capability as Treasurer
The Hon Lindsay Tanner MP Viwed as strong intellectual, capable of debating and accepting alternative opinions and arguments, able to mix with all types, good graso pf economy and treasury considered a better fit by some in finance and banking circles than Wayne Swan, into Treasurer role. High positive for labor
The Hon Anthony Byrne MP
The Hon Graham Edwards MP
The Hon Jenny George MP Poor reaction from those who know her past work and performance, disappointment for those who support labor and expected more Negative for labor
The Hon Catherine King MP
The Hon Kirsten Livermore Shadow on education with Stephen Smith and capable of better job than him High positive for labor but may suffer if vote turns nasty in Queensland over local government amalgamations, should hold seat
The Hon John Murphy MP
The Hon Brendan O'Connor MP
The Hon Burnie Ripoll MP
The Hon Warren Snowden MP More known for visiting clubs in USA than policy work, high profile in Northern Territory Overall a positive for labor
The Hon Senator Ursula Stephens






Estimation for key seats
Electorate Name Held By Margin Comment
BennelongLiberal 4.2% Cliffhanger
CowperNational 6.7% Hold
Eden MonaroLiberal 4.2% Hold
LindsayLiberal 2.9% Hold
MacquarieLiberal 0.5% Hold
PageNational 5.5% Hold
ParramattaLabor 0.9% Hold
WentworthLiberal 2.5% (false figure from last election, more like 7%) Will hold seat
BendigoLabor 1.0% Hold
CorangamiteLiberal 5.3% Hold
DeakinLiberal 5.0%Hold
IsaacsLabor 1.5% Hold
McMillanLiberal 5.0% Hold
BlairLiberal 5.7%Hold
BonnerLiberal 0.5% Change
FlynnNew Notional Liberal
HerbertMight go to Liberal
Targeted by extrenal interests
6.2% Swinging
LongmanLiberal 6.7% Hold
MoretonLiberal Notional Change
PetrieLiberal 7.9% Swinging
CowanLiberal 0.8% Hold
HasluckLiberal 1.8% Cliff hanger
StirlingLiberal 2.0% Cliff hanger
SwanLabor 0% Swinging
BoothbyLiberal 5.4% Hold
HindmarshLabor 0% Hold
KingstonLiberal 0% Cliff hanger
MakinLiberal 0% Lose
WakefieldLiberal 0% Cliff hanger
BassLiberal 2.6% Protest vote is going to be high, liberal may hold dependent on what Minister for the Environment, Malcolm Campbell does.
BraddonLiberal 1.0% Hold
SolomonLiberal 2.8% Hold
BowmanLiberal 8.9% Hold
Herbert Liberal 6.2% Hold
Latrobe Liberal 5.8% Hold
Paterson Liberal 6.3% Hold
DobellLiberal 4.8% Cliff hanger
DeakinLiberal 5.0% Cliff hanger
McEwenLiberal 6.4% Hold
HinklerNational 8.3% Hold but may go extremely marginal


THE RUDD THEME SONGS - "IT'S ALL ABOUT ME" - "I DID IT MY WAY"




(August 21 - 24, 2007) The Sebel Playford Hotel across from the Hyatt, Casino and the Adelaide Convention Center on North Terrace, is an unusual place. Tyhedecor is osetntatious with old world chandeliers and lounge bar that look as if it has been plucked out of England. Soft classical music adds to the atmosphere. The view is not spectacular, out on the North Terrace, just concrete, and glass, edifices of buildings. The casino is unusually located in, and above, the train station architecture. Nearby hushed voices discuss the politics of defence and war. The Australian Defence and Industry 07 Conference and Trade Show is in full swing. The department with the biggest budget is telling everyone how to do business with it. The clubby atmosphere is evident. There is gossip about the new interloper, never seen before, with the biggest private display stand at the show. It is not clear what the purpose of this extravaganza, of great cost to the public purse, is all about. One thing for sure it is about ego, and ostentatious, displays of public service power and effort. It is self gratuitous advertising to the club members. It is $80.00 through the door, severeal hgundred dollars to attend a sesion or two and a wad of cash to have a stand.

Yesterday Kevin Rudd swept through. We watched as the imperial presidential train passed by ignoring the little people in search of the headline, Brendan Nelson, Minister for Defence. Rudd had crashed the party and had a few simpering words to say about defence, typically shallow and lacking in substance, as his style of campaigning, his own questions and asked and answered. The control freak inperson surrounded by an adoring media with little enquiry to challenge their intellects. The people on the stands are, like the voters, collateral to a politician's unseeing cavalcade. Ignored unless there is picture opportunity. The troop carrier, a big howitzer, men and women in uniform, the fodder of political ideology in the modern war on everything, attracts attention and provides photo opportunities. The visit to this exhibition was just a stunt, organised by a spin practitioner in the office of the opposition leader, and had little value in determining whether Kevin Rudd is any better than the one he opposes in the election. Many when asked respond that he is a conservative reflection in a mirror an echo. Am I different you ask? Well let me answer that....

I do not like Rudd any more than I like Downer or Ruddock, Swan or Gillard. They are not, to my mind, champions of democracy and the people. They are not briliant minds able to galvanise and lead and inspire. They are more parrots, at the top of the tree, of a two party preferred system of governance that steals the nation's democracy.


QUESTIONABLE, PERHAPS CORRUPT, RELATIONSHIPS AT THE STATE LEVEL


(mid August, 2007) The bars along the water front in Hobart have the most spectacular ambience particularly as the evening deepens. This is the most relaxing part of the day. We wait in silence taking in the scenes. Soon we will be joined by a group of serious people who may or may not appreciate the splendour. The topic of discussion will be the corrupt relationships between business and government. We will be briefed on the terms of our contract. We will be advised of the budget parameters and the tiemlines but not the identities of the people funding the contract. The funds travel via third parties and they are not used for advertising or influencing voters. They are to be used for evaluations, focus survey and research, polling and community based activities in nominated places across Australia. This contract is, in broad terms, to advise, stategise and assist others, to bring to and end the corrosion, and corruption, of political process under the stewardship of both federal, and state, members of parliaments. The contract includes focusing on the performanmce of the individuals, and departments and agencies, within the public and private sector facilitating the actions of polliticians who are believed to be acting against the public interest or acting for the unfair interests of others such as corporations. This is a behind the scenes, and over the horizon, political activism not experienced previously in Australia. It is as if sections of the power collective not normally associated with each other are comibn together in a common purpose, to take back democracy on the one hand from corrup interests at the state level. This is but one of thirty contracts we have seen and we know there are many, many more out there. They are bi-partisan focused on members of the labor and liberal parties. Inexplicably we have seen none focusing on national party parliamentary members.

HIDDEN FORCES USE PULP MILL TO LAUNCH ASSAULT ON TURNBULL LEADERSHIP ASPIRATIONS?

Tasmania is one of the federal election battle grounds. This state is the national example of a corruption of democracy with the citizens sidelined to political interests. The labor government, under the Premiership of Paul Lennon presents a constant example of the sickness that infests Tasmania's government, and bureaucracy, bringing along with it, the manipulation of parliamentary process and public office.

The largest corporation in Tasmania is Gunns. It is a
multiheaded enterprise A powerful corporation where politics and busines blend and ex politicians can be found in gainful employment. It has a proposal for a new pulp mill, which surprise, surprise, has been approved by the labor government. According to the Premier the project has undergone a rigorous, and thorough, examination by independent and credible parties.

The federal Minister for the Environment, Mr. Malcolm Turnbull, wil make his determination under federal law as to wthere the proposed mill will proceed. This issue is a minefield for the federal minister and the liberal party. Behind the scenes stalking interests are taking sides and the state is divided. The issue is spilling into the mainland particularly in the metropolitan electorates. The Green vote is growing, the labor vote is impacted and the liberal vote is in fine balance. How can it be read in terms of outcomes? It would be politically best for the coalition to defer a decision on the mill until after the election. Would this be best for the economy?


August 20, 207, and I have completed a round of visits to Queenscliffe (Victoria), and inland turning down to Port Fairy. To Sydney and Canberra. There is a lot to be learnt in pubs and in small stores around the nation. Along the Great Ocean Road in Victoria, as in every other place, there is a general belief that labor will win. However a majority of people with whom I spoke had not made up their minds. THey seemed to be not the ones that are surveyed for the polls. I have never met anyone who answers surveys, have you? Shopkeepers were evenly divided though one woman did respond that she disliked both parties. The gap between labor and liberal appears tro be moving slowly together. Canberrans are knownt to be predominantly labor voters particularly in the Apublic service. It is interesting in Queanbeyan where labor is running an ex military candidate against the sitting Minister. In the areas near to Canberra he is strong but as distance grows particularly to the south inland from the coast his support diminshes. Labor is pedning, as is the coalition on the seat of Eden Monaro.

As the election campaign goes into full swing this gap will narrow dramatically. There will be further contagion from the finance and sharemarket into housing as credit tightens and this will hurt people in middle income and lower incomes who have credit card and home loan debt. Peter Costello predicted that Australia would not be affected by the US share and financial market woes. This is not the case. The impact will be quite dramatic. The circumstances will play in favour of the coalition as people grow concerned that the interest rate impacts will be lesser under the government than under labor.

The impact of business advertisements supporting the government's employment legislation (workchoices) is difficult to gauge. When asked some said that it was self serving interest of the busines sector and of bosses. Others were concerned that their kids, about to leave secondary school, or university, might have trouble getting jobs in non resource areas of the nation. August 21, 2007 and we are off to Adelaide to test the feelings there. Overall I think it is counterproductive to the coalition.


(August 8, 2007) Research polling, carried out for election voting trends, relies upon selection of a cohort that is representative of the community. The demographics of those surveyed are not carefully screened in detail and depth, for example the questions are less than scientificaly worked out, it is unlikely that the respondents are chosen for their level of education, experience in work and world, beliefs and values. Thus the results are questionable. In any situation there will be a "pack mentality". The pack mentality arises largely from the human tendency to gather like sheep. Views are likely to be perceptions rather than fact, generalities rather than deep specifics, knowledeg and awreness. The extremes are cut off either end and the average is taken and used. The polls for the 2007 election are thus, to my mind, flawed. The results are then tabulated into a general media headline - if an election was held today, based on the X poll, labor would win. This is highly questionable and I believe unlikely.

Better judgements, and assumptions, can be made if the chort is carefully chosen and constructed. A cohort that is a mix of very broad and even extreme demographics, with particular attention to the deviations from the norm. It is deviations that are of interest to me. In a marginal seat these deviations have impact. They particularly have impact in a two party, preferential system where all votes are allocated. Assuming that there is some merit in the polls being relied upon by media and commentators and taking into account the above propositions, this election will probably be won on a vote count of less than 3,000 tickets across the nation. On top of the questionable structure of polling we have the fact that labor must take between 15 - 17 seats in order to engage with the new parliament in a more meaningful way. What does this tell us statistically in terms of the marginal seats and the number of votes that deliver government? Some electoral contests will be measured in hundreds. There are many more marginal seats than are reported. The pendulums used and published for the federal elections gone by are not reflective of the current trends. The pack mentality (folowing the peer mainstream) operates in both the electorate and the political party structure. The back bench members of the coalition, and labor party, who believe, or are influenced by, the continual focus on flawed polling should be more reflective and less reactive. Kevin Rudd is the new public persona the emodiment of generational change. This is a media and PR driven myth and the feckless jump onto the wagon.

The content on the new Kevin07 web site, like Malcololm Turnbull's dog site, is not a meaningful interaction with policy makers and members of our highest and most venerable institution. Loading little videos and short personal pronouncements does not add to the participative nature of what a democracy should be. It is fluff, both shallow and often cynical. Former Prime Minister Paul Keating said, "let's cut to vaudeville" and Andy Warhol coined the proposition of "fifteen minutes of fame". The US has refined "presidential style" electioneering. They invented the Internet. Australians have embraced American technology, the cult of celebrity, beliefs and values with great gusto. They have degraded their own system and the cancer spreads.

Entertaining, and mildly influencing, the pack (the masses - the average) will not deliver government. Influencing the silent minority in the marginals will. Every day the tools, and utilities, of the Mosaic Portal, along with a network of other high content and different web sites and human networks, are used to raise points of debate and influence. To disseminate and receive feedback. You cannot find us on MyFace, MySpace or YouTube. We are beyond the horizon of the political party system operating in a constructed world of our making and that of our clients. According to a number of our focus participants and colleagues, who also happen to work in media and communications, Kevin07 is attractive to the journalists, and reporters, whose experience, capability to distil and analyse, glean assumptions and concentrate is measured in mere minutes. They write 800 - 1,500 words extolling the phenomenon that, according to them, heralds the new political battleground - cyberspace. Looking at the web sites of parties, and politicians, there appears to be a limited understanding of the utility and the medium. The greater impact comes at the local electorate level, interaction with local people. The media and the commentators still look at the political landscape through the eyes of their own experience and their peers. They see the high profile activists such as Get Up, Geoff Cousins and the Tasmaniana Pulp Mill (Malcolm Turnbull's seat of Wentworth) and the shallow "internet" community spaces. They totally miss another.


The Dynamics Of Influence Are Changing


Consider a frightening proposition for the local politician and the political party machine - the growth of an undefined interest group, or individuals, who are not lobbyists. They can raise funds, create strategies, link human and machine networks of interest, sell ideas and self interest that enable them to implement the strategies and deploy resources outside the scope of the traditional political processes which have guided political party thinking, strategy and campaigns in the past. These people operate within the system and use it. They are not fringe activists and air heads. The duopoly's control of the agenda, and the content, is now under threat. A mosaic that comes together, breaks apart and reassembles. The objective is many fold. The strategy masters seek to become serious participants in in all the domains of the power collective. Fracturing the domination of the few over the many.

This task is made somewhat easier, in the political arena, due to the poor, or non existent, "systems infrastructure in place for gathering and distilling intelligence" within the political parties and their disjointed offices across the nation. The breakdown of party membership has narrowed their information sources. The use of keen but inexperienced interns, and volunteers who have little historical or other knowledge and skill that might equip them to be discerning. Communicatons, and events, are not linked in a correlated database or in the minds of the party managers and politicians. There is no ranking, or analysis, applied to incoming correspondence, communication or the presence of external parties in the electorate or parliamentary environment. Everything is, it seems, looked at in isolation or not picked up at all. On the other hand individuals are all too often dismissed or ignored. In debates with senior political party members I am told that the resources of the party would never stretch to such sophisticated tools. This is an interesting excuse given that they face such resourced individuals who have harnessed and applied technology to the very think they claim is not feasible.



A Deteriorating Democracy and Public Service


There are many aspects of the corrosion of the democratic process in Australia but none more insidious than the deterioration of our public services across the nation. This corruption of the service is the direct result of the actions of the senior politicians of the labor and the liberal parties. We can see it every day. John Howard and Kevin Rudd aspire to be leaders, yet mediocrity is the benchmark of both. They are manipulators, into political head games and one upmanship. The sport of gladiatorial contest using the public's money.

Mediocrity is aped by those below in the parliaments and in the public services, particularly if they are beholden to those above them in the chain. We can see mediocrity every day. Kevin Rudd offers nothing more than the "me too" maintenance of the status quo and the appointment of the loyal to public office and positions. He offers to maintain the corruption, and the corrosion, ably supported by thugs of the labor movement inherent in Julia Gillard's threats, of some time ago, to anyone who opposed labor. Woe behold when we come to office. At least Mark Latham was open about thuggery. Kevin Rudd asks and answers his own questions, but stays silent on the issue of what is his vision of a true "public service" and a "true democratic government", managed in a system where we can trust every level. Highly unlikely that the fellow will deliver anywhere near a quality government and service, with both performing in the public interest. He is into mind game plays not substantial reforms of our systems and integrity of process.


Damaging the Government's Relection Chances - Kevin Andrews - A Test of Character

(August 2007) Kevin Andrews never seems to understand that he should stay off the media trying to justify himself. His performance on the ABC Insiders programme (August 5, 2007) demonstrates his mediocre media communications capability. He is a dry backroom operator, a statistical, logical and measured thinker focused on decisions. The act governs how he must make his decisions and he did so within the act. He has nothing to gain in seeking to reiterate dry facts in a confrontational interview. It is boring and Mr. Andrews should have dropped it the defence tactic days ago. But he did not.

What Constitutes Terror Tactics in An Economy?

At the end of the interview the ground shifted under Andrews. He is asked if he is a patron of a US Pro Life organisation, an honourary adviser. He responds in the positive that he is. He is then told the tactics of the organisation which include economic blockades of companies making contraceptives using what some might define as extreme, radical activism. Some liberal free marketers may well describe these as terror tactics. Kevin Andrews is trapped and in his final moments on television all but concedes he supports the organisations tactics and activism.

"Mr Andrews is officially listed as a board member to Life Decisions International (LDI),

Boards of Directors/Advisors: Members of LDI's Board of Directors/Board of Advisors:

Hon. Kevin Andrews Member of Parliament (Hon. Advisor) Cabinet Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations Minister Assisting the Prime Minister for the Public Service (Australia)" (extract August 6, 2007): Web Source http://www.fightpp.org/show.cfm?page=boards)



"The organisation's most recent boycott list includes respected global pharmaceutical leader GlaxoSmithKline and entertainment giant Walt Disney. GlaxoSmithKline manufactures and distributes contraceptive pills and is involved with producing the so-called abortion drug RU-486. The Howard cabinet has grappled with the contentious issue of allowing the prescription of RU-486 in Australia. As a member of cabinet Mr Andrews has also been involved in decisions relating to the multimillion-dollar funding of national and international reproductive health programs." (Source: Kerry-Anne Walsh and Michelle Singer, August 5, 2007, Fairfax Digital, Brisbane Times)


Project Fightback sets out the agenda and the targets of the Minister's patronage. They state the following on their web site at August 5, 2007. "Help fight Planned Parenthood by refusing to do business with corporations that fund their deadly agenda. Did you know that the following corporations are boycott targets? Walt Disney, Basics Office Products, Whole Foods Market, JPMorgan Chase (including Chase Bank, & Bank One), Johnson & Johnson, Bank of America, Lost Arrow (Patagonia), Wells Fargo, Allstate (insurance), CCA Global (Carpet One, Flooring America, Flooring Canada, Flooring One, Lighting One, etc.), Chevron (including Xpress Lube, & Texaco), Comcast (cable television, Internet, etc.), eBay (including PayPal), Four Seasons Hotels (including Regent Hotels), GlaxoSmithKline (over-the-counter & prescription medication/treatments, personal care products, etc.), OSI Restaurant Partners (Outback Steakhouse, etc.), Marriott (including Courtyard Hotels, Fairfield Inn, Renaissance Hotels & Inns, Ritz-Carlton Hotels, etc.), Sears (Kmart), Sonic (drive-in restaurants), Wawa (convenience stores), Time Warner (HBO, Cinemax, AOL, etc.), and Wachovia. And this is just a partial list! (Source: From the web site of the group).

The above gives us a small window into the mind set of a federal Minister, his beliefs and attitudes. Kevin Andrews may well resign from the organisation but his days as a federal Minister are numbered by the 100 days to election, maybe not, his days as Minister will be less if the Prime Minister follows the chain of evidence. Kevin Andrews is now a major liability to the government. Particularly in its relationship to business.


The deportation of Dr Haneef is not an electoral turn issue and the Minister for Immigration, Mr. Andrews, and the Police Commissioner Mr. Keelty should simply stop responding to the media and the civil libertarians. The Police Commissioner demonstrated the pitfalls again when he got it wrong when being questioned. But not as bad as the inexperienced Minister for Justice, Senator David Johnston. He said that there should be no judicial oversight because Judges could not be trusted, they might leak the material. There seems to be a general presumption among those who achieve high office in politics, corporations, bureaucracy and institutions that they are able to, and are, good communicators. Invariably they are not. Yet they persist. Their spin doctors have not yet realised that modern technology, and its spontaneity, is diminishing their ability to create illusions. Politics, governments and the world of corporations is now open to orators, where ever they may be.


Can the Government and Labor Learn From the USA and Their National Broadband Legislative Approach?

Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) has opened up the legislative process to direct suggestions and feedback from U.S. citizens over at the new OpenLeft.com site, where he has been live-blogging about a new, comprehensive Internet bill he is writing. This post is about a parallel project we've started on Congresspedia. Cross-posted at OpenLeft. Any good piece of legislation is built on a solid understanding of the available research and data. Sen. Durbin has enlisted several knowledgeable experts to help him in this project and there's been some great discussion in the comments on OpenLeft. But comment threads can only go so long before, well, the threads get tangled. So, to fully enable collaboration between all the Internet wonks, policy geeks and regular Joes and Janes out there who have some relevant information (or can find some), we've created an open knowledge base on the Congresspedia wiki for Sen. Durbin's project." (Source: Kevin R Beck Distribution Forum - An email sent from the Center for Media and Democracy (USA), An Open Knowledge Base for the National Broadband Project (USA) by Conor Kenny, :prwatch.org)







Neither side deserves to win government


At July 31, 2007, despite continued poll results indicating different I believe that at this time Kevin Rudd and the labor party would not win the 2007 federal election. This is disappointing because I do not think that the government deserves to be relected. Yet, I do not think that labor deserves to be elected with its current line up of cfandidates and controlled factional preseelection process that walks union delegates into electoralo seats. The choices we have are decided by a handful of people. Our democracy is corroded and in need of revitalisation and reform. The two party system of control has relegated the citizen to an observer status. When I meet government ministers and senior public servants I know that, unless I come bearing gifts that they can use for their political objectives, it is just a polite meeeting from which nothing will eventuate. This sistuation will not alter under Kevin Rudd. The liberal and labor parties hear that there is significant disenchantment with the system but are not prepared to alter it. Rudd and Howard are not unqiue leaders who will become pioneedrs in reshaping the way we interact. They are creatures of the power collective who have clawed their way up the sewer of party politics to get where they are. They are beholden to others. That is the system of government and politics in Australia. Organisations such as Get Up, with motto, "Take Back Our Democracy" are symptomatic of the disenchantment, and disempowerment that we feel. However campaigning in the traditional manner and activism will not alter much at all. It is a hobby interest. Get Up, like the Democrats and the Greens, rattles around the fringes creating mild interest for the media. The rotten heart of the two party system lies deep in its structure and it requires a large amount of money, commitment and strength to penetrate to the depths and silence it. An election will not do it. Elections in Australia merely move the meery go round.

The statistics are against Mr Rudd, and labor, winning sixteen or more seats. This sobering obstacle remains despite a deterioration in the trust factor for the Howard government brought about by an ongoing lack of responsibility, and questionable integrity in public office, on the part of a number of Ministers. This is not to say that the people who occupy high office are not in essence good people. Quite the opposite, they are, they do devote themselves to public life when others cannot be bothered. However they seem to always put the party political interest, and retention of their status and government, before public interest. This is not surprising fo it is human nature and an ingrained modus opeandi of Australian politics. Every word they utter is carefully chosen, to dissemble and redirect. Their mantra, and justifications, too often ring shallow and hollow.

The most recent example of the government's deliberate attempts at redirection are Kevin Andrews' continuing attempts to justify his decision regarding Dr Haneef's revoked visa. He hever had to really justify his decision but he chose to do so and opened the pandora box. This is not politically astute. The general public accept quite meekly the probable guilt of people of certain ethnic backgrounds. In addition they are territorial and worried about security of the nation. The Minister advised that he would unveil secret information to justify his decision. Instead he rambled on about stuff on the court record. It was merely a repackaging, lacking in authority particularly when he was selective. This is not steely strength of purpose and belief, whcih Philip Ruddock exhibits. Andrews did not tell the public that Haneef had actually rung British police himself regarding his sim card before he was arrested in Queensland. The Minister's statements that certain things make him suspicious and strnghten his belief are unfortunate. There is little evidence that some Ministers of the Howard government accept the separation of executive and judicial power. The court may well determine there is little case to answer but a Minister, unfettered, may unilaterally impose a sanction, a life changing decision. There is no mechanism by which we can enquire into the efficacy of Ministerial and public service actions through our parliamentary and discovery processes. This is a major, major problem in Australia. More so since academic and rigorous debate is stifled and the "chattering classes" are denigrated.


Our systems do not support open accountability and discovery

The Australian Federal Police Commissioner, Mr. Keelty, may well be yet another face of the deterioration and growing incomptence, and corrosion, within the Australian Public Service ranks. He has spent his most recent days trying to blame everyone else for the Haneef stuff up.

There is much debate, in academic and intetrested circles, about
politicisation of the service. Denials of this, over the past twenty years, particularly from within the Australian Public Service itself cannot be sustained. The deterioration covers lack of experience, skill and in some cases a moral compass and understanding of the historical indepenednece and integrity of the service. The current head of the Health Department, Jane Halton, demonstrated the full capacity of a public servant to carry out the will of the government, in the "Children Overboard" affair. She has had much reported about her role in that particular manipulation by the Howard government of facts. There was no independence, in terms of the Code of Conduct, demonstrated in that episode by the public service, the special teams assembled or by the former head of the service, now gone to better pastures. The government was assisted in its lies and manipulation by compliant, and loyal, public servants. Reward, it is claimed by many has apparently duly flowed.

Today several years later (August 2007) we view a senior public servant appearing in government advertisements, on television, extolling the features of the government's revamped Workplace Relations Act. This is a key political issue in the election. To my mind the public servant degrades the independence of the service and is unprofessional. She has, to my mind, no place in the civil service if she fails to understand the fundamental principles that govern the foundations of the "public service. This person's salary was alleged by Glenn Milne on the ABC Insider's Programme, Sunday 19, August, 2007 to be $500,000. The code of conduct of the Australian Public Service lays in tatters. It never was, to my mind, a reality in any event, just high sounding words, and concepts, on paper and electronically on the web.
Ethics,

spare me the hypocrisy. I spent weeks inside a public service office in Canberra in the latter months of 2005 working alongside the spin doctors who massaged information to the Minister, employees and the public.

In 2005 have sat and watched a hypothetical, of the code of conduct, with about twelve hundred public servants, presented by Geoffrey Robertson. It was an exercise in self gratification, and delusion, on the part of senior managers of the Department.

The justification for the advertisements in which Barabara Bennett, public servant, appears is that the government will protect us from the baddies. She also goes on radio. It is claimed she is imparting information to the public. This is a blatant political advertisement and the senior head of the Australian Public Service is silent.

In dealing with the public serice I have no faith that retribution is not enacted against those who speak out and challenge. I believe that the processes of the Australian Public Service (in almost every aspect) are manipulated, externally by politicians and their advisers and internally by bueaucrats seeking to protec t their interests. The system has evolved and is now self justifying cloaked within in a code of ethics and standards. The most manipulated processes are in tenders. The tendering system is used by the Department's to explore the market and then to build their business cases for approval. This means that they use business to carry out their reserach and then they may or may not put up the business case. Thus the clause that they "do not have to actually buy anything out of the tender process is vital". Further the tenders may become redundant as is the case with the government's Access card Systems Integration tender, known as T1. It can cost tens of thousands of dollars, even millions, for industry to tender and there is a high probability that it is all a furphy designed to the interests of the bureaucrat and agency that issues it. They bureaucrats and the Ministers in charge of the portfolios do not care. This cost is far greater than any red tape regulation. There is no accountability, no responsibility and no cost recovery available for those who play the rigged game. Business has no choice but to play.

The secret to manipulation of the public service generated tender processes, on behalf governments, lies in the intent of the exercise (fishing for costs and information), the way they are written, the providers of the content and advice (the consultants, lawyers and experts) and the timeframes. Ever wondered why so many tenders have such a short timeframe and why there are no standards across the public service? Ever wondred why there is no central independent purchasing agency fof all of government? Such a body would make it transparent. This is not in the interests of the individual departments and their contracted experts. There is an anecdote - the Department already knows who will win. Telstra's senior executives are obviously of a simiar inclination for they are challenging the process in the court. Telstra has deep pockets to challenge the corruption. Now they need Senate Estimates to use their full subpoena powers. They will not. There is a cosy agreement. Those in oposition (at this time labor) will not call advisers and others who might enbarrass the government by exposing the corruption and other practices, least the next opposition paty do the same. Kevin Rudd will do nothing to change this. He, like every senior labor, liberal and national party politician, is an integral part of the coruuption of the practice.

A deterioration, and incompetence, incorporating the traits of a severe lack of self responsibility, permeates the Austraian Public Service. The most senior bureaucrat, of the service, Dr Peter Shergold actively denies this deterioraion and lack of professionalism, yet the advertisements fronted by one of the senior officers of the service run. This is sad indictment on him and the service. In days gone by this would never have been allowed.

The permeating incompetence costs people their livelihoods, their liberty, business hundreds of millions and communities the opportunity to achieve their potential. Every day across the nation the APS, infested not with career professionals, but with a large proportion of contracted personnel and highl paid "expert consultants". The Departments of the service, severally and quite often, makes decisions that are ineffectual, time wasting, duck shoving and sometimes inordinantly stupid. The hierarchy are engaged, like the politicians, in puerile and self interested antics. Their merry go round is also triggered by political elections.

The majority of the Australian voting population have no interest in the finer points of public administration and democracy, operation of the parliament or our institutions. They are, if anything, semi - literate when it comes to engaging with the higher level question - what type of governmet do we want and what role do we want to play in it?.


And What About the Role and Performance of the Australian Public Service?

The nation, I think, is in the grip of deteriorating skill, experience and ability, together with conflicted political demands, at senior levels in the bureaucracy, which is now required to meet complex challenges.

" The APS operates in a rapidly changing, devolved environment which demands significant organisational agility and responsiveness, and a flexible, collaborative approach to public administration. We also operate in a contestable policy environment, in which we must draw on the competitive advantages of the APS-its breadth, institutional memory and track record of work in the public interest-to get the best outcomes possible for the Australian community." (source: Australian Public Service Commission, October 11, 2005).

Politicisation of Australia's public services (all of them) is a major issue, and claim, for those who care about how our democracy, parliaments and governments operate. Politicisation or the desire, on the part of governments and politicians, to reign in power?

"But it is worth remembering that many of the reforms now identified as 'new managerialism' were not driven initially by the quest to turn the APS into a 'high performance organisation'. Early reforms were prompted by a desire to ensure that public servants had less power and influence to run their 'own' agendas. In large part organisational changes were pursued by politicians wanting to rein in all powerful public service 'mandarins'. There was a strong view in the Parliament that Canberra bureaucrats wielded excessive control over the political process, too often becoming the masters of the government they were meant to serve. Since the 1970s, when the Royal Commission on Australian Government Administration focussed on this perception of inadequate bureaucratic responsiveness to government, the Service has been made more accountable." (Source: Administrative Law and Public Service, Australian Institute of Administrative Law Opening Address, 3 July 2003, Dr Peter Shergold, Secretary Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet)

These are erudite events, and debates, of little concern to Mr and Mrs, Ms average citizen. They do not have extensive dealings with the public service, they do not waste millions bidding for tenders that never eventuate or are rigged. They have little regard for them until they are impacted personally. Cornelia Rau, Vivian Alvarez and hundreds of others now know what can occur when the public service fails and the boundaries that separate the judiciary, the governmment and the public service become blurred or are breached.


Dr Peter Shergold, Australia's most senior federal public servant (at August, 2007), has taken exception to comments made by former Australian Public Service Commissioner Andrew Podger, According to Dr Shergold, Head of the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet, Mr Podger's remarks on his retirement, which have resurfaced, denigrated the Australian Public Service (APS). Shergold stridently defends the servce and their values:

"The SES has a key role in modelling core ethics and promoting the APS Values in their agencies and across the APS more generally. This role is specifically reinforced in the Public Service Act. Individual integrity and professional and ethical behaviour must be part of the common identity of APS leaders. It is critical to sustaining public trust and employee commitment, and attracting high calibre young staff. The SES need to lead the way in being apolitical, accountable and responsive public servants. They represent what the APS stands for. They should be robust in the advice they provide to government, recognise the confidential basis on which it is delivered and be committed to the effective implementation of policy once it has been decided." (Source: One APS - One SES, 11 October 2005, Australian Public Service Commission,http://www.apsc.gov.au/mac/oneaps.htm")

Mr Podger has a recent history of critiquing and questioning the role of the APS. "In a carefully worded attack, Podger spoke of public servants giving more weight to the political needs of their ministers than to the public interest. He also said they avoided accountability by making few file notes, and by destroying documents. These criticisms are important, as Podger was a senior and respected bureaucrat." (Source: The Whistle November 44, 2005, quoting "Let public servants speak Tony Harris, Australian Financial Review, 5 July 2005, p. 62".

"Yes, minister. Your will is my command: By Michelle Grattan, July 6, 2005, inter alia, she wrote:

Public servants are reminded that their job is to serve the public. You've probably never heard of Andrew Podger. Certainly through a long and distinguished public service career he has commanded less publicity than most junior ministers in much shorter ones.

He is a very traditional public servant, dealing with both sides of politics in a straightforward, non-partisan manner. One admirer is Fraser government minister Dame Margaret Guilfoyle, who went to Canberra for his farewell last Thursday. Podger is also very much his own man, neither sucking up to politicians, nor cowed by them. ... A combination of government secrecy, even paranoia, and a lack of journalistic interest means we don't hear much about the bureaucracy, which makes Podger's goodbye speech the more significant. It was tough and pointed; although affectionate to former colleagues, it was also an indictment of the contemporary government-public service relationship."


Research and debate is extensive. There is also a litany of anecdotes from members of the APS talking of interference by political advisers, receiving directions from Minister's advisers as to what the Minister requires or what the Minister will accept. There is talk of senior officers of the APS changing the context of documents to suit the Minister's required message. This might go some way to explain the problems that the government has found itself in constantly. I have personally observed, on many occasions, Ministerial Minutes being watered down, redrafted and recast, hour after hour at extensive cost and with great waste in the Department of Education Science and Training. Media statements of thre paragrpahs be attended to over a full day and then changed and another day gone in what is essentially trivia. Self protection, and survival, particularly in Canberra, is a major personal objective, and is thus a disincentive, to open debate and critique. The turnover at Director level and the lack of experience are both high. The infiltration by contractors makes the development of relationships and the adherence to APS values and standards, to my mind, difficult. Dr. Shergold also argues that the short appointment timeframes (3 years) for Department Secretaries is irrelevant and of no influence on their behaviour. This is at odds with Andrew Podger and general opinion among public service watchers:

"He points to problems with performance pay and contracts for secretaries of departments. "All secretaries are affected and they are being dishonest or fooling themselves if they deny it. They will hedge their bets on occasion, limit the number of issues on which to take a strong stand, be less strident, constrain public comments, limit or craft more carefully public documents and accept a muddying of their role and that of political advisers." The Government decides each year whether departmental heads should receive bonuses of 20 per cent - which can be worth $60,000 - 10 per cent or nothing. Podger quotes a departmental head as saying: "How will someone be rewarded for rightly doing something a minister doesn't like (or rightly not doing something a minister wants)?" And he recalls John Howard telling him that if performance pay did not send messages, then there was no point in having it. Podger argues that performance pay should be abolished and that contracts should be for five years rather than three: that is, across more than one term of government to provide continuity and distance the job to some degree from politics." (Source: The Australian Newspaper, Mike Skeketee: Telling them what they don't want to know: The public service is no place to play politics but that is exactly what has been happening, JUne 14, 2007". He believes contracts of different lengths have been used to distinguish between favoured and less favoured bureaucrats. Dr Shergold I believe lives in a world of fantasy perahps at his high level he sees this. At the middle and bottom the public service world is distinctly different. The role of the public service is to implement govermment policy however in a number of departments the primary objective may be to protect the Minister. These are distinctly different objectives. One question that arise: What will Kevin Rudd's expectations of the service be? To be governmet or public servants looking after the government or the public interest? Are they synonymous?

"If Rudd becomes prime minister, he will set out to change the style and personnel of the federal public service at the senior levels. That independence, he insists, is "critical to this country's future". He wants to make it a core issue at the election, a difficult task given the lack of broad discussion on public service independence. Rudd rejects the Government's rationale that top civil servants not only have a duty to advise, they also must help implement political programs. Rudd insisted on Meet the Press on June 10: "The key to the future, whether you're talking about state or federal, is to restore Westminster." (Source: Wash-minster muddying politics By Malcolm Farr, Daily Telgraph Newspaper, July 02, 2007 12:00am.)


A World Detached from Reality

I know that some federal government Ministers, and their staff, examine this web site. I know because I have tracking software on the forums and sites that tell me the domain systems from which they come. I believe that politicians lisetn but I think that many of them do not hear.

Despite a distribution of the liability table below two particular federal ministers have managed to increase the national, and international, scrutiny of Australia's policies and actions. This, as yet, may not be a vote definer here but Kevin Andrews and Alexander Downer are pushing the government's luck. Why push it? Why not let it die? Now there is the prospect of federal court cases and defamation and liability suits against the government and thus the taxpayers. Are these people in charge living in anoter world? Canberra seems to be a island. Alexander Downer, Minister for Foreign Affairs and Trade said, on Monday 30 July 2007, that the critics of Kevin Adrew's and the government are "Howard haters". He saked whether the federal police should grivel? he told the journalsist, and thus the critics, to "get real". Dr. Haneef is a celebrity in India, courtesy of Kevin Andrews. There are a large number of people in that country asking questions. Is India not a big trading partner to Australia?

Well actually Alexander, according to the people I ask, needs a reality check because he risks losing his seat in parliament and he risks escalating the situation. Watch Asian nations jump on board. Malaysia will be voicing its concerns shortly along with Indonesia and every other country that has a segment of its political class, and media, that likes to attack Australia.

Respondents use the words "hubris" and "arrogance", among the more complimentary, and less uncharitable lables. Australian Federal Police Commissioner, Mr. Keelty, managed to add to the international intrigue, and media coverage, by "blaming Scotland Yard". Is he too an impolitic type, with little comprehension of the real world and of status. The reputation of Scotland Yard versus the AFP under Commissioner "Plod" as he has been called in the media is a no brainer. Are we to add senior bureaucrats to the list of "liabilities" for the Howard government? Apprently we are.


This election is not actually about John Howard and Peter Costello, they have credibility as a team.

The Treasurer Peter Costello decides to wade in on another issue.


Housing Affordability - Rudd Adds Substance


Peter Costello comes out in response to Kevin Rudd's $A500M housing affordability plan and claims it is all wrong. Being a numbers man Costello thinks that should be the thrust of the rebuff. The labor party, endorsed by every participant in the housing industry, says that the competitive tendering for a subsidy ($A500M over five years - yes it is a little piss ant number)against infrastructure cost will reduce unit house costs by $A20,000. Costello says that the number is wrong that it is only $A650.00. So what? Where is his concern for housing affordabilty and his counter policy? Why does he not then multiply the same number of houses that labor has (divide $A500M by $A20,000) and put dollars where his mouth is. He can actually give people $A20,000 per house, Rudd can only promise that he might. Does he have core and non core promises? Does he have smart advisers? Every educated citizen, who can vote, knows that the greatest add on cost for an individual housing estate development is the infrastructure cost and the greed of state and local governments. Any money looks good.

Trust Me, I'm A Howard Minister

The Howard government's credibility - "trust me" slogan, inherent in all of their key legislation, has been demolished by some characters, most recently by Kevin Andrews (the female focus group members do not like him at all, he can join Costello in this regard) and also by Alexander Downer. They do not like him as a leader just as they do not like Peter Costello. Then we can add P. Ruddock and unfortunately the Prime Minister, J. Howard. "The trust me" line is dead. There is animosity towards the proposition of allowing a minister to make life altering decisions. The government, through its own efforts, seems hell bent on sliding inexorably towards defeat. The Prime Minister could do his man of stell routine and get rid of a bunch of ministers but after all, the view is that he is not really able to do this and is not in charge of such things. The media will decry this as undisciplined, for all they know, and the general opinion, of some who know these things, is that factional party warriors, in each minister's camp, will put their personal interests before winning the next election.

Andrews, Downer (et al) Objective - Let's Lose the Election?

So even though yesterday I said Kevin Rudd will not win, and today he still will not, he produced another winner on housing affordability. The government's most prolific talk before engaging the brain (not my words I have plageurised them) manage to continue in their singular objective of diminishing the gap,or widening if the polls are actually correct, (which I dispute) every day they open them. Who is in charge of the liberal party's focus group research? Why don't they gag these people?



July 29, 2007 and Kevin Rudd will, in my opinion, still not win the 2007 federal election.

The poor decision making, and shambolic, outcomes of the actions of the Immigration Minister, Kevin Andrews, are not a vote changing catalyst at this stage for the genral public. Although he is doing his best, it seems obliviously, to make the government look stupid. Not knowing when to keep his mouth shut, Andrews has to give the media his comments that about heightened suspicions regarding the doctor's swift departure. Those outloud musings are being played on the BBC World Service. Is Andrews totally detached from reality? The doctor was submitted to gross invasion and some believe injustice on the imprudent decision making of a minister who has a record of poor judgement. Why the Prime Minister has shifted Andrews to such a vital portfolio after his last muddling effort in his previous portfolio of Worplace Relations is a mystery to most articulate watchers of the Howard government. Andrews as replaced by Joe Hockey because Andrews was not considered capable of managing that crucial office. Now he has stuffed up in immigration and managed to make it a worldwide issue of media attention. Even when the doctor left Andrews did not know enough to thank his lucky stars. Andrews can, if he continues in the current fashion, damage the government. Feedback across a number of internal liberal circles is that he is an incompetent minister heading an incompetent department. Does the PM risk another incident? He has no choice, he cannot remove the liability in an election campaign unless he has a real good motivation. The danger is that Kevin Andrews is more than likely to give him one. He may already have.

The article published in Australia's media written by Andrews themed "me of the knife edge upon which reelection is poised or he lacks judgement. Some say it is both. Christopher Pyne is wasted in aged care and should be in immigration. Looking back at the last federal election there are similar examples of Kevin Andrews making inopportune statements during the election campaign. This reinforces my view stated below in this web site, that there are members of the government who are liabilities. Add to this there is damaging infighting between the bureaucracies which is more than a distraction. The underlying antipathy between the executive arm of government and the judicial arm of the nation is extremely dangerous to the government's re-election campaign given the resources and reach of the latter into the communities of the nation. This antipathy, and deterioration in relationships, is apparent to the most disinterested and is a direct outcome of Philip Ruddock's tenure in ministerial roles. The focus groups commented that Tony Abbott, Joe Hockey, Peter McGauran, Christopher Pyne and Helen Coonan were far better and more likely to demonstrate competence in media and public forums.

The "me too" line is deliberately designed by the government to annoy, and frustrate, the militant elements of the labor party and union movement leading them to break ranks. This I know for a fact and the strategy is working as the Australian newspaper runs major stories on labor's internal problems. However the proposition that Kevin Rudd has some strategic plan, with the cooperation of the Premiers, to remain solid with the government whilst having the Premiers do the loud noises and attack strategies is silly and is not true. Obviously the government has no inside sources, or intelligence, planted within the state headquarters of the labor party across Australia. In Sussex Street Sydney there is no such plan or strategy. The stance taken by Rudd and the Premiers, like most politicians, are ones they believe.

It is now the third day of intense focus meetings with people from NSW, Queensland and Victoria (32 in all) and the overall report is that the Queensland doctor incarceration, whilst bungled by Andrews, is a not of interest to the electorate. Many people do not like "immigrant doctors" populating the Australian medical system on mass. It is concerning to them that there are a diminishing number of students in Australian medical schools and they think this is the fault of the federal government. They do not realise the nexus between the Australian Medical Association and Professional Medical Bodies, the universities and the governments. They do not realise the link between the availability of qualified medical trainers and supervisors (they want to practice in their own businesses and research institutes) and the education process. The reaction to immigrant doctors may be racist or it may be bigotry, but it is a fact. Peter Beattie's government in Queensland has fuelled this perception. The extensive international recruitment campaign coupled with awful administration capacity in the Queensland Public Service has cemented this antipathy. There is concern and prejudice, and this is largely a perception not based on fact, knowledge or experience. The underlying strength for the government is suspicion of certain ethnic groups in a world shaped for political and other purposes in the garb of terror.

The issue of an interest rate rise is evenly split. Those with cash holdings (savings) want a rate rise. The mortgage stress statements glibly made by media, fawning to Kevin Rudd's hollow populist propositions, are applicable only to a small percentage of the population particularly those who purchased houses above $500,000 with only a 10% deposit. The labor housing summit is perceived by most thinking people as a waste of time. Generally voters do not grasp the broader implications and complexity of negative gearing. Only those whose incomes are in the higher brackets understand and engage in this and they are the beneficiaries at the expense of the nation. This and the first home owner's grant coupled with greed of the states. The mass electorate simply is not educated well enough to understand economic and discal theory and policy. This is what political parties play upon. Similarly the Greens, Democrats and politicians like Albanese and Garrett play upon ignorance and lack of understanding.

In Victoria the water stance of the former Brack's government, now Brumby labor government, is seen as stupid and demonstrates yet again what happens when the boys cannot play nicely together. The general opinion of all three state based groups in my meeting was that good things occur when they do play together - the aboriginal policy and action, anti-terror and foreign policy.

Kevin Rudd has never had to make a publicly accountable decision and has never been in charge of anything, levelled by the government is a powerful statement. Generally people are aware of this. Some in the focus groups believe the electorate is flirting with Rudd and the polls are the peoples' way of toying with the government. Julia Gillard is seen as a very major liability and is viewed with negativity or ambivalent. Added to this she exhibits a worrying propensity towards ideology. The whole of the labor front bench is seen as somewhat light weight with "aged" ministerial experience. The party machine has a major inability to communicate outside its own circle of comfort. There is no attempt made by any labor party operator in the federal or state arenas to make contact with and engage with critics, unlike the liberal and national parties who actively do this. Whilst both major parties are viewed as non inclusive, and detached, the labor party is slightly ahead in this regard. Neither have an inkling as to the real fabric of interests across the nation and their intelligence gathering capabilities and machinery are considered by external corporate strategists to be second rate and extraordinarily mediocre. One participant observed that the labor party has kids running some of their offices.



Labor Party Shadows Commentary Sought From A Cross Section of Voters and Perceptions Gathered From Discussions
Some upper level comments - Kevin Rudd is a control freak and one man band, no apparent team work in labor party policy, conflicting messages and lack of policy detail. Same policies different names, waiting to see, thousands predict result is going to be close despite what polls and media are saying. Internally there is disquiet in the ideological ranks and far left of the party. The me too scenario running in the media, pushed by the liberal party, is assessed as a strategy to divide the party internally.




Parliamentary Member
Role and Performance Unattributed Perceptions and Comments
Kevin Rudd Leader of the Opposition Non threatening, may think he is already the PM. Some feel strategy is to win election by being the same party with same policies. Annoying habit of asking and answering own questions. Talks in generalities and voters waiting to hear policy detail and content. Triggers populist debates (price of food, houses and petrol) without offering a solution, may be found to be hollow at some future date. Some reference to past style under Goss as head of Queensland public service, is a negative particularly within public service circles. Some public service watchers and employees are talking and existing federal Departmental Secretaries should be concerned.

Julia Gillard
Deputy, Shadow IR and Social Inclusion Most voters have no idea what social inclusion means, nebulous labor party theory. Some are worried that power will go to Ms Gillard's head as she has issued threats. Off to a por start in including business in labor's concept of society. Archaic ideas about employment and collectivism whilst herslf not being in a collective. Unpredictable liability.

Wayne Swan
Shadow Treasury Talks in generalities with statements like "that is why Howard cannot be trusted". Wayne everywhere. Boring and monochromatic. Affable and polite. Once a critic of Rudd now singing praises.

Chris Evans
National development, Resources and Energy Low profile, no policy detail, some aspects of energy statements are fantasy to many experts. Labor policy not enunciated. Some industry people feel he is unlikely to inspire vision for future.

Stephen Conroy
Communications and Information Technology Viewed as more interested in party politics than creating policy. Broadband and telecommunications policy has extraordinary holes, no demonstrable technology foundation. Unlikley to confront to Telstra's antisocial behaviour

Anthony Albanese
Water and Infrastructure Unrealistic views about environment, captive to climate change hysteria and silent on Vicroria's peurile behaviour in relation to the Murray Darling Basin. Silence demonstrates perceived approach to keep head down and let state labor leaders run on issues. Some comments imply that his views will be more fantasy than substance.

Chris Bowen
Shadow Assistant Treasurer Hidden by Swan and Costello shadows.

Tony Burke
Immigration Low profile, in the past has been very critical now embracing government hard line.

Kim Carr
Industry Seen by indusrty respondents, and backed up by published materials, as old labor, interventionist, industry is worried by his record and his role in a possible labor government. Similarly disposed to party politics as Conroy. Some comment that he can be rude, derisive and abrupt.

Peter Garrett
Climate Change, Environment and Heritage Wants government to name a carbon figure when he himself talks of numbers sixty years hence. Fluffy statements with no real articulation of relationship between economy, industry, commerce and climate change. Part of labor machine's endorsement of corrupt Tasmanian government practices in foresty and commerce. Some wonder what "heritage" means in relation to Tasmania. Viewed by pure greenies as hypocritical. Captive to climate change and unlikely to be open minded in environment portfolio. Silent on Victoria's behaviour re: water as is Albanese. If labor wins Garrett is likely to try and set a carbon tax - carbon price at $A30.00 per tonne. Some believe energy prices will escalate under Peter Garrett's Ministerial stewardship.

Joe Ludwig
Shadow Attorney General Trade unionist in a suit, low profile in role of Attorney General.

Jenny Macklin
Community Services Some see her as uninspiring back room operator. Part of this portfolio is given to Tanya Pliebersek (Human Services, focusing almost solely on Access Card) both these shadows should be questioning Minister Ellison on performance of Human Services generally, its role and value including propensity to spend public monies on questionable technology infrastructure, sitting above Centrelink and Medicare. Senator Conroy should be invetsigaing the value of a central IT system in Human Services, its cost and real intent.

Jan McLucas
Aging, Disabilties and Carers Low profile, singular dimension compared to Christopher Pyne.

Nicola Roxon
Health Generally viewed as capable. Might like to look at food labelling and manufacturing claims and use of words such as "low fat", "healthy" and general misrepresentation as part of Rudd's statements on consumer issues. This would overlap into Laurie Ferguson's consumer portfolio. No apparent team work here.
Kerrie O'Brien Forests, Fisheries and Primary Industries Low profile against Eric Abetz, shackled by Rudd's embracing of Tasmania forestry poicy. Allowing McGauran to get a free run on wheat export and role of AWB in the market. Industry waiting to see what his capabilities are. No discernible linkages to farming and other industry sectors.
David Johnston Justice Extraordinary statetment to media arguing that judicial oversight should nnot be permitted in relation to the terror laws application when people are in custody, because the Judges might leak the content. Insulting remark demonstrates government's disregard, or even contempt, for the doctrine of the separation of powers and the role of the courts. No longer credible. Questionable suitability to be a Minister and to hold public office.

Nick Sherry
Superannuation and Intergenerational Ignored by most voters, they do not know why intergenerational is singled out. Silent on ethical question of advisers pushing particular products without disclosing relationships, fees, role of AMP in market. This is a consumer issue ignored by Rudd and Ferguson. No real push to increase superannuation or national savings limits. Seen as light weight.


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Let me take you to the KEVINRBECK Mosaic Portal Snapshot


Peter Costello not favoured as Prime Minister


July 24, 2007, opinion polls have today shown the statements below regarding Peter Costello are accurate. During the weekend Friday 20, 2007 to July 23, 2007 discussion groups were conducted in Warnambool, Port Fairy and Portland, Victoria. The mix of people were heavy industryw orkers, retirees, hospitality and small business, builders and tradespeople. In this regional area of Victoria there was a general mistrust of the workplace relations legislation and the governmet's statements. One female respndent surprisd me when she said that she did not trsut Federal Police Commissioner Bill Keelty. Whilst many thought the Advisers who assembled the paperwork, the Department of Immigration, and the Minister, had stuffed up they were not ready to say that Dr haneef should stay in Australia. There was mistrust of middle eastern immigrants. The governmet's hard line on refugees is supported. Labor is well aware of this and thus remains silent on the issue. There is an expectation among members of the communities along the Great Ocean Road that Kevin Rudd and Labor will win. This feling also is apparent in regional central Victoria in Cemperdown and Colac. The National Party does not seem to register in any responses along with the Greens and Democrats. Water, health and roads are majorn issues. There are many state issues that appear to cross boundaries (in this coming election) as a result of the federal government's general intevention in education, aboriginal affairs and water. General suspicion is indiacted by the view that the government's Access card is referred to as the "Australia Card" or the "national identity card". it seems there is general support the proposition in the community with most advserse reaction being in the professions (their associations, civil liberties, legal), greeens, democrats and labor party political circles.

Media commentators in own world

Journalists and members of the parliamentary press, and media, galleries are all a twitter at the revelations (not) that Peter Costello does not think much of John Howard. The Sydney Morning Herald and the Australian Newspaper along with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation are enthralled at the internal bickering. So parsimonious, tight arse Costello is bent, and twisted, about Howard's profligate spending, who cares the punters say? They see Howard giving them back their own money. They do not appear keen to have Peter as PM. The biography in which Peter vents his spleen and desolation at the prospect of never being Prime Minister is grist to the media. They prattle that the content of the book will fuel labor advertisements. For labor to use this in ads would be to waste their money. A great number of the electorate, according to this observer's research and discussions, does not want Peter Costello as Prime Minister.

On the matter of terrorism, withdrawal of Visas and the case of the Indian doctor, the electorate is also unmoved. The debate may well rage about the legal issues - the doctrine of separation of powers, the barbs and abuse bewteen government Ministers and external parties including human rights activists, peple worried about deteriorating relationships with judiciary etc and the stories that fire up the media. This is indeed a worrying time and set of events in our history. I am bemused at the hard attitude of most people, without exception, across all sectors of life in our discussion frames, towards Muslims and the extremist attitudes of others who bring their bigotry and zealotry into Australia. Most people say that they are heartily sick of the Muslims, the Croats, the Bosnians and and the other inhabitants of Australia who cannot co exist here. They have no qualms about deportation or incarceration. There is a common thread and it is the perception, in their minds, that Islam is regenerating the age old wars of the crusades. That these ancient attotudes have evolved to the state where they beleive that Muslims want to kill them. They trust none of them not the moderates and not the quiet ones.








Howard Cabinet members baffled
Are they really?



It is reported by some media commentators that members of the coalition federal government cabinet met on Monday 16, 2007 to brainstorm ideas including why the government has litle traction against the Rudd labor juggernaut. Human nature is such that the leader might well question his capability and ask the assembled group if it is "him" that is causing the swing to labor. Rarely, if ever, will members of a group, particularly those aspiring to leadership themselves or those for whom thewir job is them, for ego or whatever reason. On this basis it is unlikely that they will actually ask the same question as the leader might? Avoiding self introspection one may turn to the traditional or the factual in their eyes. The budget, the policies, the decisions they make. The things that they think they control or that they do well.

Research indicates, to me, that there are
liabilities within the coalition. It is not the Prime Minister. Rudd does not have to exploit the foibles openly he merely has to allow the public to discern this and to act on their own perceptions of senior Ministers of the government. The basis by which politicians, and party members, judge the performance of their peers and colleagues is not the same assessment process used by voters and political watchers. Merit and talent, even though the party leader will tell us the opposite, is not a major consideration for appointment to a ministerial, parliamentary secretary, senior parliamentary or committee role. The possession of merit may be conicidental. If one looks at the Rudd machine, versus the Howard machine, there is a much tighter control within labor as to who speaks out. The coalition is burdened by the fact that it is in government and Ministers are free to act and speak within their portfolios and thus are in the public eye. There is a greater risk. People who have dominated in their game for a decade or more may not realise that they perorm okay or are overlooked when things are all going well. But what do they do when there is a crisis or the world around them changes. Many do not cope and many do not perform. There are the human foibles and the question of talent? Communication is largely non verbal. On the matter of Kevin Andrew's decision to revoke the Queensland doctor's visa, Tony Burke, labor spokesperson has learnt less is more. The public may themselves judge. The Democrats and Greens on the other hand have learnt no lessons.


Labor's Learning Systems Approach

Rudd Strategy Team Changes Gear - Hitting the Marks


July 16, 2007, the hidden networks alluded to in the body of this site have suddenly changed feedback. They are reporting that Kevin Rudd's team is spreading out and causing pause for thought. All that has to happen now is for Julia Gillard to modify her approach and language, and for labor to get its industrial relations policy flawless, removing the incongruities and inconsistent messages.

An overpowering number of seats held by the Howard government, that should be a buffer, are now sliding towards labor, on a social agenda slide, not an economic, one as Rudd skillfully, with his media and communications team, entwines economy into society. The task for Rudd is being made easier by the superiority, and learning capacity, of his team over the coalition strategists and the poor performance of some Ministers and their Departments. The public service senior executive seems oblivious to the proposition that it can turn voters from the government to the coalition merely by its unseemly behaviour, intrigue, vicndictive behaviour towards employees and costly performance. The latter is particularly annoying to commerce and industry, which quite often wastes thousand even millions on poor;y thought out tenders, delayed decisions and detachment from reality.

The attack on Kevin Rudd's strategy team, by Paul Keating, was dismissed by public commentariat deriding Keating as yesterday's man. This no doubt delighted the Coalition strategy team. This was a Keating method of a clarion wake up call. The media that lambasted it demonstrated that they are becoming less in tune with the influences, nuances and the players in the election game. They are reporting the rise of the internet and technology with a detached ignoranceas to the long term impact on their particular medium and enterprise. Rupert Murdoch warned of the encroachment some time ago. Let the multifaceted games begin. The colaition is falling behind in grasping the implications.

However Kevin Rudd has shown, for some time, that he is not a slouch at listening, and hearing, unlike the coalition. The Keating barbs were taken by Kevin Rudd as constructive and not destructive, something that the Howard governments has shown it knows little about. They listen but rarely hear. They take criticism as destructuve and act reproachfully. The elements of creepiness in minsiterial behaviour re-emerge. Kevin Rudd has a number of high peformers in his core strategy group and in the limbs that reach out into sub groups across the nation. They are not the unions and the ACTU, they are independent professionals tied to Kevin Rudd and beholden to no one. They adapt.

Aming them are Simon Banks, Chief of Staff, Pradeep Philip the leader's Policy Director, and Michael Lye, Social Policy Director. The Communications Director, Walt Secord supported by people such as Alex Cram, and there is Senior Adviser Kate Callaghan, people who choose their media intervention far more critically and carefully than the Howard team appears to do. It seems incongruous that the coalition has not yet learnt, during its time in government, that having Alexander Downer, and Brendan Nelson, out front can be fraught with danger. Mr. Downer's performance on the ABC Insiders programme on Sunday 15 July 2007, rippled through the media as one of arrogance and a typical dismissive attitude. Like Peter Costello's sarcastic reference to looking up the ABS figures to learn the price of bread and biscuits demonstratesc that he has not yet learned that his smirk and poor judgement reading the tea leaves, does not set him up well to be Prime Minister in the future and similar characteristics from Downer are a turn off. But by all means stick to the past play sheet and punt. If the coalition wins then they can be truly vindictive.

Whilst ever the spin machine, an acquiescent and uncritical media, and similarly disposed political commentators, push the proposition that John Howard, and the Coalition, are better economic managers, the door is open for Rudd's superior public, and social, policy team to create runs such as the
price of food issue and the industrial relations and human resources environment, impacted by the legislation known as Work Choices and the implementation of same by the Department of Employment and Workplace Relations. There are a number of departments, managing and implementing policy, that are very dangerous to the government. The danger lies in the stories that come to light about their internal activities. The manner in which they treat people, inside their own department and in the wider society. They are predominantly the Departments of Defence, Immigration, Human Services, Employment and Workplace Relations and Foreign Affairs. Not only are the policy sets active within these Departments contentious but the culture, management methodologies and questionable practices of the senior bureaucrats within these departments, are continually in the spotlight. As of yet Kevin Rudd has not focused on these APS management attributes. Perhaps he gives the senior executive service, and the departments, the professional courtesy of accepting that they are apolitical and high performing. Many others, in the Australian community, do not extend the same courtesy or have similar perceptions. It may not be coincidental that labor is running some ex-public servants and media personalities who have been on the receiving end of mercurial and unprofessional retribution and decision making.



July 13, 2007, Howard losing ground in marginal and swinging seats as Kevin Rudd shifts labor machine into a learning system.

Under Kevin Rudd's leadership, unlike Kim Beazley, Simon Crean and Mark Latham's, labor is becoming a learning system. Kevin Rudd is tactical, and searching, out the hidden influences and triggers, even if they perceived as populist, and shallow, such as his "cost of food" policy announcement. They are only shallow to the academically inclined thinkers and those focused on what they see as core issues such as economy, finance, industrial relations, energy, transport and trade etc. The liberal, and national, parties whilst being sophisticated in terms of campiagning and strategy, do not appear as adept at learning. Hubris in terms of how they see their own personal capacity is on show often. The dismissive throw away lines of Alexander Downer made without a thought as to substance, the careless attention to detail, and truth, by many members of government. Spin doctoring, by Ministerial media units, and Public Service Departments own communication and parliamentary units, is making Rudd's task easier daily.

The Trade Union movement is not a learning machine and is a liability to labor. Some labor front bencehrs are liabilities, but they are now yet in positions of government as Ministers. Rudd's key staff, and close advisers and supporters, are now working in over drive. Whilst they have little awarnes as to the landscape of interests and influencs, they have started filterng information, over the last few weeks, on a much wider scale and depth. The members of the coalition who may be liabilities are more so than labor's, members such as Julia Gillard. Some Ministers of government, and their departments, are perceived as inept, destructive and very dangerous to citizens' well being and freedoms.

Labor's subtle messages about the PM's age are insulting to the community of older Austalians, including myself. Such a strategy demonstrates an arrogance of youth, and an immaturity that will, as in the past, lead to a government that wil not
tap the talent of the nation. No political party has demonstrated the capacity to unleash the nation's human potential since none of them have inspired individuals to undertake life long learning.

Perceptions of the coalition

Just as the electrate has views on the prospect of Peter Costello as Prime Minister tyey also have views on senior Ministers. The perceptions described below are the product of a number of ongoing discussions since 2000 with vested interests, in Australia and internationally - Europe, Asia, United States and Canada. These discussions were face to face with senior executives of companies with operations in Australia across many industry sectors. They were discussions with Australian public servants posted overseas and ex patriat Australians licving abroad. The owner of the Mosaic Portal has undertaken extensive and prolomged discussions here in Australia and has extensive experience in media, reserach, web technologies and in business and community dealings with governments, public service and Ministers at state, federal and territory levels.

The product of researching of published opinions, and articles, here and internationally. They are the views from people who have been denied acces or who see the government Ministers as distant and uninteretsed. The author of the critique is Kevin R Beck. If the content offends, then apologies are given. In any event politicians seem to have thick hides and are prone to insulting people quite often. Some personal interaction colours my own views. Those Ministers not listed are generally perceived by many interests as high performers (for example Nick Minchin, Julie Bishop, Mal Brough, Joe Hockey, Malcolm Turnbull and Gary Nairn. Some Parliamentary Secretaries have little or no profile. Julie Bishiop will have to exercise care for there are (August 14, 2007) that she is not as bold and innovative as first thought. This is not surprising given the consrevative bent of the Department of Education, Science and Training. This is a Department, of which Brendand Nelson, was the former Minister, which is stultified by lack lustre management from Director level upwards. The Prime Minister has intervened in the portfilio on a number of occasions regarding curriculum. The deaprtment conducts its affairs as if it were a branch of a university research facility and not a leading department within the Commonwealth. The coalition risks losing the edge on education to the labor party. The Minister's supporters want a stronger stance. It is not clear that she will delibver this.

The effect of ministerial liabilities, and there are a number, is difficult to gauge in terms of votes. It is not clear how people see their local member's individual performance and how they distinguish this from their view of governments.


The following comments about Ministers are not the sole view of the owner of this web site. They are provided to reflect gathered opinion, noting the diversity and colour of the 2007 election and what may affect voting intentions.


Parliamentary Member
Role and Performance Liability/Perception
Mark Vaile Transport and Regional Services Damaged by enquiry into AWB. Stayed on too long. Not innovative. Biased to rural (NP).

Jim Lloyd
Local government, territory and roads. Uninspiring, territory relationships not nurtured, transport/roads ports bottle necks stifle commerce and trade

De Anne Kelly
Parliamentary Secretary Part of the transport group viewed sceptically as lack lustre by commerce and industry

Peter Costello
Treasurer Seen as high performer in portfolio but poorly received by many voters (particularly women) as future PM

Tony Abbott
Health and Aging Viewed as hard uncompromising, aggressive, statisticallt inclined confusing, poorly received by women voters, poorly viewed administrative record in portfolios

Philip Ruddock
Attorney general Generally disliked in community, chilly monotone delivery, uncompromising and heartless in immigration, poor administrative record, low regard in legal faternity due to failure to support and defend, image

Alexander Downer
Foreign Affairs and Trade Viewed as poor administrator in portfolio, inattention to detail, damaged by AWB scandal and is geneally believed to have mislead about his knowledge and role. Some, in diplomatic and business circles, described him as egotistical, prone to churlish and vindictive behaviour if he feels slighted, part of the Iraq quartet with PM, Philip Ruddock and Brendan Nelson. Not able to match Kevin Rudd in Foreign Affairs.

Brendan Nelson
Defence Poor record in education and science, viewed as impulsive and self opiniated making decisions with little research foundation, hair style

Ian Macfarlane
Industry Tourism and Resources Biased to tourism, low regard in small medium business sectors

Warren Truss
Trade May have stayed too long, not seen as innovative, biased to rural, poorly viewed by SME's, role of Austrade misunderstood and access to Minister is managed

Fran Bailey
Tourism Significant liability, poor decisions, quick to act without adequate consideration, uninspiring

Kevin Andrews
Immigration and Citizenship Robotic to task and regulations, cold, may reinforce old culture of disregard in inept,and dangerous department

Peter McGauran
Agriculture Fisheries and Forests Fall out from AWB enquiry, seen as very biased to National Party interests, takes road of least resistance maintaining status quo, loud and sometimes abrasive, perceived as listening but not hearing, appears to be expanding portfolio into other arenas (health) causing tensions. Little interest shown in forests and environment.
Eric Abetz Forests Seen as academic, prone to insults, viewed as biased, anti environmental image, politics before administration.

Chris Ellison
Human Services Viewed as extremely poor operator in all portfolios to date, did not bond the government and legal community when he was Minister for Justice and is perceived as damaging to economy particularly in the customs arena, poor attention to detail in portfolios, despite apparent lack of technical ability is given portfolios with high requirement for technical responsibilities.

Bill Heffernan
Nothing of merit Viewed as bordering on irrationality, strange and erratic, diminishing the status of parliamentary representation.


July 11, 2007, Kevin Rudd has assailed us a with another riveting proposition that will appeal to the uninformed and populist concepts. Kev's study into why things cost what they do..... read more..




July 10, 2007, Julia Gillard not trusted, disliked by amny decision amkers, exhibits arrofgance and very pooor communication skills preferring threats to cajoling. She is proving a liability to the Rudd support prospects. Not liked as a possible Deputy to the aspirant PM. Her handling of industrial relations is proving a turn off to business, is lacking in skills and deopth of thought and understanding of the ramifications for economy and society. She is not liked by quite a number who support labor. Perhaps women in politics perceive, or actually, need to express themselves more forcefully to cut through and prove their credentails and ability in a blokey world, particularly that of Canberra politics? Labor has a problem in this regard in the past. One might consider how, under labor's policy, Australian business might compete globally? The continued "trust us we wil have a balance" mantra lacks punch and verve. The union argument for collective bargaining protecting the wekare in employment is a social engineering philosophy smacking of welfare. The simple proposition of a contract between employer and employee, with some mandated fair tests, and required inclusions, offers beterr propsects for the canny negotiator and skilled individula. Collective bargaining implies that those being representeed may lack education training, skills and employment credits. The question is then, why employ them?

Ms Gillard, in her confrontational legal representation style, has been progressively building on her AFL "politics as a contact sport" analogy whilst assuduoulsy maintaining, since May 2007, a lack of inspiration in regards to industrial relations. There is an undertone of "do as you are told" when we are in government. Some might think it borders on arrogance. The polls are giving strength to conviction politics. Industry reaction initially cool.

"CHRIS UHLMANN: Labor's industrial relations policy has been under heavy fire under business from the moment it was released. There are lots of bits that business doesn't like, but most of the flak has come from the mining industry over Labor's plan to rip up individual contracts known as Australian Workplace Agreements. This morning, Deputy Labor leader Julia Gillard offered to give the industry a long transition to the new regime. JULIA GILLARD: At the time of transition, if a worker is on an Australian Workplace Agreement and they are happy to remain on that agreement for the balance of its term, then they will be able to do so. These agreements can be for as long as five years and obviously we have an election to fight and win and should we win that election, then we will need some time to legislate for Labor's new industrial relations system. CHRIS UHLMANN: The Chief Executive of the Australian Mines and Metals Association, Steve Knott is unmoved." (Source: Australian Broadcasting Corporation, Labor AWA announcement fails to impress miners, The World Today - Thursday, 17 May , 2007 12:10:00, Reporter: Chris Uhlmann - http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2007/s1925716.htm)

Travelling around, and talking, with small to medium business owners, international and multinational respresentatives seems to indicate that nothing has changed from May until now, July 10, 2007. It is a fuddled, and muddelled, policy.


There is a fundamental reason for this which makes Ms Gillard's task very, very hard. Labor has a similar problem to the liberal and national parties - looking after loyal long term supporters, and toilers, who patiently await their just rewards. Labor however has the problem in spades. It has a vast base of labor mates in unions, and other places, that it has to cater for. They give bags of money to the labor election campaign. They participate in pre-seelection of parliamentary candidates, including Mr Rudd and Ms Gillard. They festoon the front bench and the parliamentary ranks of labor across the nation. Kevin and Julia must try and convince the nation that they are not beholden to these powerful interests. They must argue that parliamentary selection, and ministries, are allocated on merit. The most difficult being that a Rudd labor government will be independent of vested union interests. Hard when almost everyone in the parliamentary parties are union or party political operatives. Hard when the Kevin Rudd business advisory body consists of one knighted individual indicating that most other independent types do not want to play on Ms Gillard's political football field.

While the coalition may appear beholden to business, and powerful, corporate interests it is nothing on the scale that compares to labor's commitments. There is no solution for Kevin Rudd, other than to spin the reality. Julia is having trouble keeping up. This bright, and talented, lawyer (said without sarcasm) carries the hopes of many wowmen. The parliamentary leadership of all governments in Australia is vastly unrepresentative in terms of women participation as are our legal fraternity houses. Wwe await two appointments to the High Court. Theres eems no rush by the Prime Minister and there is not whisperings as to female appointments. Yet there will be. Why? John Howard must counter the antiptahy that a large number of women have towards the Tresaurer, Peter Costello.

Julia Gillard must not be dismissed by industry or any other powerful interest as irresponsible. Yet worse she must avoid, at all costs, being labelled a labor airhead.



DEALING WITH TERRORORISM IS A STRONG SUIT
HIDDEN THREATS, GANGS AND LOCAL COMMUNITY FEAR


The exposure of a global network of educated professionals willing to kill, and die, for some nebulous ideology has chilled the Australian blood. The detention of children and refugees may have worn thin with the public but the detention of people, particularly professionals in our public and private enterprises, will not and no other cases will. The debate around terrorism, and legal arguments around the legislation and the right to presumption of innocence are strong foundations but they are academic and secondary to pure fear. In a bus in London in November 2006 I observed a man looking at a couple. He was young. He smiled and then ran his finger across his throat causing the woman to panic. This is not an uncommon occurrence in England. There are residents of the United Kingdom who are keen to follow the pathway to Allah and bliss and whose hatred of western civilisation including their own country's residents is palpable. My initial reaction is one of physicality and similarly it is so with many Australians. Strike them down and keep us safe. These people behave like animals so treat them as such. Where is Kames Bond when you need him? It is not that simple. To respond in kind exascerbates the hatred, and reinforces their perceptions of non islam. To them we are animals invading their holy lands and threatening Islam as a whole. They are on sacred mission. Ten virgins is a wonderful prize for the man willing to sacrifice his life in the cause.

Despite Kevin Rudd's words about his strength and ability many Australians including myself believe that labor harbours some bleeding hearts, kept in check. They, like the strident critics of Howard's strong stance and Ruddock's unflinching prosecution of his task, think that education, conversations and summits can turn these manics around to common sense. They do not value democracy.

There is no such doubtful feeling, or perception, in my mind or that of most Australians, about the coalition. Moderaetes who are strong on democracy and law are swayed by fear. We have seen Philip Ruddock's unerring response, approach and dedication to his singular task. If the nation is to confront internal
Jihad, by the perverted terrorists of unrelenting and unmoveable fanatics, then it is best we do it with John and Phil. This is the majority belief of the Australian public and Kevin Rudd can dog whistle in the wind.

As the gangs of youth run riot in the suburbs of our nation, though they may not be terrorists, they should worry that Howard and Ruddock may turn their eyes there aware that the Commonwealth can actually do something the states cannot. Deliver local security to communities. Though labor controls the greater number of police, across the nation and thus law and order, there is no evidence that the labor Premiers, and Chief Ministers, know what to do to protect the community. These gangs are inteferring in comerce and business scaring away customers and damaging the local businesses. They may be refugees and others here on humanitarian grounds, they may be feckless and stupid. Whatever. Their violent actions can place them within the Constitutional power of the federal government. Howard, wily as he is, may widen his protective cloak and encompass them too. He may provide federal laws that assist the local state police where their own parliaments are weak, reticent and anxious. Mr. Howard would be the recipient of public gratitude.

9 July 2007, Kevin Rudd and Labor will, under the conditions of today, not win



HOUSING AFFORDABILITY, FREE MARKET AND POLITICAL SELF INTEREST


Ostensibly Australia's governments will tell you that they are "free marketeers" who develop policy, and take action, to reign in the more rampant, and anti-social aspects, of free market behaviour. The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission is the federal regulatory body, tasked with maintaining the fairness, and freedom, of the marketplace up to a point. They fail badly on petrol prices and housing. These are political hot potatoes for governments. These issues are now galvanising the labor and colaition parties at the federal level. The spin used by governments, of all persuasions, has resulted in the nation's voters having limited information and gaining false perceptions on almost all issues including housing affordability. The propensity to withhold, lie, and misinform, by the labor and coalition parties, across the nation, has backed the parties into corners. They have to either continue the practices or recant.

If you look at the Australian labor, and liberal party, musings and policy pronouncements, on housing affordability, one realises that free market belief is often hollow rhetoric. Wayne Swan, the shadow treasury spokesperson, commenting on labor's newly released, labourious, housing policy follows the hackneyed practice of blaming the federal government. He is careful not to blame the labor state labor governments that occupy every major post of the federation bar the Commonwealth government. He does not blame the ludicrous and myopic planning regimes and policies of his state labor colleagues. He frames the argument in the political cloak of withholding, disinformation, lies and misrepresentations. He wants consultation, a summit and a talk fest. That has been his trademark and that of labor administrations since Hawke and Keating left the stage. Kevin Rudd wants a summit. A summit brings together the labor team, the sole aim of which is to make Rudd look good, not to solve any crisis. Rudd can do nothing else but propose a talk fest because he has to make it look like that labor is addressing this issue for the aspirants who want a house but cannot afford to buy one.

Labor governments of the modern era are not big on action, and policy implementation, unless it serves their political interest. They are even more reticent when the task is fraught with political danger. Their limited life experience, and awareness, ensures that the policy set produced is narrow and rarely suitable for the long term. The
policies are founded on self interest, reticence and too often fear of offending vested interests and risking loss of office. The election cycle has made the political mind mind atrophy.

What Kevin Rudd and Wayne Swan will not add in to their public attacks on poor policy is the role of the labor state and territory, and local governments. Despite having the GST growth taxes they are grasping atevery opportunity. State labor and territory governments, would rather keep home buyers, and aspirants, on a knife edge than risk their surplus ideology and their own political hides. The taxes on a developing a block of residential land are the primary disincentive to developers. They are adding as much as $100,000 to a block. It is not land availability it is poor public policy. The Victorian labor government wil not allow growth of redidential blocks on the fringes because their goal is to curb urban sprawl. If these areas did grow it would become patently apparent that Bracks' labor governmet had failed to address city infrastructure, particularly water and transport, in its myopic, and uninspiring, period of governance.

One the other side of the political coin, the federal treasurer, Peter Costello, has stifled the report (July 2007) of the
Australian Productivity Commission on housing affordability since segments of it cast doubt on Mr. Costello's tax reformer credentials. Namely the matter of "negative gearing" and its affects on the price of houses. Absent landlords, rushing into the cheap finance and booming renovations markets have always placed pressure on the system. Keating abandoned negaitive gearing totally which turned out to be political and financial poison. However the Howard government resolutely tinkers at the edges and points the finger. According to the political justification negative gearing is used to get people to invest in rental supply to try and aleviate high rents in our society. The banks are culpable offering cheap funds and enticing buyers to get exorbitant loans. People are turning their home equity into a lien on their future.

Both sides of politics are super careful and are extraordinarily risk averse in terms of policy. In the modern era the welfare of the nation tends to take second place to political interest. In NSW, during the ignominious reign of labor's Bob Carr, it was suggested by him that immigration into Sydney should be capped. He felt that the city was being swamped.

Housing affordability is linked to the wealth measure of individuals and the natin as a whole. According to the statistics Australians are far more wealthier today than in previous times. Since Australians are not big savers, their wealth must be elsewhere. Largely in their property (their home) and perhaps in their share portfolio, and perhaps the superannuation account. It is not in cash. Australias are mired in debt. Dangerously so. The boom economic times are a double edged sword for governments. Houses, in Australia, are expensive for a number of reasons, (a)there are not enough and, (b), there are not enough where people want to buy them, work and live. People want to live in the metropolitan areas and in the coastal corridors. They all want the good life and as such luxury comes at a hefty price. The tax system is not use to shift them to outer and regional ereas. It is used to fill the coffers of governments to be used to keep them in government. Only when crisis loms will governments invest in the public good and infrastructure. The balance is way out of whack as cities struggle with the population rise. People want houses, not flats, in the city. New home buyes are the ones who buy in new housing developments on the fringes.

Now in a free market the pendulum would move to balance supply and demand. In a free market landholders would release land and build houses. The major holders of land are the governments of Australia, followed by the speculative enterprises - the developers. To release large volumes of land would cause the value of certain parts of the existing stock to fall. This would affect the prospects of sitting members of parliaments and the aspirant candiadtes who want to replace them. The value of houses would not necessarily fall in the sort after places, like around Sydney Harbour, inner city Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide etc, where demand is both local and international. It would fall in places where the only people interested are the dwellers. If house values fall then their equity falls and the debt they owe may become less or even unsecured. It would fall in the suburbs across the nation. The market may crash.

There are two things that scare governments, and the aspirants who want to be in government. They are interest rate rises and any action that devalues existing property. Thus the labor opposition and the Australian government are being manipulative in their own political interest. The price of housing is being controlled and manipulated. The hidden elephant in the room is debt and in 2009 and beyond there will be a major crash as more and more people become insolvent.



OBSERVING THE GHOSTS OF THE CAMPAIGN


The ghosts of the campaign are those who, having an interest in government, policy, the public sector, unions and their actions, and the outcome of elections, move largely unseen in the background. They predominantly do this as part of their work. They are listening, interacting, presenting and influencing. Some are mercenaries earning their income as consultants in the buregoning economy and others have retired from full time work and are carving out new endeavours. The majority of "ghosts" utilise corporate resources, a few individuals fund their own activities. They all seek out the attitudes, performance behaviours and power bases, of segments of the nation, within the electorates. Their objectives, in one form or another, are to bring about outcomes at local, regional and national levels. These objectives are long term, often obscure and multifaceted. The "ghosts" take account of triggers and emotive responses. For these reasons they may actually be the "real surveyors" of public opinion, not the pollsters. They are the sphelogists too.


Welfare is an emotive voting issue


Delusions of relevance

Two aboriginal communities put on a turn and indicated that the task force from Canberra was not welcome in their communities. This was a show of hollow defiance. These people should have their welfare payments stopped until they demonstrate a maturity and respect for how they are being supported.

This defiant stance demonstrates the mentality of the welfare sector. They are happy to take the money. This is not to say they are any less as humans, nor are they a different class, it is just that people who rely on others should consider what would it be like to have no support, and no money. In less generous societies they would be left to fend for themselves. Regardless what they may think of the Howard government, the consrevatives have not left the under privileged to fend for themselves as is the case in the United States. To compare Howard's initiative to Hurricane Katrina, or children overboard, the Iraq invasion or some other stupid metaphor, as some have done and is reported in the media, is insulting, ignorant and to be held in contempt. Is it no wonder that the greater part of the Australian community holds little respect for the recipients of welfare who do not exhibit thanks for what they are given. Regardless of colour and where they live, many are believed, by the those not on welfare, to think that it is their right. There are the disadvantaged and the afflicted and there are the bludgers and the lazy. There is a common language expressing arguments and demands, that are interpreted by the community as: "my personal life is less than I might think it should be, its is not my fault. I should be able to own all of the gadgets that are the next big thing, smoke and drink too."

This is not a trait of the welfare mentality in indigenous communities alone, it is a trait of every part of society that gets a handout from Australia's governments. It could be said that the Australian Council of Social Security (ACOSS) that represents the welfare sector interest groups, promotes poverty. It has assisted an entrenched mentality and behaviour. Welfare is big business and many people earn their living from representing the recipients of welfare and they earn a living from the existence of poverty. They rely on the existence of poverty, and under privilege, for their livelihood, esteem, and positions, in society. They organise conferences and dwell in academia and in the sociology of poverty and apparent discrimination. Their role, as they see it, is to be the voice, and the negotiators, of the consumers of welfare. Positioning themselves to imply that they represent faceless people who have no idea who they are and never electedc or aksed them. They always believe that their status as "nebulous interest representatives" can influence the vote at election time. They are the do gooders and many people devote their lives to the welfare of others and are to be applauded. There are so many unsung heroes in our communities working quietly behind the scenes. They are not the noisy ones demanding to be consulted.



Those who demand to be consulted, and deem it their right, may invariably be the cause of some or the majority of problems. Those who demand to be consulted are the talkers, not the doers. They thrive on consultation and discussion, on whuinging and whining at the edges. They usually travel on someone else's dime. They want participation but cry that they cannot afford it themselves. They demand that the government, bsuiness or whoever is in charge should give them access and pay for them. Some are dedicated to the task and add value, others are parasites on the system. Without the system they would have no status.

Hundres of them exist on the fringes, in state and regional bodies, feeding off each other for purpose, resources and strength in numbers. They are not part solution participants at the government table. When something like the current initiatve by the Australian government arises, the intervention into the Northern Territory, they mobilise and move in from the fringes to centre stage, barking and snarling, maintainig their outrage and demands as if they are credible voices. They are paid from welfare. Invariably they may have limited individual thoughts, and ideas, if any at all, of their own. They like, most people in society across all sectors, lay in wait for someone else to propose something so that they may then ponder, criticise, embrace or reject. Such is human nature. For even though they may work for ACOSS, or other community support interest groups, the money that keeps them in their jobs is ultimately the product of the welfare sector and the taxpayer or some generous other party. They may generate some of their own funds but that is small change consumed in their machinery of self interest. It is a minority in any area that takes the nation, and its inhabitants, forward.



Policy Input and Access is Driven By Special Interests and Incumbents

I am sitting in a boardroom of a regional development enterprise in the outer region of Melbourne. I am accompanying my client. I have known this person for years and never found them to be overtly political. Today we are meeting with a group of business people and consultants. The meeting is about their disenchantment with the state and federal government. They cannot get access and want to inform the Minister/s of their views which are not being represented correctly and coherently to their satisfaction.

As a consultant strategist, I have listened to these stories for years now. The two Mr. Hollywoods, gloss and glamour twins of the Victorian government, Steve Bracks and John Brumby, and their cabinet of average to poor performers. Critics often say that John Brumby is the only really bright light in the Bracks labor government. It is difficult to know if this is the case because the government is so secretive that it makes rserach on their governance difficult if not impossible. They are less than accountable and the moral compass is absent. The Victorian state government cannot manage water, transport, energy or health portfolios and hand picked senior bureaucrats offer a lack lustre value for money. The Transport and Roads portflio is particularly poor. Yet every time they meet with someone from the state government the same story of surprise is expressed by the business owners. The liberals, under Ballieu get a serve too. Thus, in a vein of disenchantment the meeting will progress. Eventually we will get to the core, how much money are they allocating to their local political campaign and can the story be simplified to one issue - IR? Probably not.

My client is a financial and business enterprise, not a political strategy or advertising practitioner. My function is to provide the ideas, the framework and the strategies in which these people, and others, will operate their ongoing plans and their advisers will help them develop, and grow, their business. This will be a hard slog over the next few months, my clients represent hundreds of such small to medium businesses, and local promotional enterprises, across Australia. These local government, and regional development, groups exist on government grants. The government handout mentality seems to come with a belief that they are free to criticise and bite the hand that feeds them. There is no real independence where there is a reliance on handouts.

This is a far better assignment than the one I had in Canberra working with the bureaucratic Department of Education, Science andTraining (DEST). That is a dysfunctional and wasteful organisation with some a large number of people employed to spin the story, the facts and the reality. The Department was being reorganised in 2004 and the idea was to push functions, responsibility and accountability out to the states. There was exterme resistance at corporate headquarters. The tradition had been that the states were post boxes for the central office and all power and decision making resided in Mort Street, Canberra.

I visited them recently and it was still a work in progress. The revolving door of Ministers has never been of assistance for stability and the Department had gone from the staewardship of Amanda Vanstone, to David Kemp, Brendan Nelson ending up finally with the extremely impressive Julie Bishop. Ms Bishop has confronted, head on, the sanctimonious state and territory education fiefdoms demanding an end to the parsimony and the shallow outcomes based curriculums, which change like the seasons. Of great interest currently are the views of the aboriginal education officers and mangers from DEST offices in Western Australia, New South Wales, the Northern Territory and Queensland. I was somewhat taken aback when one of them told me that the Land Councils were the worst thing that ever happened to communities. The notion of communal has apparently been a part of aboriginal culture for centuries. However it was alawys a communal without equity. It favoured some over others. The elected representatives on the Land Councils enjoyed the fruits of control including the resources. The permit system ensured their domination of things was maintained.

The spittle of vitriole, amongst the derisive language, distorts Pat Turner's face. I sit and watch her articulate every word laced with venom and hate. She says that this ia land grab by Howard. Perhaps she epitomises the very point the DEST officer had made some time ago. Sidelined when ATSIC was abolished and now made even more irrelevant she is determined to make every step as painful as possible for her political enemies. ATSIC was an ATM for some leaders of the aboriginal community and the ATM is now looking rather distant now that many have lost their access cards. We are on theperiphery here. Our only function is to help the mining companies, and their executives, avoid the fallout from their token actions which some say were a cop out. A number of employees of the mining companies have been party to the abuse of young people in the aboriginal communities. The charge from a number of critics is that the managers allowed, by ommission of strong action and sackings, their employees to add to the misery of the people. I do not want this assignment and decline to participate. From my perspective these corporate executives can stew in their own decrepit worlds. The sooner they are brought to task the better for corporate responsibility needs a prominent and very public lesson. A spot of humility and penitence might help rather than employing pubic relations and media manipulators to get them out of their sewer.


Australia is a politicised nation. It is a small country in population and economy. Thus governments dominate, and politicians manage to infiltrate most facets of business and community life. The bureaucracy is also politicised. Government owned entities like Tafe and University operate for profit businesses. All of the above are as much a target of competition, for my clients, as traditional competing businesses. This is predominantly where we reside in the exercise. We are retained to develop and implement competition strategies on behalf of our clients. We have done this all over the world and most of the time we operate out of the country. The last few years have been different. We have undertaken "prejudicial assignments" in Australia that have had international and national impacts.

Now we are in the process of dealing with a significant government
initiative. Our clients icur significant loss too often from the incompetence of public service and their expert consultants.

The Australian world of politics and business, is truly complex. The interests are multinational and global. The question of who will govern is of vital interest to business, particularly large multinationals in the finance, banking, agricultural and resurce industies. I wonder how many of the strategists in the political parties, and the secretaries and deputies of the departmental bureaucracies are aware that they can be the targets of strategy? They created the environment in which Australia now operates. Too many companies have lost money at the hands of incompetent bureaucrats and politicians. Yet the public servants persist as if they are a separate entity, untouchable, shielded by the simplistic proposition that theys erve the government of the day. They are now all targets of self interested corporations and individuals. One only has to look at Telstra to see how the landscape of interaction has changed. Many in business believe that the payback to government is orchestrated. Some believe that millions are being allocated, by the Telstra senior management, to bring down the government at this election. From the tenor of continued and sustained attacks, the bullying and agression, the Board and senior management of Telstra appear to sending a message that they are after the government, the politicians and the bureaucrats. Surrender to their demands or pay the price is the mantra of their public affairs.

Add to this the reputation of Kevin Rudd and no public servant is secure. When he worked with Premier Goss in Queensland. Those who know of his work there say that he was ruthless in his control and demands. They indicate that it will be a toe the line policy regime, acquiesce to the demands. The incumbent heads of the public service will be culled. Glimpses of this persona are seen in the manner of response by Mr. Rudd to Mr, Robertson, unions NSW, and the union leaders in Western Australia and Victoria. He brooks no interference or criticism.






From my own perspective the senior people, at state, territory and federal level, appear oblivious to the stakes and the forces marshalled against them. More corporations are taking active roles and it is not only against labor's industrial relations. The election is one way in which reparations are being claimed.

2007 has heralded a boom to the hoardes of new consultants. The decision by the business community to enter into the election campaign, with strategies to counter labor's industrial relations policy has provided work for a raneg of individual consultants. These new entrants are retired senior executives and others, who having been made redundant, or found the demands of their employers unreasonable, have set up their own small business. I have not see so many gathered in far flung places advising small business, associations and local community groups about how to deal with governments, banks, public service or any one else.

I sit in a room of fifteen people. They are going to be there after the election and they will be politically active for they are tired of being ignored. I assume they have stamina.

On this occasion the local community representatives are bemoaning the failure of policy for small to medium business. I don't care because I am not going to deliver this particular contract. I am just adding some ideas to the assembly at the request of my client. The group argues that federal Minister for Tourism, Resource and Industry, Ian Mcfarlane, has a bias for tourism and an interest in resources and none at all in manufacturing. This is probably true since he has never ventured too far into the manufacturing areas of the nation. He may have been to the big name car companies but they are assembly plants not manufacturers. In one place I visitec their were over 140 employing 100,000 people. Where are they hiding? The owners of these businesses are frustrated. In the absence of any interest from Ian Macfarlane and Warren Truss, the Trade Minister, they have resorted to talking to labor's Kim Carr, Simon Crean, to Jenny George, Natasha Stott Despoja and Bob Brown, and to any Victorian State Government Minister who will give them the time. That must have been a scintillating meeting. They want the gathered consultants to do something about it. One thinks that getting a meeting with Ministers to tell them their policies are not all that flash, is the way to go. I rather think that is a waste of time.

The agenda at these meetings are similar. The campaign against labor will not be run centrally by the big associations though they will garner all of the attention. The campaign is grass roots and in each electorate may be only a few thousand up to $50,000. In this NSW region there are a broad range of businesses worried. The telephone rings and the receptionist tells the chairman that the journalist is back on the phone again. Men in suits, not normally seen in the strip, entering the local chamber office, regional centre or whatever has attracted attention. Again the locals want to get a meeting with federal government Ministers. I enquire why?

The bureaucrats are the ones who have the longevity. There is no export policy one local business representative intones. Austrade is not well liked, but they have never visited Austrade in Canberra or overseas, it is all about perception. I talk about my visits to Austrade, in the London, Montreal, Washington and Los Angeles, for clients, and how there are export incentives on offer from the federal government and states. They ask why Victoria, Queensland the Australian government's duplicate locatons and services? Who knows?



In someplaces we have come to work out ways to counter the local trade union, paid community worker. They masquerade as community workers but their salary is paid by the ACTU. They have been identified and are being watched by the local liberal party branch. Take the seat of Eden Monaro for example. In Queanbeyan the ACTU has an operative. This man parades as a community networker of some type. He is known to the local sitting liberal Minister Gary Nairan but also to people such as myself who are nowhere near the electorate. The local liberal party branch knows who are the ACTU operatives.

There are campaign strategies talked about here in these small gatherings and the new consultants, working in their first election campaign for their business client, are keen to show their capabilities and worth. They all have different ideas and plans. They are not all that sophisticated. However neither is labor really sophisticated in its information and intelligence gathering and analysis. It has no depth of resource in its federal offices, and due to staffing resources is relying upon interns and volunteers within the leader and shadow ministry offices. They have little or no experience in overt, or covert, intelligence gathering network and distillation machine or system. They are unable to discern patterns, or link events, emails, documents or consitent interventions by external parties, they cannot plough through the vast anounts of disjointed, incoming information. They are ill equipped to track the "ghosts" or even know who they are. For them the opponent, the competition and the players, are running around openly and they are discernible.

Where the real resources are being allocated is in the Premiers offices and in the state branches of the party where incumbent labor governments are allocating, surreptitiously, the vitally needed support. On all sides of politics, state and federal elected members of parliaments are assisting the campaigns locally. The federal labor has to rely upon the state labor parties and governments, and the unions, because it has no sophisticated in house capability to match the Howard government. The opposition (liberal and national) parties at state level are barely capable of engaging the labor party in their jurisdiction let alone assisting the federal coalition efforts. Howard is facing a formidable, diverse, nationally structured and cashed up labor machine. because


Secrecy and centralisation is paramount in Mr Rudd's world. He was a secretive type according to some and to others he was a control freak, when he worked for Goss in Queensland as head of the bureaucracy. Perhaps those traits made in a good diplomat in China? Luckily the lack of sophisticated resources, and lateral thinking, in the Australian labor party, limits the potential and fails to harness all of the available talent. This makes the job easier.

I stare out the window at the view in the countryside, fresh air, not like the city. The order book for my business and my associates, is full. Over the next twelve weeks we will visit inner metropolitan, regional and country locations, servicing our clients. One client just wants to meet people. Another wants to participate in meetings. Some are promoting their businesses. All want to defeat labor's industrial relations agenda which is seen as archaic.

It is rather all irrelevant, and I have told everyone in every meeting. Politics is about self interest and unless you can offer the politician a reason to listen it is a waste of time. They know better because in the presidential style of politics today, the Minsiter thinks they are a CEO and are to be obeyed. The election turns on about twenty seats. Most of the meetings taking place are not in those seats. They will however perceive their own realities and the ghosts of the campaign that no one ever sees will beaver away.

On the other hand there are a few who I continually run into. We compare our diaries to see where we will be over the coming weeks and we often choose the same hotels so that we can sip a martini after the day has come to a close and talk about the campaigns.

Penrith, in NSW, is a non too welcoming place with the local motel choices limited, offering poor value for the money charged. I like to stay in Springwood.

We will trawl the streets and businesses of the federal seat of Lindsay. All the wat back to Parramatta and the international suite hotel. Eastern Creek and surrounds. Over to Windsor and Richmond and then into Sydney. We'll see how Maxine's doing. I like the southern assignments along the ridges and mountain highways of Robertson, Wollongong and Kangaroo Valley heading down to the coastal areas of Narooma and Bega. The seat of Eden Monaro. All the way south and back through Cann River. A side trip to the wonderful Gypsy Point. Along the coast through Peter McGauran's electorate and into the Latrobe Valley.

A few weeks form now we will go to Kingscliffe and New England, former heartland of the National Party, now the domain of independent members of parliament except where John Anderson clings on, but he is retiring. The independents have grouped together under the tutellage of Peter Andren. His seat of Calare has been redistributed by the Australian Electoral Commission and he will contest another. Tracking back down the coast through Nambucca to Newcastle and across the Hunter Valley to Mudgee, Bathurst and Orange. We wiol call into the local media and see how the locals are responding. In August its over to Adelaide and then to Perth. This is the most interesting election for many, many years.


John Howard can confine Kevin Rudd by deploying a more sophistiacted net across the nation. After all, Labor is far less tactical though they may believe differently. Generally people, involved in, or watching and commenting, on politics have no idea who are the ghosts, their motivations, nor where they are at any point in time. When we have enough information we wil publish the seat predictions and place our bet.





To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


HOWARD SHOWS WHY HE IS THE MOST CONSUMMATE POLITICAL LEADER IN THE NATION
THE POLITICAL MINE LAYER


Sitting looking at the Brisbane River, an idyllic and languid environment, my colleague muses on Peter Beattie's reaction to John Howard's acquisition of bits of the Northern Territory. He is a barrister. He opines that the aboriginal plight and the plight of child abuse (white or other) is an issue that is more robust in the southern states. The new immigrants to Queensland may be bringing with them southern sentimentalities and the political landscape is changing but they will change with the temperature and becoming less affronted. The redneck element of attitude increases, he says, the further north you move. I tend to believe him having travelled from above Port Douglas down through Cairns and along the coast. In Cairns the gathering of aboriginals in the parks to drink colours the residents views.

For myself I have had a diet of aboriginal outrage forced into my face for some thirty years. This has made me somewhat impervious to their whinging and demands for an apology. Theapology ios simplistic rubbish and labor keeps the childish demand alive. Perhaps they are children rather than mature citizens. Who kinows? They are in many peoples' minds never happy. The loudest voices, I am told, tend to emanate from the aboriginals who inhabit the southern states. I have often observed them, they are the ones that can be found lounging in the Qantas Club and perhaps the Chairman's Lounge. They are not the ones lounging in the remote communities and the camps. Those aborigines are too far away to be heard. Their screams and desperation as they are preyed upon by white parasites and others are lost in the wide brown land. They whisper on the wind in the receesses of this sunburnt country.

To reinforce my colleague's point he reminds me that the issue of child abuse did not register a jot in the state election. I railed agaist Beattie in the web pages of this Mosaic Portal and I wrote to members of the Cabinet and the media. There was no reply. There hardly vere is. I am from the south and of little interest unless I vote and even then that seems hardly of interest to the people who have made the labor party a shadow of is fo0rmer prestige. The situation, for me and others, who would like a vibrant democracy and government in every state and territory is made more depressing by an opposition (liberal and national) who are inept and incompetent. Peter Beattie can say and do what he likes. He is not accountable. He can paint Howard as an opportunist, but by comparison Peter Beattie has rarely if ever displayed a real leadership that inspires respect. His one skill is media manipulation and pandering. Saying I am sorry and I take responsibility. Who will hold him responsible? The opposition, the bureaucracy (they like the opposition are not endowed with the capacity or the will) or the electors? I'm all right Jack.

So how is it that Kevin Rudd reads a different message in Howard's actions to that of Beattie? He is from Queensland. My colleague ponders, and firstly says Rudd is well educated and well travelled. He is a diplomat first and foremost. He is far better read and sophisticated in thought and sociology than Peter Beattie, Morris Iemma, Steve Bracks and definitely more of every quality than Paul Lennon. Alan Carpenter and Claire Martin rate no mention. My friend wanders off into stories of marriage and family breakdowns as a barometer fo the society in which he lives and works. Family stuff is a lucrative earner in Queensland. He has represented in child abuse cases and I once flew up to watch one. He says that Rudd needs votes from everywhere but underpinning Kevin Rudd, unlike Peter Beattie, is a deeper and real humanity, unlike his labor colleagues. My lawyer friend thinks they are individual interested politicians first and foremost. I personally think they corrode, and corrupt, democracy. That explains the disengagement. The polls around Brisbane differ from those going north. I take one last look at the river and head for the airport. Next call is Kingscliffe, and then Sydney and Canberra where I will try and find out why Jon Stanhope labels the Howard moves as racist by any description. Stanhope is irrelevant since he is a territory leader. I wonder if he has ever visited one of the aboriginal settlements. I have visited some around Alice Springs, and on the road between there and Darwin and some in New South Wales and Victoria but they are not like the remote areas of Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory. I will move on to Adelaide eventually. I am seeking an answer to the question - who will be the next Prime Minister? This is important to all of the people but to many business, and annointed, people it is a vital question.


The executive government in the Northern Territory, and the senior bureaucrats, dithered for eight weeks, sittng on the report of the scandal that would ultimately spell the humiliation of the Chief Minister and her government. Oblivious to the movement behind the scenes and growing antipathy of agitators and concerned citizens they sat with thumb in bum and mind in neutral with the Chief Minister blithely stating that her incompetent and worthless administration would require another six weeks. The temperature in the tropics must addle the political brain. At the same time the stakeholders, as the bureaucrats love to envisage went about their traditional ways never expecting to be sidelined. They risk being run over and becoming irrelevant. It's who's got the money, the power and the gumption that now matters.

We know who that is. Federal Minister for Aboriginal Affairs, Mal Brough, has stirred a hornet's nest with his assertions of paedophilia in remote aboriginal communities. He has a swag of evidence and Claire Martin, Chief Minister of the Northern Territory sitting on a report for several weeks that will blow the top off her administration has managed to unwittingly light the fuse. She, her bureaucrats and law enforcers, have allowed the non aboriginal itinerants to carry booze, drugs and money to buy sex, into communities. She has sat by mouthing platitudes whilst degradation has been peddled on her watch. The mining companies of the Northern Territory, have allowed their personell free reign to exploit the aboriginal people treating them as sexual objects regardless of age and capacity. The Martin administration is one abhorrently rude, to those who might enquire about their inactions and their incompetence. Perhaps they think it is the distance that might deter people like myself, and others, from reaching into their world to expose their inadequacies. The mining companies will shortly
bear the heat of a campaign aimed at exposing their executives and humiliating them into action at board level.

Claire Martin is a spin merchant taken from the local ABC and thrust into leadership. Martin presides over an underperforming bureaucracy that should be retired from service. However, research shows that it is hard to get talent that far north. The apisrant public servant does not want to go to a back water but prefers the career pathways in the southern regimes. John Howard has effectively retired the Northern Territory Public Service, and government, for an extended amount of time from the administration of remote aboriginal communities, moving decisively to annex them to the will of federal Minister Brough ably supported by the irn will of Tony Abbott. The truckies and the polluters of the communities and the mining companies should be now looking over their shoulders. John Howard knows that in the realm of public opinion, and the behind the scenes influencers, he has at his disposal a very competent federal Minister in Mal Brough. It is not a surprise that people who generally appear to have avacuum between their ears should suddenly come to life blathering, and blustering, when someone else does something.


It is the same diatribe from "doctrinal philosophers" such as Andrew Bartlett, leader of the Democrats. Moral outrage and criticism from a party leader who has managed with the astute help of colleagues to make himself, and his party, not only irrelevant but nearly extinct. The Democrat leader has the haughty ego, and thick hide of a failed politician, to assume that having made a fool of himself, over time, he has the public persona to be credible in a very delicate and important matter. The Honourable Senator Rachel Siewert, of the Greens party, falls into that same "doctrinal philosophy" set. Decades have passed where all governments, and bureaucrats, have failed in their duty of care. Even as the Prime Minister moves at last to set the future course the hollow critics, who sit in our parliaments, and on the "public troughs" of funded bodies that are supposed to do the job, bleat and bluster. Their commentary is a annoying barking. Kevin Rudd borders on "doctrinal philosophy" in his lecturing style when interviewed but unlike them he can read the electoral mood and knows this is not simply a political gesture before an election. Those who portray it as such on the airwaves and the web risk being marginalised. Perhaps electorally. When John Howard recalls parliament to consider the legislative changes the opposition parties will all step into a minefeld along with state leaders, the controllers on the Aboriginal Land Councils, the Aboreiginal Social Justice Commissioner, the Australian Medical Association, the Human Rights and Discrimination experts and critics, academics, social engineers, unions, police, wind bags etc. This is John Howard's minefield carefully laid and he has broad support. If some of the mines go off when stepped on by people with closed mindsets, and self interests, watch the polls change dramatically in August 2007. Howard has moved to broaden his agenda. Despite what the Australian media, and political commentators think, it is "not just about the economy stupid" and it actually never was if I have been reading the Prime Minister correctly. The incumbent interests, in the aboriginal affairs sector, should have read the signs and been better informed. They should have been constantly looking beyond the square of their world. There are lessons here for amny and not just about aboriginal affairs. The lessons are relevant to those who think they are in charge in their domains. They should not be merely loking at governments but should be gathering intelligence in a changing world. The underlying themes, that drive issues and outcomes, are now far more complex and the drivers, stakeholders and strategy implementers, are well beyond the horizon and awareness of those who think they know their personal work and interest domains.



Melbourne Age
Australia's Melbourne Age





Sydney Morning Herald
Australia's Sydney Morning Herald









WATCHING THE ELECTORATES
AUSTRALIAN MEDIA
Local Newspapers, by Town and City, Across the Nation
MELBOURNE'S HERALD SUN
Australasia Region
National Indigenous Times Australia
Q News Australia (Gay)
Press Council of Australia Regulatory Body
Commercial Television Members' Association
Australian Media Federation
Community Broadcasting Radio and Television Stations in Australia
Telstra Australia News
Australian Financial Review Newspaper
Australian Broadcasting Corporation (Public Broadcaster)
State Broadcasting Service (Ethnic Multilingual Radio and Television in Australia)
Radio Australia News (Public Broadcaster)
Time Pacific Edition


Western Sydney provides a mosaic of opinions and comments. Here labor beleives that its industrial relations strategy goes down well. There are pockets of disadvantage created from a lack of jobs where people live and the failure of the residents, in many cases, to prepare themselves for work through education and training. They want it quick, cheap and now. Welfare can provide the basics of a reasonable lifetsyle. They can borrow the rest. This is the heartland where labor's cliam that training and skill is a problem holds true, but not for the reasons Rudd, Gillard and Swan would have the electorate believe. It holds true because the low schooling, skills and training levels are directly the outcomes of people who put other priorities first. Mt Druitt, Blacktown, St Mary's, Parramatta and Eastern Creek across to Macquarie Fields, to Liverpool and surrounding suburbs. Then we an move across the landscape to Hornsby and Epping and Castle Hill. We are near the Pacific Highway, the road that snakes through the upper and lower North Shore Sydney.

The suburbs, in any state and territory, of the poorly educated and limited effort, are full of people who quite simply do not pull their weight and contribute in a personal sense. They want the good life without too much effort and personal cost. There area lot of them. They do not distil or understand complex issues and have limited comprehension, experience and analytical capability. But what they do havethat is equal is they vote. The two most threatening conundrums in any democracy, including Australia, are the highly educated and the minimally educated.

It is in the lowest socio-economic and educated areas that the union's message plays out and where the low skilled union memberships create the problems for labor. Low skilled members allow the thugs of the union movement to maintain control. For example one can see the difference between the unions in this sector and unions in banking and technology. Their control of blue collar membership will decline as skilled tradespeople move up the siocio-economic scale.

(Saturday 16 June 2007) Kevin Rudd and labor will not win the federal election of 2007

The labor party has, in my worthless opinion, atrocious strategists and planners by comparison to the liberal machine of John Howard. Howard is, in wily talent, equivalent to the main three lead labor party players, Rudd, Gillard and Swan. In the engine room behind him and out here in the electorate reside a talent that dwarfs the labor party and their sophisticated, and slick, ACTU manual. That's it, knocking on doorsand having barbeques,.giving out DVD's. The coalition strategists and many ministers provided me with a biography and documents on their policies and their profiles. The Democrats, Family First and the Greens did the same. Labor did not. I get a standard labor email, once in a while, the same as the e-herald below in this web site. They are not all that sophisticated and I personally find their strategists acking in lateral ability, extraordinarily unaware and uninformed, as Paul Keating branded them. I enjoy the political election
game. Julia Gillard said it was "contact sport" and made thus defined the field. Election night this time in 207 will be very exciting indeed. THough I expect the result will be known by nine o'clock. Congratulations to John Howard.



When Julia Gillard describes Howard as tricky and being polituical she displays her naivety and propensity for stupid statements. Of course he is all of those things and more. Gillard wants to be the Depauty leader in government and I would rather she took a moment to put ego and self gratification and desire for power aside and considered the public interest. Not a trait of the modern politician on any side of the spectrum.

The one man band of the Australian labor party's federal campaign strategy is wilting. Yet on this Staurday in June the pundits laud Kevin Rudd. Now let's see what the polls say two days after I make the brave claim that Rudd will not win under his current plans and strategies. "OPPOSITION Leader Kevin Rudd today brushed off polls showing the Coalition Government making ground on Labor. Mr Rudd sidestepped questions about whether he thought last week's negative attacks on Prime Minister John Howard over his use of Kirribilli House for Liberal Party functions had affected his popularity." (Source: Telegraph Newspaper Sydney, June 18, 2007, 3pm - http://www.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/story/0,22049,21923384-31037,00.html)

So why can I predict something that the political commentators will not in advance of polls? The answer is both siple and complex. The team on the labor front bench are not inspiring as Julia Gillard and Wayne Swan delivering droning reiterations of holow rambling responses and shrill affront. It is a mystery to me why Wayne Swan is in the role of shadow treasurer when there is greater unexplored talent in the party. The one thing that irks most in Australian politics is the career politician who hangs on and on in the vain hope that their entitlement for long service will include a position in government.

From a considerable source base of research, and communication, I predict that the labor party will make some substantial gains, perhaps as many as ten, to twelve, seats but will not win the 2007 election. They are likely to claim a ministerial scalp from the liberal party and one obvious target is Gary Nairn in the seat of Eden Monaro in New South Wales. Another may be Alexander Downer in Mayo South Australia. More extensive questioning and discussion of sources and opinion will be gathered on these two seats in the coming weeks.

The National Party vote will grow by between 0.7% and 1.3%.

Kevin Rudd, and the Australian Labor Party, are attempting to rest power from John Howard's Coalition government. n first blush Mr. Rudd, and his band of trusty candidates, look superior in the polls but the reality is in the electorates not in mass opinion. Labor must secure the number of seats they now have plus another sixteen. The sad fact for Mr Rudd is that he actualy has to win seventeen, or eighteen, seats because he looks like losing one, or two, in Western Australia.

What will he do to shore up his prospects, in Western Australia, sack the unionist, Mr. McDonald, from the from the ALP, who has been filmed being threatening and abusive to employers? Mr. Rudd sacked Dean Mighell so he has to be as tough in Western Australia. Julia Gillard has rote learned her lines and talks of how labor will be tough and will have a tough cop on the beat of construction. That is it. No substance yet again just rote.

The problem for ZMr Rudd is that according to key labor people in that state and to other observers he cannot be tough in Western Australia because Kevin Reynolds and Joe McDonald, in perception, run the state of labor. He is viewed as a mouse by the cat union leaders there in Western Australia. It is unlikely that he will act in the short term because he is heading towards a confrontation withe the hard men of the union movement. This is a double edged sword because to wait portrays him as weak against union power. It is according to some, an arrogant assumption that Kevin Rudd runs the Australian Labor Party. This is not a party of democracy but an autorcracy run by a few. Rudd definitely does not run the union movement. The danger is that individuals will place their own self interest before the objective of winning governmet. There is a belief in the lecetorate that a rabble element will break out and the labor campaign will be derailed by internecine fighting. The policy platform is so close to the coalition platforms that for many in the union movement there is little prospect that labor will offer much of substance to the unions, when in government. Julia Gillard prevaricates using legal jargon and argumenets to explain Rudd's reticence. Antipathy and a negative reaction to her style and demeanour is on the rise in the national electorate.

Sacking Dean Mighell from the labor party was seen by many in Western Australia and Victoria mainly, as a Rudd grandstand without substance and fortitude. The unions are his weakest link because ultimately they cahllenge the power of the political leader. The unions hold the cash and all of the cards.

Add to his woes his own foibles in knowledge about things economic. Kevin is an academic type, with an apparent strength in humanities, sociology, foreign affairs and languages. He isa theorist in his presentation and rhetoric and when one analyses what he is actually saying it is motherhood statements dressed up in popular sound bites. When he is up against a "workman" such as Peter Costello, Kevin Rudd flounders. He is not an economist nor a statistical thinker such as Minister for Health, Tony Abbott, nor is Kevin Rudd avuncular and likeable like Joe Hockey.


THE LABOR PARTY HAS SOMETHING TO BE REALLY SORRY ABOUT


In the arena of aboriginal affairs we hear very little from Kevin Rudd because again the labor party in the states and territories have failed to deliver very basic services whilst presiding over a deteriorating social catastrophe, the abuse and sexual assault of children by paedophiles. Labor leaders have allowed these creatures of satan to remain in communities until Mal Brough came with a torch to show the Australian people what it is realy like in these places beyonf our gaze and awareness. This is labor government territory. Claire Martin, and what commentators now see as her band of useless and incompetent bureaucrats, mirroring Peter Beattie's unilluminating lot of bureaucrats in Queensland, logoed by him as the "smart state", closed their eyes and their ears and attacked federal Minister Mal Brough. They attack because they do not want to be held accountable and the gladiatorial nature of Australian politics is inculcated in the bi-cameral system. They attack because maturity is not a strong suit of the modern politician.

In the week of June 15, 2007, a report titled " Little Children Are Sacred" shows what happens when media specialists and bureaucrat style theorists become leaders of government. The report details the physical, mental abuse and degradation and it has forced the "weasels" as one person put it to me, in the Northern Territory bureaucracy and government, to show some concern. It is always about buck passing in the approach between territory, state and federal. The immaturity of the labor party at state level to think of the public interest first knows no bounds.

"The report outlines allegations of sex trades and juvenile prostitution but does not mention paedophile rings. Mal Brough disagrees and says you just have to look at the evidence. "In the last two months, 13 out of [an] approximate adult population of 90 have been charged with child sex offences against children as young as three with the main offence being penetration of a girl under 13," he said. The Northern Territory's Chief Minister, Claire Martin, says it will take at least six weeks before she will respond fully to the report, to allow talks with the Commonwealth to get under way. Education, alcohol control Inquiry co-chair Pat Anderson has blamed an abundance of alcohol and a lack of education as the major contributors to child sex abuse. "Where there is unemployment, poverty, alcoholism, drug taking, overcrowding, unemployment, you can guarantee that those children are severely at risk and eventually going to be sexually abused or abused in some way, and that's what's happening," she said." (Source: Australian Broadcasting Corporation, Friday, June 15, 2007. 6:51pm (AEST), http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200706/s1952739.htm)

Claire Martin, labor Chief Minister, states it will take six weeks before she will respond to the report. Form your own opinion on the alacrity and failures of this labor government and translate that into a national sense of outrage against the alacrity and cant of the labor party as a whole who like to acknowledge everywhere they go that they are
standing on the land of some aboriginal community. They pay lip service and are to be condemned. Six weeks! They wnat to say sorry, well they really have to something to be sorry about now. Their failure as govermments., politcains and people of moral and ethical challenge. So why doesn't Claire and Kevin and the others say sorry we let you down all of the way not merely when we landed in the big ships in 1777.

Kevin Rudd has, like his labor party colleagues eveywhere, has remained mute because theory, rhetoric and cant, do not cut it when such shame unfolds. Even as the report is trumpeted in the media it is being managed by Martin's spin team and at 3.15pm days after its handing to the NT government is is not listed on the web Google search. There is distatse for Martin and this is crossing barriers which are normally state - federal divides. Kevin Rudd has lost the inititiave on aboriginal affairs. Shortly he will lose it on water and climate change.

Mal Brough may well become one of John Howard's greatest assets along with Julie Bishop and Joe Hockey. There is depth in the coalition, greatly lacking in the labor party and the voters are becoming more aware of this. Additionally the coalition is tapping a broader external base of support and campaigning talent than labor's union movement can provide. Rudd has only one prominent business supporter. The rest are silent.

The whole of the Labor front bench are in this theoretical space. I cannot name a member of the labor front bench that I find engaging, and invigorating, in ideas and lateral thinking or approachable. Writing an email or letter to labor is like akin to dropping it down a well. There is no response. Labor members appear incensed by trivia (functions at Kiiribbilli and the Lodge) and blinded by ideological hate and bound up in chains that tighten the sphincter causing them to go red faced with commensurate thrashing and apoplexy. The lack of a workman like approach to their tasks is quite apparent particularly when Kevin Rudd is grilled on issues he does not want to talk about like productivity, the cost of capital, the return on capital, the value of human talent and the realities. He says that skills training levels in Australia are woeful. Julia Gillard trots education as a sin of government without realising that it is the individual who remains uneducated.

Education and training failures are standard blue collar union lines. Skills training and competency is their shallow mantra year after year. What Rudd, Gillard, Swan et al, will not admit, despite volumes of research over two decades, is that Australians are lazy when it comes to education and training and that the per capita take up rate is only about 30% to 40% of the working population if that. There is no life long learning ethos in the nation and no policy. This can be sheeted home to labor. Labor controls the actuall design and delivery of education and training content in primary, secondary and vocational education sectors. According to a number of teachers in the front line udd can pronounce an education revolution till the cows come home but the revolution is, for them, a revolution against his own party and their political power base. The top heavy dead hand of bureaucracy in places such as Queensland, Victoria and New South Wales are viewed as concrete barriers to progress. I perceive that the once claimed territory of labor - health and education - are no more.

Kevin Rudd and his education spokesperson, who is the education spokesperson, are both outclassed and overwhlemed by the governhment's Julie Bishop. He sprouts an
education revolution policy but it is founded on the proposition that people wnat to participate and many do not. So add this to his theory about productivity being low and he is not on the ball.

Finally he persists in honing in on the fluffy debate about whether John Howard can use his home for private liberal party functions. It is a no winner question and is largely irrelevant yet he cannot see this and time after time he looks as if he can only handle the minimal issues, the ones with simple propositions and details. Senator Penny Wong, usually erudite and articulate drones away on this piss ant matter whilst children are raped, die and a whole forgotten people suffer. Who gives a rat's arse about whther the liberals should have apid rent for a party? The labor party needs to grow up and Kevin Rudd needs to throw of the image of the school master/professor studiously writing at his parliamentary desk like a fool playing ames, and pay attention and engage in the debate. It is not his parliament to play games in.

He focuses on the liberal party because it is an issue that does do not require complex facts at the fingertips, similarly on work choices and industrial relations. The era of labor's domination of the
work force issue is also over but they do not know it yet. In climate change the party rolls out Peter Garrett, another theorist sprouting economic and technical dreams. He is against the workman like Malcolm Turnbull who is about to take the Darling River system off Kevin Rudd's underperforming state colleagues. It is probably understandable that given Peter Garrett is an ex rock star he would find an affinity with hot rocks as an energy source.

There is
much not to like about the Australian government, but at least they have a maturity to put aside the argy bargey of politicas and deal with people who bring ideas and propose things in a professional manner. One might never get what they are after and I rarely ever do, but at least I, and my associates, get a hearing. We are given access at middle and very high levels of government. Whenever, after an extraoridinary expennditure of time, money and effort, one makes it to the labor government bureaucracy, it is invariably a very unreward8ing experience. Labor is, in many respects perceeived by quitea number of voters, to be bound in chains of ideology, in hate and mistrust, and in a narrow expertise and experience. The labor party under today's leaders, both political and inion, is a party of the past and not the future. Its operational tyactics are undermined by an oafish and thuggish disposition. This bleeds into the labor party structure. Sharon Burrow the President, and leading Comrade, within the Australian Council of Trade Unions, is in many ways the face of labor.







A SLOW BURN CORE ELECTORAL ISSUE

Under the current system of preferential voting we cannot be the winners in our system of democracy. We have allowed it to evolve beyond examination, accountability and control. Our democracy has become a presidential system. We may elect a representative but they must follow the party direction and that of the leader and cabinet. The parliaments of Australia are a pyramid of diminishing democracy. This means that the election campaigns are managed and orcehestrated around two people. The true potential of the parliamentary system to produce brilliance and interesting forums of campaigning ideas is stifled, dumbed down to mediocrity.

The polls claim that Kevin Rudd, and the ALP, are moving ahead by a huge margin. The Prime Minister, John Howard, is withholding a number of initiatives which he will unveil after APEC and in the run up to the election. This will be his last ditched effort. History, recorded in the Mosaic Portal web sits and elsewhere will not view him with kindly and though it may be unpalatable he should consider the proposition that he has allowed some quite creepy things to happen and some very mercurial and machiavellian ministers to run portfolios. Equitable consideration and openness are not traits of any government. The Australian Prime Ministership, according to much informed opinion, is steeped in degradation of the nation's democracy. The greater number of people in Australia are effectively denied participation in their democracy other than a vote.


Australia's public policy performance at federal, sate and territory levels is not something that citizens find invigorating. The Howard haters do not acknowledge that there are more labor party senior politicians who might wear the mantle of corrdoers of democracy, in 2007. They have made an art from of corroding their respective jurisdictional domains and manipulating for personal interest and that of tyheir faithful supporters. These are Australian political leaders such as Premiers Paul Lennon (Labor), Steve Bracks (Labor) and Peter Beattie (Labor). Of bygone eras, in the same league, it may be argued are Gough Whitlam (Labor), Paul Keating (Labor), Bob Carr (Labor), Joe Bjelke Petersen (National) and Brian Burke (Labor). The modern government uses its power to curb access to information, neuter the public services, turning them to government servants, acting with fear and favour or at least extreme care. The internal media units of the respective political leaders appear unethical and even criminal in activity as they manipulate and deceive on behalf of the political employers. Unelected political advisers behave as surrogate ministers and issue veiled threats or directions to public servants and the wider Australian community. Commercial transaction documents, such as tenders demand silence from participants who are required to sign onerous deeds of confidentiuality and are forbidden to talk to media. These tenders more and more contain etraordinary demands for liability, and indemnity, coverage from tenderers such as $A200,000,000 more for common services. They contain threats and coercive clauses.

There are many definitions of corruption. Unarguably our democracy, and our rights of participation, and the quality of administration and public service has been diminished by political intervention and selfish objectives. Australia exists under a political managerialism designed to maintain power in the hands of the political elite within the labor and liberal parties and their appointed "mates" and special persons" to boards and committees. Service and employment contracts are doled out and unethical and corrupt politicians are promoted through the ranks.

As for the ordinary person's role in governmment and democracy? We are merely required to turn up every few years and put a number in a box. Then go back to our daily lives without seeking to interfere. To annoy or intefere is to invite disregard, hostility, ridicule and sometimes more than not, retribution.

Kevin Rudd faces a daunting task to take government, labor needs to win seventeen seats. These seats are spread across the nation and some are marginal and some are not. Statistically the task would appear to be against success. The unknown is the swininging voters and those who are prepared to move from the party they have supported - e.g liberal, national or independents to labor, greens or democrats. An examination of marginal seats and movements will be undertaken over the coming months and will be posted here. These assessmenst wil be made according to the methodologies set out at the base of this site.



SOME PEOPLE ARE JUST PAWNS IN A PUERILE GAME OF MEDIOCRITY


Former Prime Minister Paul Keating gave a spray to the senior leaders and strategists of the federal Austrlian Labor Partry. He described them as ineffectual. They rallied araound and came out with blistering responses demonstrating the full capacity of their artuculate minds and capacity to engage and enthrall. They said Paul was very colourful and that Paul was Paul and that he was yesterdya's man. Scintillating stuff. Kevin Rudd and the team galvanised me and I am ecstatically looking forward to Rudd's win and formation of our national government with anticipation. What middles of mediocrity we can aspire to under these intelectual giants. Paul Keating's assertions are on display every day in this campaign.

Labor politician, Tanya Pliebersek, attended the Smart Card Forum at Darling Harbour this week, 6th June 2007. She was there in her capacity as spokesperson for the Community Services portfolio to give the labor party's view on smart card chip technology particularly in its application to government social programmes namely the Access Card. From my perspective the sole objective of her orwellian and unsubstantiated assertions, was to oppose the government by veiled ridicule. That was expected bhut what she probably did not realise was that her speech was riddled with overtones belittling members' of the audience's contribution to productivity improvement in the public service. Her main target was the federal government's proposed
Access Card.

She referred to no other applications for technology to indicate she had the knowledge of application for security, border control, efficiency and cost savings across a wide range of activities and what lessins the Acces Card could provide to migrate into a wider set of applications. Single mindedly she was there not to contribute to the knowledge base but to tear down the work and aaspiratons of thousands of people involved in this vital industry sector.

Firstly she told us that we were in the middle of her political electorate and on the land of some non descript aboriginal tribe. We should no doubt be grateful. This is an irksome ritual particularly when intoned regularly non aboriginals. The politicians of all persuasion inthis nation have been unable to ease the plight of the aboriginal people and now resport to hollow symbolism. She then told the audience that labor had nothing against smart cards just the implementation methodology and the invasion of privacy and risks involved. What does implementation mean? For her it is solely the legislation. It is not the physical technology and its impact on the public purse which will be profound in terms of benefits. Never mind that the assembled audience's capacity to deliver whatever protection is best in terms of privacy exceeds the politicians ability to frame pages of legislation. Ms Pliebersek theorises that it is the the conspiracy ridden airheads who will protect the people's rights rather than the technology practitioners who can build chips in a card topology along with encrypted databases that are so daunting to the hacker, and the fraudster, as to be economically unpalatable.

She tried to offer some justification for her derision claiming that the productivity measurements, and savings, used to justify the smart card were spurious. She did not believe the external experts, the public servants, the industry or the government. Instead she knew and that was sufficient for her and her colleagues to trash years of work and effort and to condemn the nation to billions in fraud and waste. There was no offered basis for her views and it was unlikely that there might be one tendered, by her speech she demonstrated that she had absolutely no idea of the process to register and issue cards to 16,500,000 people. She cited a twelve minute enrollment to actual personal card issuance cycle per applicant. This is a fiction. She had concactinated the registration at one end and the verification of identity in the middle, done elsewhere, and the final card issuance likely to occur some days later all into one simple minded step. Not to worry, the audience, unlike the general public to whom she delivers this drivel, is well versed and she was challenged on this. She gave a dissertation on the faults of the legislation which apparently must contain every solitary detail about smart cards and processes. Apparently the parliamentarians cannot educate and inform themselves.

One of the most offensive elements of her talk was the proposition that public servants might be bribed to sell people's data. Ms Pliebersek ignores the fact that corruption is likely to occur in the political, and party, ranks of the Australian Labor Party than in the Australian Public Service. One only has to look at the parliamentary makeup of the Bracks labor government in Victoria. I always marvel at the denigration of the process of government and the public service by aspirant Ministerial candidates. I try to imagine what it might be like working under her Ministry? Ms Pliebersek's obsession is privacy. Given her uninformed perceptions of computer technology and security, the database was already at risk and would not withstand hacking. Ms Pliebersek then had a short discussion with myself and a colleague. She appeared surprised when we suggested that the supermarkets engaged in data matching to a far greater extent than any of Australia's governments and that a data matching programme already existed in the federal government installed by those who came before the coalition, namely the labor government. I got the impression that no matter what one said to her her mind was already made up. It was a closed space. She was not there to learn, listen or justify, and promptly turned to the waiting media informing them that when labor got in they would tear up the card. Never mind the billions being frauded against the public purse. Labor's economic credentials are't that flash and so they can easily dismiss facts and condone fraud in pursuit of ideology.

Senator Natasha Stott Despoja, and one of her staff, attended the forum for extensive periods, learning, listening and discussing as did one of federal Minister Gary Nairn's advisers. These people engaged in debate. By comparison there were no labor aspirants or staffers to be seen which is typical. They might feel uncomfortable since they appear by word and action to be wary of people in business and anyone who might have a differing opinion. They have little experience and knowledge of it. The labor party front bench members and their advisers know it all. They are biased and closed minded to alternative opinions and in this they are unfit for high office. They by comparison to the coalition party members and Ministers, seem unable to mix, preferring the company of the converted and like minded. The party touts education and training for the Australian nation but this does not include themselves. Ms Pliebersek appeared to have little concept, probably even less care for the demographics of her audience. It seems to have escaped Ms Pliebersek's thinking that one might actually commence the process of getting things underway whihc will take an extensive amount of time and during this time the legislation and final decisions as to purging or keeping data can be made. That might be all too common sensical. It is really debilitating, costly and often very wasteful, at every level, to be involved in the public sector in Australia. Those who are not politically inclined, and employed, invariably become pawns in a puerile game of one upmanship and mediocrity.



To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


HOT AIR OR WHAT?


The Prime Minister's task force lead by Dr Peter Shergold has produced a plan for a carbon trading scheme. It is not all that different from Labor's in its sketchiness but consistent with form the Prime Minister is couching the approach through the prism of the economy. This is in itself not a bad approach if the report was in actual fact comprehensive. It is not. Hastily prepared it is limited in attribution and sourced research. The report makes no reference to the built environment. Why should it? Well because 40% of Australia's gren house emissions are the direct effect of how we build and operate our constructed environment. Developers do it on the cheap and thus the buildings are not efficient and they use vast amounts of electricity and energy with massive waste and impact on the environment at every level. Missed it did Dr Shergold? Oppos. That is a big hole in the report's ozone layer.




CREDIBILITY


The Australian government of John Howard risks being demolished due to its arrogance and isolationist practices. There are some people who come across as very mean, and uncaring, in their minsiterial management styles. The Howard ministers, their advisers and senior public servants have managed and manipulated, isolating and even in some cases ruining those who confront them.
When was it that dissent became akin to heresy. The quality of the public service machine has come under the spotlight time and time again. The mandarins of the Australian federal public service, from Secretary level down to Assistant Secretary, are subservient to the government even to the point that they corrupt decision making and withhold information from the parliament. We can see what happens when a nation fails to protect its most cherished possesion, its democracy. We let them get away with it. The lies about people over board, the gulag camps where our government put refugees, the wars, torture, the maiming and killing of people, within and without Australia.

Would Kevin Rudd's government be any different than the other governments of the nation? The answer appears to be no. The senior members of governments, and their chosen government servants, degrade the hard working dedicated efforts of those below them in the parliaments and the public services. The nation suffers under a festering rot eating at our polity .




ROLL OUT THE BIG FURPHY - THE CLIMATE


In 2003 Peter Costello, the Treasurer in Australia's government, together with Dr. David Kemp put up a proposition to examine climate change. The Prime Minister John Howard ensured that their proposition died on the vine. The claim now by the Prime Minister that he has any interest in climate change is viewed by many voters as a cyncial exercise, in political survival, as has been his Prime Ministership in their eyes. John Howard never appeared interested in debate or alternative views.

The ALP policy around
Climate change talks of things out to 2050. Isn't that a bit of a stretch of the imagination. What sovereign governments will be in power, what will the corporate and global world look like, what will be the technology over time? Rudd likes the hot rocks and thinks that geothermal can produce base laod. This is the influence of the dream and fantasy members of the ALP the labor greenies lead by their hero, Peter Garrett. On the other side of the equation, in the coalition, we have Malcolm Turnbull praising the hollow rhetoric of George Bush who wants fifteen nations to agree on a plan which is nebulous. Malcolm says this is a good move.

The Australian government not yet realising that the electorate has moved slightly on from "its about the economy stupid" to a broader expectation are proferring a steady as she goes economic focus which has spinning mirrors to point us to the caring attention to climate change policy. Industry has indicated that to make a carbon trading scheme work the price signal must be around $A30.00 per tonne or higher. This would cause the conservative think tank members of government to choke on their weeties.



AMONG THE NATIONAL HOT BUTTON ISSUES


People might like to educate themselves about climate change and other public policy issues, including emtive ones such as the move to nuclear, coal, gas and energy. Then there is housing affordability.

Using the facilities of the Kevin R Beck Msoaic Portal you can distil the hype and disinformation, fantasy and denigration from fact and debate that will increase as the debate heats up.

Performance pay for Teachers


WHO RUNS THE SAME OLD LABOR PARTY?



(May 28, 2007) Dean Mighell is a trade unionist in Victoria Australia. Unlike Kevin Rudd Mighell has tirelessly worked to get his members pay rises. Substantial rises. Examination of Kevin Rudd's public sector career indicates that he may have diminished peoples' careers during his time as a mandarin public servant in Queensland. There he was derisively named for his ruthlessness, and more recenty pursuit of his own personal career seems to have diminished his wife's business prospects. Similarly Julia Gillard and Wayne Swan, among other labor front benchers, may have made little contribution in their roles to working peoples' prospects.

Rudd attacked Deam Mighell for doing what he is supposed to do. The label "rough diamond" in relation to language and hubris may be pertinent for Mighell but he is a tactician. In his world of the electrical trades he meets some of the mean and unprincipaled people of the construction and building industry in Australia. It is a questionable industry requiring the government to create a commission to oversight activity and corrupt practices. Labor acknowledges this when Gillard said they would keep the Commission. Mr. Rudd probably has never sullied his hands dealing, and negotiating, with these types, instead he has met, and dealt with, with political criminals and manipulators. He meets with people who manipulate democracy and truth every day of his working life. Mr Rudd and his colleagues have lectured us while his wife's company is paying $A0.45 cents an hour in lieu of benefits taken away and some might think this is unprincipalled. He had Dean Mighell expelled from the Australian Labor Party for what he said in a meeting to members of his union. The rest of Mighell's colleagues in the Australian Council of Trade Unions are mute. They are not people one might wnat as close friends or colleagues anyway. They are unlike Dean Mighell closet types who scheme and carry out their dirty strategies and processes behind closed doors whilst presenting a squeaky clean image to the world. What cant on the part of Rudd and Gillard. Throwing Dean out of the ALP is tantamount is akin to throwing someone out of a brothel.

The blue collar division of the union movement, has never come across as the most enlightened, urbane and sophisticated arm of the Australian trade union sector. Although Bill Shorten provides an exception. The average davocate and leader is deemed by many to be inarticulate and less than stellar in the education and elarning stakes. They are not subtle negotiators. Nor is Senator Bill Heffernan. One could well see him as a trade union advocate shirt fronting people and engaging in smear and outright disgusting diatribe. The Prime Minister borders on hypocrisy when one considers what Heffernan did to Justice Kirby in the High Court and how the Prime Minister allowed that exercise in defamation and destruction of reputation was allowed to continue. Is it any wonder that the people of the nation have a low regard for just about all of the parliamentary membership and the union movement and the corporater world? The
standards of our governments and the leaders are viewed as suspect by the electorate.

Are we also to assume that Senator Abetz' support for Gunns Timber in Tasmania and the Premier of that state's actions and
ethics are not in their own manner also reprehensible? Is the apparent lack of a moral compass on the part of Premier Bracks, supporting corrupt politicians and practices any less reprehensible? Why are the people whom Bracks protects and promotes not expelled for their activities? They do as much damage to democracy and parliamentary process in Victoria. Or could it be that the definition of damage to be acted upon by the labor party hierarchy is "how does this activity/person affect mine/our chances of winning power?" Rudd had Mighell resign from the party in a sham show of his control of unionists. He may be very reticent to pick on a real ALP or union power broker, such as Kevin Reynolds in Western Australia or one in his home state of Queensland or the powerful NSW unions and ALP divisions there.

The author of the above comment, Kevin Beck, was a contracted union advocate for a Victorian power industry union between the years 1991 - 1994 during the privatisation of the State Electricity Commission, a former ALP Branch Secretary and a Victorian ALP Committee Member, he has held honorary union positions in his past working career.



May 2007 and Kevin Rudd, the labor party federal leader, and his Deputy Ms Julia Gillard have demonstrated the most common characteristic of the modern day politician is hypocrisy. The ALP has long derided the federal government's work choices legislation and together with the Australian Council of Trade Unions, have denigrated employers choosing examples from across the nation. They have presented these as examples of exploitation.

Then, the wife of Kevin Rudd falls into the spotlight. Her Australian based businesses are spotlighted for using the legislation. The difference, well she acquired the business from someone else and the maintenance of those contracts well, that was a honest mistake. Everyone else in the nation is offered up as despicable and out to defraud the workers of their hard won benefits. Ms Gillard was at pains to claim that she had never pilloried an actual business and that she had referred to quote her on the radio intreviews, to the "general agreement", the "general agreement", the "general agreement". She said it over and over and accentuated to ad nauseum her defence. The spin merchants had trained her in elocution. Then Mr. Rudd says that this "gives pause for thought " before they go out and simply attack business. The pause for thought would not have emerged if a close labor relationship was not involved. This is yet another reason why I claim the nation is not served by the major political parties and their candidates in any government sphere in the country.

There is no valid argument why governments should intrude into human rsource management of the weorkforce by employers other than to legislate for basic fairness. The award system is over prescriptive and an example of the invasion by third parties who need to make themselves relevant. There is no productive or developmental benefit from the plethora of industrial relations instruments. The adversarial nature of politics and government, and the
poor management practices of many of the workplace, including the Australian federal and state public services, works against productivity and the achievement of individual, and collective, potential.

Mr Rudd is an aspirant to become Prime Minister, and he has achieved and maintained significant success ratings in polling since he bacme leader of the labor party. He and the party have maintained a significant lead over the government. The media expected, and so did the government, that the May 2007 budget statement would level the playing field and would be reflected in the polls. It did not. The observers are perplexed. Bill Clinton's famous phrase - It's the economy stupid - has long been accepted as the ruling mantra. According to the commentators and those expecting a certain outcome it is economic management that is the arbiter of voting patterns. Is this really the case?

One of the interesting dynamics in Australian society is the insular perspectives that shape peoples' perceptions in their work and in their perceptions. Simplistically this may be stated as "not doing their homework". There is no doubt that most people have blinkered vision and as dynamics alter over time they resort to the tried and tested outcomes they know. Thus they are confused.

The election outcome is unlikely to be annihilation as portrayed by the Prime Minister. There is some substance to his claim that the same faces have been in charge. However I would argue that it is not about the faces it is about the modus operandi. It is about the shifty nature and secretive behaviour and a lack of attention to detail. It is also about the deterioration of the public service, of management and ethics and some cavalier elements that pervade the public sector and government. A lack of accountability and responsibility and the ever present, daily attempts by governments and the bureaucracies across the nations to transfer liability and accountability and risk to others. It is about the sense of entitlement exhibited by politicians and senior bureaucrats and those with whom they associate in corporate and community life.

There is a perception that all governments in Australia are corrupt, ably lead by
Tasmania and Victoria with NSW, Western Australia, galloping quickly behind. and certain enterprises have helped reinforce this notion, AWB for example

Thus it is a cumulative effect. There are many multiple dislikes driving every voter not just one or two. In Australia determination has moved from being "about the economy stupid to perhaps "it's about the type of government, and society, we want, stupid" The propensity for members of the government to forever say that "that is wrong", "the fact is", "the reality is", or that "there is nothing wrong" or "we did not know" or "we know best so shut up" has bitten the orator and it is payback time from the voter.



EMPLOYMENT POLICY IS NOT ABOUT YOU AND IT NEVER WAS AND NEVER WILL BE


The question I ask is - beyond specifying minimum conditions, why are governments at state and federal level pushing themselves into employment directives and working places?

I joined my first union as a student in 1969 and remained loyal for decades paying my fees. I got my yearly pay increases, and benefits, argued in national wage cases that might have cost $A600,000 to mount. So did everyone else whether they paid their union dues or not. From time to time I needed the union and noticed that The service was limited or was qualified. As I rose through the ranks into management the union response, and service, level was commensurately withdrawn and sometimes nonexistent. They do not relate to management unless it is the public sector where everyone is a manager and the union representative and shop steward is one of them.

Then I got into political and union circles, around the mid seventies and onwards into the nineties, holding formal elected office and on occasions working for a union and I saw the inside the organisations over a period of many years. I had to get elected, or appointed for employment, and experienced the manner of control and manipulation of those elections. I saw first hand the manner of operation, and the motivation, and the level of skill and qualifiactions of organisers in unions (some 30 plus union organisations I have dealt with) particularly those representing unskilled workers. The Australian union movement, and the Australian Labor Party limit and control participation by the rank and file of their organisations. Both organisations (uniosn and the Australian Labor Party) are ethically, and morally, corrupt, and manipulative, in this respect. They have managed to destroy any respect a person might have had and this may explain their dwindling relevance to everyone except the unskilled worker.

I do not think the industrial relations debate and policy action by either the Liberal and National (government) coalition, nor the Australian Labor party's policy offerings are about fairness and protection for workers. Nor are they fundamentally about economic prosperity. They are about the ideology and personal vested interests of particular groups. They are about the owners of capital and owners of trade union. The employees are relevant only to the extent that you are a necessary resource to both but they may not
value you to the extent that they would give you the power to decide how your working relationship should be.

This is a broad statement and reflects mainly upon Australian owned, and managed, companies. The United States owned large corporations, not the franchises like McDonalds and such, are more advanced in their human resources practices. Australian human resource managers are the servants of the board and the CEO, they are not the friends of the worker. Similarly behind the scenes the union organisers are going to appreciate their special relationships with management that develop where unions are influential. As value for money, union fees are well down the list. The union organiser, the human resource people and the corporate managers like their personal control, influence, special relationships and benefits that arise, and they are there to manipulate the outcomes whilst engaging in the spin and misrepresentation that is becoming the hallmark of Australian working life and much in our society including our governments. The employers, and the division managerial people, and perhaps the local union organiser (if they are present) and most particularly the company human resources manager and personnel, in those organisations, derive their self esteem from their roles, and they do not want to share their power.

Where unions are not present these people definitely do not want to have to deal with trade union leaders and organisers who can cause them to do things that they normally would not do. The organisers want collective bargaining because it keeps them in a job, first and foremost and secondly they would have no personal power or influence without it. The union leaders similarly want collective bargaining for this reason. It protects their world and gives them a future. The Australian labor Party, full of ex trade union incumbents are party to this understanding. They know how they got to their membership of parliaments. It is a sinecure granted to them at public expense. These candidates are foisted on the local community.

Without the incestuous club (unions and labor party) the parliamentarians and the union organisers, and leaders, would be just like anybody else, seeking to carve out a career, and their prestige and image would be as affected as the managers of companies who have been forced to grudgingly (with gritted teeth)acknowledge union power and power crazed individuals, in a bygone era. There are organisers that would never get a similar role in any other organisation. So if you think you have bargaining power at your place of work, you may be an unusual case, but generally you should get real and wake up. You have none for when it comes down to their interests versus your interests you will always come off second best for
"operational reasons".

One lesson I have learnt over the years is that the liberal and national governments are more likely to adjust their policies and responses based on popular opinion, logical argument or pure combative pressures where the Australian Labor Party (ALP) is not. The ALP is made up of people of limited commercial and world experience and have limited awareness of the complex operation of networks and the things that the coalition knows because it is part of those networks. The ALP operates on the fringes and rarely if ever turns up in the circles in which decisions are made. The federal LP is under the delusion that with government comes power and control. So if you are in the business of doing business then it is unlikely that you will get satisfaction from the ALP or their affiliates. They like slogans - the Smart State for example, the motto of Queensland, is one that is an obvious oxymoron. Similarly New South Wales proposes a dilemma. Do you want to do business with unions NSW as representatives of the state and federal government? Why would you then vote in a state government, and federal government, if they are the role models? You have a better chance of getting John Howard and the coalition to change their policies including the precious employment law.


A MEDIOCRE POORLY MANAGED THEATRE RATHER THAN A PARLIAMENT OF TRUE REPRESENTATIVES AND QUALITY ACTS


Once every three, to four, years the Australian population as a whole gets to have an input into their various governments. Voting is compulsory. This means that for the rest of the time except during the campaign period the greater number of the population can be ignored. Political parties do all of the heavy lifting at election time and the system is managed and the elections are presidential. Compulsory voting is a method of controlling destiny, minimising risk and maintaining power. There are only two choices - labor or liberal. They are roughly indistinguishable because they are all focused on one trigger - the economy. The rhetoric and lies as to who can do a better job. Given that who will govern is determined by a mere few thousand votes across the nation, delivering the most number of seats by a handful sometimes less than one hundred, the bulk of voters are irrelevant. They know it and todayb in 207 they do not like that fact. The politicians have treated the people of the nation as nothing but pawns in their own games. They have stolen the democracy and the government and they are in the eyes of many all a bit flaky. The liberal and national party in government interact with slightly more people than labor does. The Australian Labor party under Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard is easily mockable because their policies, and conceptual understanding of the nation's mosaic, are framed in isolation of reality and a vacuum of awareness. They are far more partisan than the coalition with a limited gene pool of thought and contribution. It is an indisputable fact that they are captive to the union power brokers and do deny it as Rudd does is to treat the electorate as stupid and blind, deaf and dumb.

Australia's federal parliament has a preponderance of people who come from adversarial backgrounds. They are invariably lawyers, trade unionists and others used to head kicking, living in dog eat dog worlds and they revel in the imagery of the parliament as a battle ground. Thus the concept of parliament as a mature house of debate and the process of government as a bargaining place is lost. The practice, amongst other tactical stategies, in the Australian parliament is to use the tactics of spin, misrepresentation, belittlement, threats and derogatory condescension and put down.

There is no support and training and very little mentoring within the parliament for members, particularly independent, and minor party, members. People are left to fend for themselves. They all too often learn the negatives of the environment and then translate their experiences, and attitudes, into the external and they meet a different reality. It is incongruous that a person is elected to parliament and then given minimal resources, and assistance, to do their role. The reason is that the members of labor and the liberal party are are all there to be promoted to the select roles and they are not interested in assisting others to perform. This would lead me to question why the senior politicians are good leaders and role models to run the country.

The management of the federal parliament by the two major parties, labor and liberal, is both immature and mean. They are more interested in maintaining their own control than reforming the parliament to make it effective.

Question time is a farce and the behaviour and game playing is ignorant. It clearly shows that the quality of people entering the parliament is not reflective of the best that our society has to offer. These people steal the democracy and the government from the people of Australia. Policy is framed on ideology and political grounds not on what is best for the nation. The litmus test used by the Prime John Howard and the Opposition Leader, Kevin Rudd, is whether the Sydney Telegraph Newspaper Editor accepts the policy and/or Sydney Broadcaster Alan Jones has something to say about it. The most important institution in the nation is not a role model of best practice. Whilst best practice is hard to define one knows when something is not best practice.

This web site tracks the federal election, party by party, member by member, electorate by electorate, and provides mechanisms for individual citizen, and interest group, participation, though such participation may not be well received. Nevertheless if we do not seek to participate, and do not persist, then we may as well meekly accept was is given to us. A limited democracy owned, manipulated and managed by a minority.


LET'S BE A RICH COUNTRY AND A CREEPY ONE TOO
MORE CREEPY STUFF FROM THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT


The actions of the Howard government and certain Ministers and bureaucrats has trarnished the government's image in the perceptions of a very large number of voters. These perceptions range from a loss of reputation, ethical and moral values and Australia's place in the world. One particular person decsribed some of the government's mInisters as "creepy". These views, rather than being divided between the traditional party breakdown permeate boundaries. There is some resonance with the description. What is not clear is how this will translate into votes.

It may be that the Prime Minister has to jettison some of his front bench Ministers if he is to have any hope of being returned to government in the case of this perception biting. It will bite. However the stubborn resistance to acknowledgement of such uncomfortable relaities demonstrated in the Prime Minister's demeanour over his time in office probably preclude this happening. Perhaps some of the Ministers may choose to go themselves.

According to some voters stories, particularly those who reside in Canberra, there are "creepy" things going on, behind the scenes, in many of the Australian government Ministerial portfolios and Departments. Stories, and exposes, are bubbling to the surface in the media, in the courts and in a myriad of other ways. The deaprtments deemed most "creep" and suspect are, Immigration, Workplace Relations and Foreign Affairs. Some bureaucrats tarnished in these areas have reloacted and are out of the spotlight but still remain likely to feel retribution if labor comes tro power. Kevin Rudd says that he will leave the Australian Public Service senior structure as it is. This is not beleived.

Preception of the government mean, callous and creepy are causing some demographics of voter opinion to swing violently. The Australian Capiotal territory is always likely to vote labor so it is no surprise, however pockets of liberal territory acrosss the nation are disturbed. Creepy feeelings can over ride the feeling of being comfortable and trusting in voters. It is no longer "about the economy stupid". Below are but a few the
thousands of examples which are chronicled in books, thesis papers, media acrhives and across the Portal web sites.

It is the little things that can change opinion and put a sour taste in the mouth. Yesterday (Friday 18 May, 2007) I was thinking that there was not too much about the Australian government that some of us could not tolerate if it meant that we could make money and live comfortably. Richard Alston's mercurial and Machiavellian policies on broadcasting lead me, and others, to buy set top digital conversion boxes, several years, which now have multiple signals of the same programmes on five or six different commercial streams and no real digital choice. Waiting, waiting, waiting ....then it was all changed at great expense to everyone except Richard Alston. The bad smell of the behaviour of the government, and the creepy acts of its past, regarding the Iraq war, torture of people, the squalid immigration department and the creepy exploits of the Australian government had faded in memory. Abu Graihb, is that spelt right? The rendition, whatever that emans, practices of the USA, flying people all over the world to avoid legal niceties and to engage in torturing them outside of caring jurisdictons. Iraq is mentioned every day on the news. David Hicks is according to creep people a major risk and this poor stupid sod requires a private jet to bring him back and a team of police and dogs in convoy to meet him. This is both creepy and immature and demonstrates that there are some serious questions about the rationality, capacity and sanity of some people in public office in Australia. There is the Tampa Boat episode, Siev X, people drwoning in the sea while bureaucrats eat dinner, payment of millions of dolars of bribes to Sudam Hussein by people who deny knwoing they did it. The we have our government putting people in camps in remote islands and a litany of quite creepy actions. This is an advanced nation. Then why does it have all of these questionable things going on day after day? However time makes it fade until ....

May 17, 2007, when Kevin Andrews, Minister for Dysentery and Teresa Gambaro (Assistant Minister)(Department of Dysentery aka: Immigration, formerly under Philip Ruddock and Amanda Vanstone, requires specail tlents and unqiue political appointments to the portfolio) reminded us that there are a lot of creepy things about the government.

The most creepy, and decrepit, Ministerial portfolio, and department, within the government is by far immigration. It is interesting that teh same skill set needed to be Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations may be applicable to this portfolio. Here one can find the cave dwellers who deport Australians, and lock up people with a mental disability because they are incompetent and inhuman process servers. The Department has had a cavalcade of Ministers, and senior managers, and yet nothing seems to change. They just remain creepy. The bile that they acn generate seems endless.

The creepy tendencies of the Australian government, emerge from time to time, to feed the xenophobic and vile bigotry of a great number of Australians and the government feeds of fear. The Minister and his Department have produced the
Australian citizenship test. If you thought you might have a look at the sample test by clicking on the Australian government web site then think again.

"The page you are looking for cannot be found. This website was recently redesigned to make it easier and faster for you to find the information you need. This means the bookmarks and addresses you have used in the past will no longer work." (Extract page: http://www.citizenship.gov.au/news/General_Qs.htm).

It is not uncommon for a web site that is controversial to be shut down or disappear. Workplace Relations interestingly has as reputation for the disappearing page and statistics. There are certain Ministers who remove material and limit access consistently. Forget about freedom of information there is no such right under Australia's managed government, none of them, state, territory or federal.


A series of up to 200 questions that can be asked of those who aspire to become Australians. Never mind that we do not teach history in Australian schools, and many of our universities and non of out Tafe Institutes, any more but a euphemistic mix of social studies. The average Australian is a dill and would not be able to meet the 60% pass rate of this test. Look at the twenty sample questions below published in the Australian Newspaper.

1. Which colours are represented on the Australian flag?

a. Green and yellow

b. Red, black and yellow

c. Blue, red and white

d. Orange and purple

2. Indigenous people have lived in Australia for ...

a. At least 40,000 years

b. About 8000 years

c. About 800 years

d. Less that 400 years

3. Australia's national flower is the ...

a. Rose

b. Wattle

c. Kangaroo paw

d. Banksia

4. Which is a popular sport in Australia?

a. Ice hockey

b. Water polo

c. Cricket

d. Table tennis

5. Australia's political system is a ...

a. Parliamentary democracy

b. Monarchy

c. Dictatorship

d. Socialist state

6. The Capital of Australia is...

a. Sydney

b. Melbourne

c. Hobart

d. Canberra

7. Which animals are on the Australian Coat of Arms?

a. Wombat and echidna

b. Kangaroo and emu

c. Kangaroo and dingo

d. Lion and unicorn

8. Where did the first European settlers to Australia come from?

a. Spain

b. France

c. England

d. Ireland

9. Who is Australia's head of state?

a. Prime Minister John Howard

b. Queen Elizabeth II

c. Governor General Michael Jeffery

d. Premier Steve Bracks

10. Who was the first Prime Minister of Australia?

a. Sir Edmund Barton

b. Sir Henry Parkes

c. John Curtin

d. Sir Robert Menzies

11. What song is Australia's national anthem?

a. God Save the Queen

b. Star Spangled Banner

c. Advance Australia Fair

d. Waltzing Matilda

12. What do you call the elected head of a state government?

a. Governor

b. Premier

c. Mayor

d. Prime Minister

13. Which federal political party or parties are in power?

a. Australian Labor Party

b. Australian Democrats and the Australian Greens

c. National Party

d. Liberal Party and National Party

14. Which of the following are Australian values?

a. Men and women are equal

b. `A fair go'

c. Mateship

d. All of the above

15. Australia's values are based on the ...

a. Teachings of the Koran

b. The Judaeo-Christian tradition

c. Catholicism

d. Secularism

16. What does Anzac Day commemorate?

a. The Gallipoli landing

b. Armistice Day

c. The Battle of the Somme

d. Victory in the Pacific

17. In what year did the first European settlers arrive?

a. 1801

b. 1770

c. 1788

d. 1505

18. How many states are there in Australia?

a. 5

b. 6

c. 7

d. 8

19. Australian soldiers fought in ...

a. World War I and World War II

b. Korean War

c. Vietnam War

d. All of the above

20. What is Australia's biggest river system?

a. The Murray Darling

b. The Murrumbidgee

c The Yarra

d. The Mississippi

Kevin Andrews was formerly the Minister for
Workplace Relations. Now there is another creep set of hidden and nasty surprises for the unwary. It is the Workplace Relations Act. Minister Kevin Andrews is a dedicated, hard working and process type manager of the portfolios he is given. However process workers can get the government into a pickle. He was moved because he is inept at reading beyond the walls of his office and it appears that he is not a team player. If he was he would not have unloaded this tripe in the early stages of the federal election campaign demonstrating just how politically inept he can be. This ill conceived and mediocre bit of work by Minister Andrews et al, turns people who have ethics, and a moral conscience, off. The dull and non thinking in our society and those who talk, and behave, as if they are part of a frightened little species probably think this is good. The people who like these sort of policies are employed in the Australian commercial media and in the Australian Immigration Department among other places. locations. The man who should be Minister for Immigration is over looked because he has the audacity to speak his mind and show his colleagues that some of them are indeed creepy in their thinking and cold in their hearts.

" A Needless Test for Citizenship, speech by Petro Georgiou, Liberal MHR for Kooyong

Since Australian citizenship was created in 1949, and our country began its massive immigration program, successive governments have chosen an inclusive approach to citizenship.

Discrimination against non-English-speaking migrants was ended; English-language requirements were eased; residency requirements were reduced and then made equal for all; discriminatory voting privileges were addressed; dual citizenship was allowed; and all were required to attend a citizenship ceremony. The belief was that if we encouraged and embraced migrants who wanted to become Australians, we would build a better and stronger nation.

The inclusiveness of our approach to citizenship has been sustained through massive changes in the racial and cultural composition of our migrant intake. We have sometimes felt anxious about the speed and magnitude of this change. But Australia has held fast and not compromised its belief in inclusiveness. And we have been vindicated by history. The society we have produced is not perfect. It is, however, a society which is arguably the most successful, unified and harmonious multicultural nation in the world.

Nonetheless, in 2007, the Parliament will be asked to reverse the historic direction of inclusiveness, and Government and Opposition seem inclined to do so. Our current system requires applicants to demonstrate a basic knowledge of English and an understanding of the responsibilities and privileges of Australian citizenship. These are assessed at a compulsory interview. What is proposed is that these will be replaced by a more difficult and complex "formal citizenship test". New requirements will include English-language comprehension and an understanding of Australian values, institutions, traditions and symbols. These would be assessed via a computer-based, 30-question, multiple-choice test.

What is involved even if it is not intended is a fundamental political and social regression that will erect unreasonable and unnecessary barriers to citizenship. We are told that we need a tougher citizenship test because today Australia faces the unprecedented challenge posed by migrants coming from cultures far removed from our own, and from the cultures of European migrants.
The facts do not support this assertion.

The magnitude of the change from Europe to Asia in the 1980s created a perception that there was an "Asian immigration crisis". Some believed that the cultural difference between Asians and Australia's traditional migrant source cultures posed fundamental problems for Australia. There were calls to reduce the intake from Asia. Australia held its nerve. The contribution and commitment of Asian Australians was recognised.

Apart from the shift from European to Asian sources of immigrants, here have been no other major changes in our migrant intake. The Middle Eastern component of our total migrant intake has remained a steady 5 per cent for 30 years. Over that same period, the proportion of New Zealanders has increased by 6 per cent, and so has the proportion of migrants from Africa. In the decade after the fall of Saigon, we took in 100,000 Indo-Chinese, 12 per cent of our migrant intake. By contrast, the Sudanese comprised 2.1 per cent of our intake over the last decade.

The statistics refute the claim that taking in migrants from cultures far removed from our own is a new challenge. Australia met that challenge 30 years ago, when the centre of gravity of our intake swung from Europe to Asia and stayed there. Our present citizenship test is said to be too easy. "Many people" are described as taking out citizenship without commitment, just for the sake of a passport, and without understanding the pledge they are making. These are significant charges. The only basis for them is a single, unsourced assertion that at one citizenship ceremony a number of people left before the national anthem was sung. It is difficult to imagine a flimsier basis on which to launch a major reversal of a policy direction that has stood the test of time for almost 60 years.

If it is true that the present test allows people to take out citizenship because it is easy just for an Australian passport one would not expect large numbers of people not to take up the opportunity. In fact, that is precisely what happens. Almost a million permanent Australian residents choose not to become citizens, despite the fact that they are eligible to do so, and that they could readily pass the current test.

It is said that imposing a tougher English-language test is necessary because it will provide a "real incentive" for migrants to learn English. I absolutely believe that it is of the utmost importance that people are encouraged and supported to learn English: it benefits them, their families, and the community. English as the national language and the promotion of its acquisition have always been central tenets of Australian multiculturalism. The community consensus, shared by both migrants and native-born, is thatthe greater one's ability to take advantage of the opportunities that Australia has to offer.

The concern I have about this aspect of the proposal is that it assumes without evidence that many migrants are unmotivated or resistant to learning English and that the threat of denial of citizenship is an appropriate and effective spur to get them to study harder. This profoundly misunderstands the migrant experience. Migrants do recognise the centrality of English in Australian society.

Before using the stick of the denial of citizenship to penalise people, it is incumbent upon us to establish the nature and extent of limits on English-language fluency. Do certain immigrants not want to learn, or are they stymied by the lack of availability of classes? Are they fully occupied in meeting other demands, such as employment and family responsibilities? Are there simply limits on how much English some people can learn?

Proponents of the test argue that we should follow Britain, Canada, the US and the Netherlands countries that are "well ahead" in introducing a "formal" citizenship test. But no evidence has been provided that the tests in these countries have been effective. The British test, which is the preferred model, was introduced just over one year ago. It is certainly too soon to assess its long-term impact. Moreover, why do we feel that we have to follow other countries? Australia has an unsurpassed record of multicultural harmony and integration. Why should we abandon our history and experience and seek to mimic countries with less distinguished achievements? We long ago got over our cultural cringe. We should not revert to it in an area where our achievements make Australia worthy of emulation by others. Can we reassure Australians by imposing a uniform identity on people who want to become citizens? Many of us have a notion of what an Australian identity is. The problem is that our concepts are not necessarily the same. The specifics of any elaborated Australian identity have been endlessly contested. We need to recognise that definitions of national identity and national values are not fixed but are constantly in flux. Indeed, they can sometimes change at breakneck speed. Toughening the laws on citizenship and excluding migrants who want to commit to Australia but who cannot jump the higher hurdle of a literacy test may reassure some people, projecting images of unity and conformity. I do not believe we should make it harder for people to become citizens in order to project an illusory reassurance."



JOHN HOWARD BRINGS UP THE BIG GUNS


The budget analysed, by Glibert and Tobin click here


The budget analysed, by Deloitte click here


A budget analysis May 2007, click here


Key highlights of the Australian government 2007 federal budget







To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


THE BUDGET REPLY BY KEVIN RUDD


To follow labor's progress in the election, through their own eyes, scroll down to the E-Herald feed in this site, your active content must be turned on.

(May, 10, 2007) Kevin Rudd opened his budget reply speech, in the Australian Parliament, with the annoying trait he displays in media interviews and which has come to denote his style. The posing of questions and metaphors which he uses to paint nebulous pictures of a changing mosaic that rambles. An oscillation of thoughts which he then goes on to answer. There is a lot of motherhood, showcasing Kevin Rudd's self perception of his eloquence. He risks losing the audience's interest. He lost mine after five minutes but I persisted because one has to make informed judgements. According to Mr. Rudd there is apparently nothing good about any of the nation's policies and any plans for the future. Every opportunity is missed and we must not waste a day more. Is he serious? According to that we are slipping backwards until we elect him and then he will save us. There is to be no innovation and action by Australian individuals to be considered of worth. Australia is on hold! Please Prime Minister call the election today lest the nation is irreparably damaged and irretrievable. Coupled with his own and his deputy's presentation style (speech) and visual look, these are not flash presentations by an means and they definitely do not inspire.

The use of the slogan is a major element of Kevin Rudd's political campaign - grandiose, meaningless whaffle like this - "labor's education revolution". Is he so arrogant, and unthinking, that it is necessary to belittle the efforts of those who have created and taught in our systems. He seems to be a well educated product of a system that, according to labor, has failed.

The use of the slogan is an immature exercise by someone incapable of stringing different words together. More insidiously it is designed to entrench a simple concept in the limited mind of the recipient. This is a subliminal programming technique. Say it over and over, ad nauseum. These are the offerings from the media advisers and strategists They really are warts on the election process and on democracy. These word smiths play a major role in the denigration of modern political debate and ensure that articulate speech requirements are minimised less the people become confused by big words, new words and concepts. Mr Rudd is a puppet to this irksome technique. He would do well to study the Prime Minister of England, Tony Blair, who is a powerful orator.

Mr. Rudd could go on the Big Brothers set, live in the house, and blather on with airhead statements and be as effective, perhaps more so.

The new plank in his education revolution is to turn every Australian secondary school into a technical workshop facility. His policy allocates $A1,5,000,000 per school for workshop facilities with a laboratory, trade shop, hospitality and other. There is no mention in his speech as to how he might go about imbuing life long learning (whichb has never been in existence in Australia as a policy) in order to attract people into education and training. There is a continual assumption in labor ranks that if they have more and more training and more and more education facilities, courses, locations and offerings, that this leads to participation and productivity. This is naive. Labor's policies are being framed in isolation of reality and the logical inclusion of alternative opinion, barriers and obstructions including the antipathy Australians have to deep education and learning. The youth of today has been taught that this is an on demand, truncated and least effort world where everything can be delivered quickly and at least cost and effort on their part. Labor is so blinkered as to oppose a person's right tp pay for their own university education instead of going into debt to the government through the Higher Education Scheme (debt deferred) system that they want to grow. Learn now and pay later.

There is no mention as to where the skilled trades teachers might come from. We do not have enough skilled trades people for industry in Australia and given that they can earn $A100,000 plus per year, why woud they want to teach for $A36,000 - $A50,000? He is offering several thousand dollars for teachers to go to Summer School. Why does he think they will take up the offer? All of this off the top of the head, thought up by a closed shop of ill informed labor think tank types. There is no research and much of the policy created by labor is "narrow interest driven" (e.g Industrial Relations policy)or anecdotal talk fests - "gee that would be a good idea" - emanating from the minds of a few. This is not a party of collaborative thinking that invites contribution. It is a limited show sitting in the darkness and whispering. Labor ignores the Australian government initiative on technical colleges, being implemented in concert with the private sector and local communities. This is because the puerile approach of our political parties is to act independently and to waste taxpayers resources dreaming up new offerings designed to win them office. This flies in the face of fiscal responsibility for any of them.

The superannuation clearing house moves the role of distributing worker's superannuation payments from employer to bureaucracy. This is another "politically inspired" motivator to try and get industry support whilst wasting taxpayer's money and public service time. Late payment is a hallmark of the government and what makes Kevin Rudd think he can stem it? He wants to fine the departments by paying interest on the bill. Is Kevin Rudd the accountant for the private sector as a whole or the Prime Minister in waiting?


GILLARD WANTS TO PLAY CONTACT POLITICS"


"HEATHER EWART: Things are not off to a great start, with BHP taking the unusual step of issuing a statement slamming Labor's plans and Julia Gillard was quoted in one newspaper this morning as saying politics was a contact sport and not a wise place for business to be if it didn't want to get injured on the field. JOHN HOWARD: When you talk about companies getting injured, that sounds to me like Julia Gillard, who'd be Deputy Prime Minister in a Labor Government, saying to business, "If you speak out in support of Coalition policies and we win, we'll bash you up". (Source: Miners rail at Labor's IR policy, Australian Broadcasting Corporation, 7.30 Report, Broadcast: 01/05/2007, Reporter: Heather Ewart)


April 2007: Julia Gillard is the right hand of labor leader Kevin Rudd. Together they have demonstrated a capacity for hubris and arrogance. Ms Gillard's statement of the football analogy demonstrtaes a lack of understanding of just who she is damaging and annoying and the actual operation of politics and government in Australia - the reality versus her theoretical perception.

The first people to feel the affects of her ignorance are her onw constituent coleagues, the trade unionists who enjoy good woring relationships with the owners of enterprises and managers where they work. Some take that relationship to a personal interest level enjoying access to places others do not go, business luncheons and dinners, clubs, the corporate travel and other perks. Some are given expense money and on the list of hidden largesse and relationships may go according to the imagination.

A seasoned Minister of government, in the case of the labor party such as Martin Ferguson, Simon Crean, Kim Beazley and John Faulkner among others know that there is a distinct lead time and gap between aspirational objectives in office and the ability to get those up. Objectives can be thwarted in advertently or with intention by opposition interests and I do not mean political. In the years 2000 - 2004 the Australian government under John Howard produced via Industry Minister (at the time) Nick Minchin, a blue print for magnesium development as a plank in the resources strategy. The strategy largely hinged on the predictions for success Australian Magnesium and its relationship with the Ford Motor Company. It is likely that no one in the Australian or state governments particularly Queensland, the bureaucracy or CSIRO and the wider market realised that there were powerful interests opposing Queensland magnesium operating offshore inb the wider world. Australian Magnesium collapsed taking with it the Australian government magnesium vehicle. All of the other clamouring aspirants of the day have failed to materialise. One aspirant Pacific Magnesium, a listed company, undertook a deep global research and visitation programme across the world and as a result shifted its investment activities out of magnesium into other sectors of the industry well before the collapse of the government policy objective. It is not clear why the same signs and warnings were not detected by others who claimed expertise and insight. There are many other examples in the corporate world that impact into the political zone. State governments, and federal agencies, across Australia feel them every day but all too often are oblivious. The
Access Card is another example along with EMV migration. The broadband debate and the realisation of Kevin Rudd's nebulous nationwide high speed super Internet network and on and on.

Opposition to a political party, government and corporate objective even though such objective may be legislated can result in the "unexpected" detection of flaws, unseen barriers to the implementation and then comes actual obstruction. Ms Gillard needs to be far more perceptive and think about the powers she thinks she will have and the vagaries of government and process before she trumpets threats based on those perceptions. What are the answers to
questions about the labor party industrial relations policy in action?

She should also be circumspect, least she entice the attention of, over the horizon very sophisticated and well resourced
"game players" as well as the known vested interests of business, politics and community who are wiloing to test her mettle , resolve and abilities of her political staff and for that matter the people who are employed to advise Kevin Rudd. The Australian government of John Howard knows all to well how the hidden game players can set the agenda running.

Ms Gillard apparently has no
strategic methodology by which she plans, operates and re-examines her position and reaction. Are we seeking another Medicare Gold exercise where she fails to read the signs? From time to time she must learn to eat humble pie and back track quickly and then regain momentum. She faces corporations, and a myriad of forces, that exceed the size and capacity of the Australian government let alone the federal Department she might have at her disposal if she manages to win government with her colleagues. Is this a lesson she will take to heart and learn from or does she just see it as a media exercise? The reality is far different and more painful than she is currently experiencing and she may be :politically injured" if she plays hardball without protection.


Kevin Rudd, labor leader demonstrates personal foibles that diminish stature


Editorial Comment: Kevin R Beck, April 30, 2007.

On the weekend of 28th - 30th April 2007 the
Australian Labor Party held its annual conference. This was to be the showcase for the new leader, Kevin Rudd, to demonstrate his capacity to unite the party and to become the Prime Minister of Australia. He waded through the history of the party and then proceeded to denigrate the Prime Minister John Howard on the basis of his age. Rudd clearly is biased and ageist and seems to imply that if you are in your sixties - seventies then you cannot function in positions of accountability and responsibility. Rudd told the conference that he was "here to help" signalling the extent of his hubris.

" Rudd attacks Howard at Labor conference, April 27, 2007 - 9:09AM, Source: the Age Newspaper

"Labor Leader Kevin Rudd has opened the ALP national conference with a fierce attack on Prime Minister John Howard, calling him arrogant and out of touch. Mr Rudd ridiculed Mr Howard as being stuck in the days of black and white television and said his climate change scepticism was like believing Elvis Presley was still alive. Entering the Sydney Convention Centre to a specially-commissioned song, A Change In the Weather, an embrace from his wife Therese Rein and a standing ovation, Mr Rudd introduced himself by saying: "My name is Kevin, I'm from Queensland, and I'm here to help."

Thousands of people across the nation must today feel that the pimply faced academic rhetoric trotted out by Kevin Rudd is insulting. Kevin Rudd is insulting.

Kevin Rudd does not need to have any third party present when he does media interviews and speeches. He poses and answers his own questions and behaves as an arrogant self opinionated person with a compunction towards belittlement. There is a tendency to cast a face that tends to see itself as superior in intellect and capacity. On the basis of Rudd's behaviour he raises extensive questions as to his maturity and ability to govern the nation for everyone. On the basis of his performance to date he is positioning to govern for himself and a select cabal. (Kevin R Beck, April 2007)

"Editorial: ALP is still fighting the wrong enemy, April 28, 2007, Source: The Australian newspaper

Labor has failed to grasp why John Howard is a winner


ON the eve of Kevin Rudd's challenge to Kim Beazley for the ALP leadership late last year we said that Labor's crisis was rooted in denial about what drives John Howard's success. We said Labor would continue to struggle so long as it remained wedded to an ideology about the Howard Government that was disconnected from the reality and the day-to-day experience of voters."

The Australian labor Party is seeking via this election to control government in Australia. One can determine their capacity for this onerous obligation by examining the
public policy platforms, policies and the performance of the various labor governments throughout the nation.

Kevin Rudd and Labor's clean coal initiative

Rudd's hopes for coal 'not viable', Sean Parnell, News Limited, May 03, 2007: LABOR'S favoured clean-coal technology project was not yet financially viable and investors would be turned away if Kevin Rudd kept using it in the political debate over climate change. The warning from federal Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane yesterday came as the Opposition Leader and Queensland Premier Peter Beattie called for the commonwealth to fund the ZeroGen project in central Queensland. Mr Macfarlane said other projects had been backed under the Low Emissions Technology Demonstration Fund and there was a good reason ZeroGen had not. Mr Macfarlane said the ZeroGen team - backed by the state-owned Stanwell corporation, which hopes to build a zero-emission, or near-zero-emission, coal-fired power station in Queensland by 2011 - withdrew its original funding application. "They couldn't get the project to stack up - it was too expensive," he said."

Does Kevin Rudd Need To Save Families From Capitalism? Peter Saunders - Policy





Australian Federal Election 2007 News Coverage


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AUSTRALIA'S ELECTORAL SYSTEMS AND POLITICAL PARTIES

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Representation

The Greens Party may well be the ethical party with the consciousness of public interest. Unfortunately they appear to have little economic sense and almost no negotiating ability. Because they lack experience and will not compromise they cannot get bills through parliaments. They are zealots, oblivious that incremental wins build foundations. They ride on the wagon of emotive debates of the time e.g. climate change, uranium and environment, without ever knowing how to create a balance that might deliver an outcome of worth. For them irrational solutions are the only foundation of the future, a c-change shock wave approach. Blinkered to any other view, they harp, voicing varying levels of hysteria.

Greens
Nationals
Liberals
Labor
Democrats
Family First Party

"The independent MPs in the House of Representatives have launched ICAN - the Independent Candidates Advisory Network to provide advice, support, and a focal point for people interested in standing as true representatives of the people at future elections. Peter Andren, Member for Calare, Tony Windsor, Member for New England and Bob Katter, Member for Kennedy launched ICAN at Parliament House this morning and introduced former Telstra Country Wide Manager Mr Gavin Priestley, as the co-ordinator of ICAN."

The media had a flurry of interest and Bob katter in Queensland managed to turn it into a circus and some have derided and dismissed it. The real intellectual clout of this new group derives from long standing successful independent, Peter Andren.

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Who is Kevin R Beck?

Search just beyond the horizon of your awareness, and experience, and you will find Kevin R Beck and his technology and human networks.


Engaging every day, distilling the complexity of human intentions, and reactions, and possible voting behaviours from many sources using technology research tools and methodologies on a scale that is vast. Well beyond what you would expect of a webologist, a blogger, activist or interested citizen and by stander. Kevin R Beck's mosaic networks of technology and people are inside your world now.


I am active in many of the federal electorates and have already joined the campaign dance unseen. It's what I do.




THE METHODOLOGIES

The material, and commentary, below is assembled from the resources and sources of the Mosaic Portal using all of its utilities. Material is also drawn from conversations, survey and research tools, opinion and personal forums. The opinions and public commentary of interest groups particularly politically active ones are examined. Comparisons are made against a wide range of discussion groups and purchased data. material from consumer and interest groups and individuals who provide opinions, commentary and feedback on issues and trends across Australia. In addition a wide network of associates, across Australia and internationally, is used to seek out opinions, anecdotal and reliable sources of information.

Discussion Group Compositions There is a core, constant number, totalling seventy - thirty five men and thirty five women. Additional people participate from time to time. They live in Darwin, Brisbane, Port Douglas, Sydney, regional and rural centres, northern NSW, Bathurst and surrounds, Canberra, regional and rural Victoria, Melbourne and Geelong, Hobart, Perth and Adelaide in both affluent and less affluent suburbs. Their income levels range from zero to $500,000 +. Their age ranges are from tenns (non voting, tertiary students and young adults (voting), to seventy years of age.

The occupations of the females are:- students at secondary and tertiary institutions, stay at home, media and advertising, small business owners, accounting, law, management, administration and sales, public service, agriculture and services, current and former politicians. Three are currently politically active in local branch campaigns.

The occupations of males are:- engineering, management, law, pharmacy, electrical trades, agriculture and services, public service, small business owners, sales, telecomunications, energy, finance and property, construction and resources, current and former politicians. One is active in local branch campaigns, state and federal.


In addition, as we travel we ask questions of people in a myriad of electorates across the nation. We also look at media polls and web based surveys, political research institutes, and other organisations that undertake analysis and utilise other methods of distilling information. Content is received from an extraordinary number of diverse references, many people and technology resources. The mosaic portal in part represents the multifaceted activities, and interests, of the designer and owner Kevin R Beck and the human network with which he interacts.


The owner of this web site, Kevin R Beck, has never been acknowledged as a sephologist even though the record of accurate predictions of elections at state and federal level is recorded in the pages of the Mosaic Portal. The owner of this site, among other things, accurately anticipated and published the predicted defeat of Jeff Kenntt by Steve Bracks, well before the election was run, the win by Claire Martin in the Northern Territory, the increase in votes for the national party at the 2004 federal election and the defeat of labor member Christian Zahra in the federal seat of McMillan. In the Victorian state election of November 2006 he also predicted the loss of seats, by the Labor Party, in Morwell and Narracan to the coalition party in the Latrobe Valley region of Victoria.

WHAT IS THE MOSAIC PORTAL?

The Personal Web Site of KEVINRBECK
Privacy Statement, Uses and Motivation


Beyond the horizon of awareness, the breadth of the Mosaic Portal


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OBJECTIVES OF THIS WEB SITE


The owner, Kevin R Beck of Melbourne Australia, is an entrepreneurial service provider who believes strongly in participative democracy, government accountability and the public interest.

He firstly wants to provide readers with sources of information about Australian election coverage and reporting, news and events.

The second objective is to bring diverse opinions and perspectives from people beyond the horizon of the politicians, their political staff, advisers and the parties. Beyond the awareness of pollsters, commentators and psephologists.

The 2007 election is the first in Australia to be fought under traditional scenarios and the new dimensions of technology represented by the tools on display in this site and the distribution, and interactive, capabilities of the websites attributed in this site, and the content, and utilities, in all of the referenced, and linked, sites.

These electronics tools enable many more people to participate, quickly, to communicate and distribute opinions and campiagn materials. The amount of information available to allow more sephologists, and election commentators and watchers, to
predict outcomes, scenarios and activities, across a broader interactive spectrum, is extensive when compared to other services.

The owner personally seeks out material, opinions and influences, not known, apparent, ignored or overlooked and provides this information through the web.


This is another free to use, and informative, web site of the Kevin R Beck worldwide Mosaic Portal web network.


To go to the electoral result predictions by seat .... click here


Why do I bother with this web site and with any attempt at interacting with governments, polity and the public service, when participation, and information, is controlled and manipulated? Why bother spending money, doing research and persisting, including orchestrating, and implementing strategies and actions? Why, accept and try to carry out assignments when barriers are placed in the way or are designed to maintain control?

Australia's democracy, and parliamentary systems, are corroded and corrupted by an elitist, self interested and indulgent minority. Representation is limited and controlled. The parliaments of Australia are neutered, managed and belittled by the labor and liberal/national coalition as if the peoples' houses are their property and right.

We have no Bill of Rights, we have no independent, a-political public service leadership. We have bureaucracies that waste tens even hundreds of millions of taxpayer and private sector money and cannot deliver services. We have no rights to freedom of speech other than those implied narrowly by the High Court. Those who speak out, or argue, and object are belittled, roduculed, insulted and subjected to recrimination and retaliation. There is no lauding of the whistleblower through protective legislation designed to facilitate the [ublic interest. The public interest is defined as the political interest. Freedom of information is a right not a privilege.

There is change about to sweep Australia. It is growing in intensity and action.
Commercial and other interests not normally engaged in grass roots activity are becoming involved. They are seeking new ways to interact meaningfully with government, public service and individual politicians beyond mere lobbying. Where the overtures for this cooperative involvement, and working in new productive ways, are rejectd by the politician, the advisers or the public service then tactics to break down the barriers, and compel participation and cooperation, shall be applied. Individuals will no longer be able to hide and avoid accountability.

There is concern at the avidance of accountability and the deliberate attempt to avoid responsibility. The cost of public service ineptitude, incompetence and partisanship. They are concerned at the lack of responsibility and care. Engaging in tenders, enquiries and initiatives, with Australia's public services, cost thousands of dollars and in some cases tens of millions often goes nowhere or the processes are nonsensical. The public services, the political party machinery, the politicalm advisers and the Ministers, and the local electoral staff and representatives, have not yet caught onto the extent of this interaction. I marvel at the naivety, and lack of awareness, as to the existence of undercurrents .